{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Q2 2026 operating EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.80 vs. cons $0.79",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "PSE&G operating earnings",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$350M vs. cons $345M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "PSEG Power & Other operating earnings",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$45M vs. cons $52M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 operating-EPS guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$4.34 midpoint vs. cons $4.35 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "PSE&G regulated capital spending",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$4.20B vs. cons $4.20B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Nuclear generation outlook",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~31.0 TWh midpoint vs. cons 31.0 TWh (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 0.6,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 0.2,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "A modest ~$0.01 EPS beat versus consensus ~$0.79 is likely offset by Power operating earnings of ~$45M versus ~$52M and unchanged FY2026 guidance at a ~$4.34 midpoint versus ~$4.35 consensus; without upper-half positioning or a guidance raise, initial relief should fade rather than drive out-period estimate revisions.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}