PNW Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PNW Report Q2 2026 Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.62 vs. cons $1.49 HIGH
PNW Report Q2 2026 Total Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.44B vs. cons $1.40B MEDIUM
PNW Report Q2 2026 Total Electric Sales (GWh) BEAT pred ~9,950 GWh vs. cons 9,722 GWh MEDIUM
PNW Guide FY2026 Diluted EPS Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.55-$4.75 (mid $4.65) vs. cons $4.84 (FY2026) HIGH
PNW Guide FY2026 Weather-Normalized Retail Sales Growth Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~4%-6% (mid 5%) vs. implied Street run-rate ~9.4% YTD trend (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNW Guide 2025 Rate Case ROE/Outcome Commentary (Docket E-01345A-25-0105) UNKNOWN guide ~10.70% APS ask vs. Staff/RUCO 9.00%-9.80% recommended, no ROO expected until (Q4 2026) LOW
PNW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
PNW Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (STABILIZE) A weather-driven EPS/sales beat is largely pre-signaled (positive Earnings ESP, Zacks Buy rank, record spring/summer heat already publicized), so the day-1 pop should be modest rather than explosive. Management is likely to reaffirm (not raise) the $4.55-$4.75 FY26 EPS range since weather tailwinds are viewed as non-recurring and O&M/financing costs still weigh on the framework, capping the case for durable upward estimate revisions. At the same time, the unresolved rate case (ROO not due until late Nov 2026) removes the biggest incremental catalyst that could drive a sustained re-rating either up or down in the immediate week. Net effect: limited follow-through buying and limited give-back, consistent with a stabilize pattern rather than a strong fade or continuation. LOW