PSKY Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PSKY Report Total Revenue (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~$6.86B vs. cons $6.88B MEDIUM
PSKY Report Adjusted EBITDA (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$0.98B vs. cons $0.95B MEDIUM
PSKY Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$0.18 vs. cons $0.15 MEDIUM
PSKY Guide FY2026 Revenue guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$30.0B vs. cons $29.9B (FY2026) MEDIUM
PSKY Guide FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$3.8B vs. cons $3.75B (FY2026) MEDIUM
PSKY Guide Q3'26 Revenue outlook (implied, incl. tough political-ad comp offset) LOWER guide ~$7.15B vs. cons $7.25B (Q3 2026) LOW
PSKY Guide WBD deal timeline / ticking fee commentary UNKNOWN guide ~no firm close date (targeting resolution by mid/late 2027) vs. cons prior Q3'26 target (deal timeline) LOW
PSKY Guide Paramount+ subscribers (Q2'26, ex hard-bundle exits) UNCHANGED guide ~flat QoQ (~+1.5M ex-bundle exits) vs. cons flat-to-slightly-up (Q2 2026) MEDIUM
PSKY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% LOW
PSKY Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) An in-line-to-modest-beat quarter with reaffirmed FY26 guidance likely sparks a short relief rally given how depressed sentiment is on deal-litigation risk, but management's historical refusal to give concrete WBD deal/ticking-fee/trial-timeline color means the dominant overhang (frozen merger, growing ~$650M/quarter ticking fee, elevated pro forma leverage, S&P/Fitch negative watch) remains unresolved. Reaffirmed FY26 targets also imply a steep H2 acceleration in EBITDA/margin that raises out-period execution risk, so sell-side is likely to trim or hold estimates flat rather than raise them, and headline-driven WBD litigation news flow (trial scheduling, settlement talk, CNN divestiture speculation) will likely dominate price action within the week, fading the initial print-driven bounce. LOW