TAP Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TAP Report Underlying EPS MISS pred ~$1.62 vs. cons $1.77 MEDIUM
TAP Report Net sales IN-LINE pred ~$3.18B vs. cons $3.20B MEDIUM
TAP Report U.S. financial volume MISS pred ~-9.4% vs. cons -7.5% HIGH
TAP Guide FY26 underlying pretax income LOWER guide ~$1.17B vs. cons $1.21B (FY26) MEDIUM
TAP Guide FY26 underlying EPS LOWER guide ~$5.38 vs. cons $5.59 (FY26) MEDIUM
TAP Guide FY26 underlying free cash flow LOWER guide ~$1.05B vs. cons $1.10B (FY26) MEDIUM
TAP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.5% MEDIUM
TAP Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The anticipated EPS/volume miss is likely compounded by a FY26 pretax-income guide of ~$1.17B versus ~$1.21B consensus and FCF of ~$1.05B versus ~$1.10B, pulling down out-period estimates rather than leaving the quarter as a contained 2Q cost-phasing issue. MEDIUM