SPG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-10

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SPG Report Real Estate FFO/share IN-LINE pred ~$3.25 vs. cons $3.226 MEDIUM
SPG Report Same-store NOI growth BEAT pred ~5.5% vs. cons 5.13% MEDIUM
SPG Report Occupancy IN-LINE pred ~96.2% vs. cons 96.12% MEDIUM
SPG Guide FY2026 Real Estate FFO/share LOWER guide ~$13.10-$13.25 vs. cons $13.266 MEDIUM
SPG Guide FY2026 domestic NOI growth UNCHANGED guide at least 3% vs. cons 6.41% LOW
SPG Guide Leasing / retailer demand UNCHANGED guide broad-based strength vs. numerical consensus UNVERIFIED LOW
SPG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
SPG Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — maintained FY guide limits forward estimate upside LOW