ROK Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ROK Report Adjusted EPS (Q3 FY26) BEAT pred ~$3.52 vs. cons $3.38 HIGH
ROK Report Revenue (Q3 FY26) BEAT pred ~$2.29B vs. cons $2.25B MEDIUM
ROK Report Enterprise Operating Margin (Q3 FY26) IN-LINE pred ~22.6% vs. cons 22.4% MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance BETTER guide ~$13.10 (midpoint of raised $12.90-$13.30) vs. cons $13.00 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY2026 Organic/Reported Sales growth guidance BETTER guide ~7.5% (midpoint of raised 6%-9% range) vs. cons ~7.0% (FY2026) LOW
ROK Guide Q4 FY2026 implied Enterprise Operating Margin/EPS commentary BETTER guide ~23.0% margin / ~$3.75 EPS vs. cons ~22.7% margin / ~$3.70 EPS (Q4 FY2026) LOW
ROK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
ROK Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.8% (FADE) Stock has already rallied ~18% since the Q2 beat-and-raise and trades near 42x earnings, so a Q3 beat that merely confirms management's own sequential guidance (flat sales, +$0.05 EPS) rather than showing fresh acceleration risks a 'sell the news' fade as analysts roll Q4 estimates only modestly higher (implicit out-period math already embeds most of the good news); memory/component inflation commentary and a Software & Control margin step-down from Q2's 34.9% high-water mark could also cap upward revisions, pulling the initial pop back over the following days. MEDIUM