Q Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
Q Report Q2 2026 net sales BEAT pred ~$1.380B vs. cons $1.356B MEDIUM
Q Report Q2 2026 adjusted operating EBITDA BEAT pred ~$418M vs. cons $413.1M MEDIUM
Q Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.08 vs. cons $1.06 MEDIUM
Q Guide Full-year net sales guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~$5.375B vs. cons $5.373B (FY2026) MEDIUM
Q Guide Full-year adjusted operating EBITDA guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~$1.625B vs. cons $1.617B (FY2026) MEDIUM
Q Guide Full-year adjusted EPS guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$4.15 vs. cons $4.16 (FY2026) MEDIUM
Q Guide Full-year adjusted free-cash-flow guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~$550M vs. cons $431.5M (FY2026) LOW
Q Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.2% MEDIUM
Q Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.6% (FADE) The predicted Q2 revenue beat is ~$24M versus consensus, but FY2026 sales guidance of ~$5.375B versus consensus of $5.373B implies H2 sales of only ~$2.680B versus the pre-report consensus math of ~$2.702B. Likewise, EPS guidance of ~$4.15 versus $4.16 leaves implied H2 EPS near ~$1.99 versus ~$2.02. Those implicit out-period cuts should partially offset the EBITDA raise and fade the initial beat-driven reaction. MEDIUM