PPL Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-07

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PPL Report Q2 2026 Ongoing EPS IN-LINE pred ~$0.35 vs. cons $0.35 MEDIUM
PPL Report Kentucky segment ongoing EPS contribution BEAT pred ~$0.14 vs. cons $0.13 MEDIUM
PPL Report Pennsylvania segment ongoing EPS contribution IN-LINE pred ~$0.11 vs. cons $0.11 MEDIUM
PPL Guide FY2026 Ongoing EPS guidance (reaffirm midpoint) UNCHANGED guide ~$1.94 vs. cons $1.95 (FY2026) HIGH
PPL Guide 2026-2029 Capital Plan (total capex) UNCHANGED guide ~$23B vs. cons $23B (2026-2029 plan) MEDIUM
PPL Guide PA data-center advanced-stage pipeline (GW) BETTER guide ~30GW vs. cons ~29GW (Q2 2026 update) LOW
PPL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.2% LOW
PPL Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.3% (STABILIZE) Guidance and 2026-2029 capex/EPS growth framework are reaffirmed with no material surprise; PA settlement ramp and RI/Kentucky dockets already known from Q1 call and priced in, so estimate revisions should be minimal either way. Key swing factors (KY KPSC reconsideration timing, Blackstone JV ESA announcement) remain unresolved/qualitative rather than quantified guide changes, limiting both upside chasing and downside estimate cuts — consistent with a stabilize pattern rather than strong follow-through or fade. LOW