SRE Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SRE Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.09 vs. cons $1.06 MEDIUM
SRE Report Sempra Texas segment earnings (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$290M vs. cons $278M HIGH
SRE Report Sempra Infrastructure segment earnings (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$85M vs. cons $90M LOW
SRE Guide Adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$5.05 midpoint vs. cons $5.12 (FY2026) HIGH
SRE Guide EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$5.40 midpoint vs. cons $5.54 (FY2027) HIGH
SRE Guide Long-term EPS growth target UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% midpoint vs. cons 8.0% (2026-2030) HIGH
SRE Guide SI Partners transaction closing UNCHANGED guide ~Q3 2026 vs. cons Q3 2026 (closing period) MEDIUM
SRE Guide ECA LNG substantial completion UNCHANGED guide ~Q4 2026 vs. cons Q4 2026 (completion period) MEDIUM
SRE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.4% MEDIUM
SRE Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) The initial relief response should reflect the Oncor-driven EPS beat and confirmation of the two transaction milestones, but the beat is largely a prior-period regulatory catch-up. Unchanged FY2026 guidance at ~$5.05 midpoint vs. $5.12 consensus and FY2027 guidance at ~$5.40 midpoint vs. $5.54 consensus leave out-period revision math flat to slightly negative, causing part of the day-1 move to fade. MEDIUM