OXY Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
OXY Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred $1.95 vs. cons $1.89 MEDIUM
OXY Report Upstream production IN-LINE pred 1.414 MMboe/d vs. cons 1.416 MMboe/d MEDIUM
OXY Report Free cash flow MISS pred $2.45B vs. cons $2.54B MEDIUM
OXY Guide FY26 production (FY26) UNCHANGED guide 1.44 MMboe/d vs. cons 1.426 MMboe/d MEDIUM
OXY Guide Q3 production (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide 1.44 MMboe/d vs. cons 1.445 MMboe/d LOW
OXY Guide FY26 total capital (FY26) UNCHANGED guide $5.5B-$5.9B vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
OXY Guide FY26 midstream pretax income (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~$1.1B vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
OXY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% LOW
OXY Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — maintained FY framework limits follow-through after the initial Archetype-C de-rating LOW