TPL Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TPL Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.28 vs. cons $2.19 MEDIUM
TPL Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$254.0M vs. cons $249.6M MEDIUM
TPL Report Royalty production MISS pred ~38.00 MBOE/d vs. cons 38.53 MBOE/d MEDIUM
TPL Guide FY2026 capex ($65M-$75M) UNCHANGED guide ~$65M-$75M vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
TPL Guide 3Q26 royalty/activity commentary UNCHANGED guide ~39.8 MBOE/d equivalent vs. cons 39.64 MBOE/d LOW
TPL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% LOW
TPL Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH - volume/forward mismatch pressures estimates LOW