RSG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RSG Report Adj. EBITDA Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~32.1% vs. cons 31.88% MEDIUM
RSG Report ES Revenue (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$440M vs. cons $446M MEDIUM
RSG Report Adj. EPS Diluted Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.87 vs. cons $1.82 MEDIUM
RSG Guide Adj. EPS (FY 2026) LOWER guide $7.10-$7.28 (reaffirm) vs. cons $7.30 MEDIUM
RSG Guide Revenue (FY 2026) LOWER guide $16.85B-$17.15B (reaffirm) vs. cons $17.21B MEDIUM
RSG Guide Adj. EBITDA (FY 2026) LOWER guide $5.40B-$5.50B (reaffirm) vs. cons $5.53B MEDIUM
RSG Guide Qualitative: H2 volume flip (FY 2026) UNCHANGED confirm on track, no pull-forward HIGH
RSG Guide Qualitative: ES inflection (H2 2026) UNCHANGED confirm H2 growth, cautious on Q3 HIGH
RSG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
RSG Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FADE) FADE - sell-side re-anchors Q3/Q4 to guide midpoint; implicit FY cut pulls estimates down modestly despite Q2 beat MEDIUM