ROK Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ROK Report Adjusted EPS (FQ3'26) BEAT pred ~$3.46 vs. cons $3.38 MEDIUM
ROK Report Revenue (FQ3'26) IN-LINE pred ~$2.26B vs. cons $2.25B MEDIUM
ROK Report Enterprise operating margin (FQ3'26) IN-LINE pred ~22.0% vs. cons ~21.8% LOW
ROK Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS guide (midpoint) BETTER guide ~$12.95 (raise to $12.70-$13.20) vs. cons $12.85 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY26 organic sales growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~7% (5%-9%) vs. cons ~7% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY26 enterprise operating margin guide UNCHANGED guide ~21.5% vs. cons ~21.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ROK Guide Book-to-bill / order breadth (data center, semi, energy) BETTER guide ~1.0-1.05 vs. cons ~1.0 (FQ3'26) LOW
ROK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
ROK Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A ~5th straight beat plus a modest FY EPS raise (~$12.95 vs $12.85) should trigger an initial pop, but with the stock near all-time highs (~$481, +21% YTD, already gapped +15% on Q2) much of the broadening-demand/margin-upside story is priced in. Management pre-flagged sequentially lower H2 margins on a double-digit-million memory headwind, tariffs and higher project/E&D spend, so out-quarter (FQ4/FY27) estimate math gets trimmed even on a headline beat. That out-period drag plus profit-taking off a demanding valuation caps follow-through and pulls the initial residual gain roughly in half over five days. LOW