RSG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RSG Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$2.04 vs. cons ~$2.00 MEDIUM
RSG Report Revenue (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~$4.34B vs. cons ~$4.36B MEDIUM
RSG Report Adjusted EBITDA margin (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~32.3% vs. cons ~32.3% (flat-to-slightly-down YoY as guided) MEDIUM
RSG Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide reaffirmed ~$7.20-7.28 (mid $7.24) vs. cons ~$7.24 (FY2026) MEDIUM
RSG Guide FY2026 Revenue guide UNCHANGED guide ~$17.05-17.15B vs. cons ~$17.05B (FY2026); modest trim risk on soft volume post-WM LOW
RSG Guide FY2026 Adjusted FCF guide UNCHANGED guide reaffirmed ~$2.52-2.56B vs. cons ~$2.54B (FY2026) MEDIUM
RSG Guide FY2026 organic volume / H2 inflection commentary UNKNOWN guide ~ -1% total volume vs. cons ~ -0.9% (FY2026); H2/Q4 flip-to-positive is the swing LOW
RSG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
RSG Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) Likely small EPS beat on pricing/cost/AI self-help with FY EPS/FCF reaffirmed drives a modest relief pop in a defensive, low-beta (~0.6) name that already corrected ~11% from its March high and ~5% post-WM. But the out-period math is demanding: FY guide implies an H2/Q4 volume flip to positive and back-half margin expansion while Q2 volume is still negative and WM just flagged soft volumes — so estimates don't get revised meaningfully higher and the day-1 gain largely holds rather than compounds. Net: stabilize near the initial move with mild give-back risk if the top-line guide is nudged lower. LOW