{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$8.10 vs. cons $7.68",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Refining adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$3.10B vs. cons $2.92B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Refining utilization",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~96.0% vs. cons 100.1%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Refining utilization (Q3 2026)",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~94-96% vs. cons 102.3%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Refining margin/capture commentary (Q3 2026)",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide constructive vs. numerical consensus UNVERIFIED",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -2.0,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": -3.0,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "FOLLOW-THROUGH \u2014 high bar, no formal forward raise",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}