PODD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PODD Report Total Company Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$815M vs. cons $803M MEDIUM
PODD Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.50 vs. cons $1.42 MEDIUM
PODD Report Adjusted Gross Margin (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~68.5% vs. cons ~69.5% MEDIUM
PODD Guide FY2026 Total Revenue Growth Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~22% (21-23% range) vs. cons ~22% (FY2026) MEDIUM
PODD Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS Growth Guidance LOWER guide ~24% vs. cons ~28% (>25% prior guide) (FY2026) MEDIUM
PODD Guide FY2026 Adjusted Operating Margin Expansion LOWER guide ~+50bp vs. cons ~+100bp (FY2026) MEDIUM
PODD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% MEDIUM
PODD Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.5% (FADE) Even if Q2 headline revenue/EPS beat, gross margin miss from ongoing warranty/E&O costs tied to both 2026 device corrections plus an implicit trim to the FY EPS-growth (>25%) and operating-margin-expansion targets will force sell-side models to cut H2 estimates, echoing the May pattern where a beat-and-raise quarter still sold off; litigation overhang (lead plaintiff deadline Aug 31) and looming Tandem tubeless competition keep sentiment fragile, so any initial relief bounce likely fades as analysts revise 2H26/2027 numbers down. MEDIUM