ROK Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ROK Report Adj. Operating EPS (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~$3.50 vs. cons $3.387 (VA, Jul 1 2026) MEDIUM
ROK Report S&C Segment Op. Margin (Q3 FY2026) MISS pred ~33.0% vs. cons 33.80% (VA, Jul 1 2026) MEDIUM
ROK Report Total Organic Growth % (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~+7.0% vs. cons +6.32% (VA, Jul 1 2026) MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY2026 Adj. EPS (FY2026) BETTER guide ~$13.10-$13.20 mid vs. cons $13.038 (VA, latest) MEDIUM
ROK Guide FY2026 Organic Sales Growth (FY2026) BETTER guide 6-9% mid ~7.5% vs. cons ~6.5% (VA, latest) MEDIUM
ROK Guide Enterprise Op. Margin (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~21.5% maintained vs. cons 22.85% (segment metric, not directly comparable) HIGH
ROK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
ROK Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE - S&C margin miss absorbed on Day-1; implied Q4 math in-line with consensus; no estimate cascade expected; modest recovery as revenue beat quality recognized MEDIUM