TDG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TDG Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$2.80B vs. cons $2.76B MEDIUM
TDG Report EBITDA As Defined BEAT pred ~$1.45B vs. cons $1.42B MEDIUM
TDG Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$10.82 vs. cons $10.65 MEDIUM
TDG Guide FY26 Revenue guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$10.36B vs. cons $10.39B (FY26) HIGH
TDG Guide FY26 EBITDA As Defined guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$5.42B vs. cons $5.44B (FY26) HIGH
TDG Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$39.52 vs. cons $39.85 (FY26) MEDIUM
TDG Guide FY26 Free cash flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.50B vs. cons $2.50B (FY26) HIGH
TDG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
TDG Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A modest ~$0.17 EPS beat versus consensus is likely offset by FY26 adjusted-EPS guidance of ~$39.52 versus ~$39.85 consensus and no material revenue/EBITDA guide increase; the initial positive reaction should fade as out-period estimates and FY27 margin expectations are revised lower. MEDIUM