ROK Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ROK Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.48 vs. cons $3.38 MEDIUM
ROK Report Reported revenue BEAT pred ~$2.28B vs. cons $2.25B MEDIUM
ROK Report Enterprise operating margin IN-LINE pred ~22.7% vs. cons 22.5% MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY26 adjusted EPS midpoint BETTER guide ~$12.95 vs. cons $12.85 (FY26) MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY26 organic-sales-growth midpoint BETTER guide ~7.5% vs. cons 7.0% (FY26) LOW
ROK Guide FY26 enterprise operating margin BETTER guide ~21.7% vs. cons 21.5% (FY26) LOW
ROK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
ROK Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$3.48 Q3 EPS result versus $3.38 consensus, paired with a FY26 EPS midpoint of ~$12.95 versus ~$12.85 consensus, creates positive out-period math: the implied Q4 earnings burden remains achievable despite Software & Control margin normalization, supporting upward FY26/FY27 revisions rather than a one-day beat-and-fade. MEDIUM