PSX Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PSX Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$8.10 vs. cons $7.68 MEDIUM
PSX Report Refining adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$3.10B vs. cons $2.92B MEDIUM
PSX Report Refining utilization MISS pred ~96.0% vs. cons 100.1% MEDIUM
PSX Guide Refining utilization (Q3 2026) LOWER guide ~94-96% vs. cons 102.3% MEDIUM
PSX Guide Refining margin/capture commentary (Q3 2026) BETTER guide constructive vs. numerical consensus UNVERIFIED LOW
PSX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
PSX Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — high bar, no formal forward raise LOW