SPG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-10

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SPG Report Real Estate FFO per share BEAT pred ~$3.14 vs. cons $3.10 MEDIUM
SPG Report Domestic property NOI growth BEAT pred ~4.9% vs. cons 4.6% MEDIUM
SPG Report U.S. Malls & Premium Outlets occupancy IN-LINE pred ~96.1% vs. cons 96.1% MEDIUM
SPG Guide FY2026 Real Estate FFO per share guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$13.10-$13.30 (midpoint $13.20) vs. cons $13.22 (FY2026) MEDIUM
SPG Guide FY2026 net interest-expense / interest-income headwind commentary BETTER guide ~$(0.24)/share vs. cons ~$(0.26)/share (FY2026) LOW
SPG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
SPG Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.7% (FADE) A modest ~$0.04 FFO beat and above-consensus NOI should produce an initially positive reaction, but essentially unchanged FY2026 FFO midpoint (~$13.20 versus $13.22 consensus) leaves little upward out-period estimate revision; the initial move should partially fade as investors focus on refinancing drag and already-elevated valuation. MEDIUM