Q Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
Q Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,395M vs. cons $1,364M MEDIUM
Q Report Adj. EBITDA Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~31.2% vs. cons 30.6% MEDIUM
Q Report Adj. EPS - Diluted Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.10 vs. cons $1.074 MEDIUM
Q Guide FY 2026 Revenue (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide mid ~$5.425B vs. cons $5.415B MEDIUM
Q Guide FY 2026 Adj. EBITDA (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide mid ~$1.620B vs. cons $1.631B MEDIUM
Q Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide mid ~$4.175 vs. cons $4.184 MEDIUM
Q Guide MSI Wafer Starts (qualitative) BETTER upgrade to 'high single digits' vs. prior 'mid-to-high single digits' MEDIUM
Q Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.0% MEDIUM
Q Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.0% (FADE) FADE - Day-1 pop partially reverses as market processes flat H2 implied guide math and no leadership resolution; less severe than prior quarters given stock already discounted MEDIUM