TTD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TTD Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$760M vs. cons $752M MEDIUM
TTD Report Adj. EBITDA BEAT pred ~$268M vs. cons $262M MEDIUM
TTD Report Non-GAAP EPS IN-LINE pred ~$0.38 vs. cons ~$0.37 LOW
TTD Guide Q3'26 revenue guide LOWER guide ~$795M vs. cons ~$805M (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
TTD Guide Q3'26 adj. EBITDA guide UNCHANGED guide ~$298M vs. cons ~$300M (Q3 2026) LOW
TTD Guide FY26 adj. EBITDA margin (reaffirm) UNCHANGED guide ~40% vs. cons ~40% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TTD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% LOW
TTD Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest headline beat (rev ~$760M/EBITDA ~$268M) is unlikely to offset the core debate: Q3 guide of ~$795M implies growth decelerating toward ~7-8% (from Q1 +12%, Q2 ~+9%). The implicit out-period cut forces analysts to trim H2/FY27 revenue and question the 'at least 40%' margin bridge after a soft H1 (Q1 30% margin), so estimate revisions drift lower and extend the initial negative reaction. Lack of a permanent CFO and unresolved Amazon/agency-share overhangs add to the downward bias. Low-bar/bearish positioning caps but does not reverse the drift; TTD remains a high-volatility, idiosyncratic mover. LOW