PSX Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PSX Report Adj. Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$8.50 vs. cons $7.68 HIGH
PSX Report Refining Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.15B vs. cons $2.92B HIGH
PSX Report Midstream Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.02B vs. cons $998M MEDIUM
PSX Guide Q3 Crude Utilization (Q3 2026) LOWER guide ~low-to-mid 90s vs. cons ~100% HIGH
PSX Guide FY 2026 EPS trajectory (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide reaffirm constructive; implied H2 ~$12.7 vs. cons $12.7 MEDIUM
PSX Guide Western Gateway Pipeline FID (2026) BETTER guide FID announced or confirmed imminent vs. not in consensus MEDIUM
PSX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
PSX Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — FY 2026 estimate revisions upward as sell side models the beat; Western Gateway FID is a multi-day catalyst; partially offset by Q3 utilization guide headwind pulling near-term Q3 estimates down MEDIUM