PNW Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PNW Report Q2 2026 diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.72 vs. cons $1.46 MEDIUM
PNW Report Q2 2026 operating revenue BEAT pred ~$1.48B vs. cons $1.40B MEDIUM
PNW Report Q2 2026 weather-normalized retail sales growth BEAT pred ~6.8% vs. cons 5.0% MEDIUM
PNW Guide Weather-normalized diluted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.55-$4.75 vs. cons $4.69 (FY2026) HIGH
PNW Guide Weather-normalized retail sales growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~4.0%-6.0% vs. cons 5.0% (FY2026) HIGH
PNW Guide Adjusted O&M guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$1.02-$1.04B vs. cons $1.03B (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
PNW Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.7% (FADE) The initial reaction should reward a roughly $0.26 EPS beat and 6.8% weather-normalized sales growth versus 5.0% expected. However, much of the upside is weather-related, while an unchanged $4.65 guidance midpoint versus $4.69 consensus implies about $0.04 of normalized full-year estimate pressure; limited out-period revisions should therefore fade the day-1 residual from approximately 2.2% to 0.7% by day 5. MEDIUM