TDG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TDG Report Net sales IN-LINE pred ~$2.700B vs. cons $2.675B MEDIUM
TDG Report EBITDA As Defined IN-LINE pred ~$1.410B vs. cons $1.400B MEDIUM
TDG Report Commercial aftermarket sales BEAT pred ~$850MM vs. cons $837MM MEDIUM
TDG Guide FY26 net sales (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~$10.360B midpoint vs. cons $10.382B MEDIUM
TDG Guide FY26 EBITDA As Defined (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~$5.420B midpoint vs. cons $5.444B MEDIUM
TDG Guide FY26 adjusted EPS (FY26) LOWER guide ~$39.52 midpoint vs. cons $40.00 MEDIUM
TDG Guide Commercial aftermarket growth (FY26) UNCHANGED guide high-single-digit to low-double-digit growth vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
TDG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% LOW
TDG Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — implicit Q4 cut risk LOW