TTWO Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-07

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TTWO Report Q1 FY27 Net Bookings BEAT pred ~$1.40B vs. cons ~$1.35B MEDIUM
TTWO Report Q1 FY27 GAAP net revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.49B vs. cons ~$1.48B MEDIUM
TTWO Report Q1 FY27 GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~-$0.12 vs. cons ~-$0.19 LOW
TTWO Guide FY27 Net Bookings guide (full year) LOWER guide ~$8.0-8.2B (reaffirmed) vs. cons ~$8.6B (FY27) HIGH
TTWO Guide Q2 FY27 Net Bookings guide UNKNOWN guide ~$1.45B vs. cons ~$1.50B (Q2 FY27, pre-GTA VI) LOW
TTWO Guide GTA VI launch date confidence UNCHANGED guide Nov 19, 2026 held vs. prior Nov 19, 2026 (FY27 launch) MEDIUM
TTWO Guide FY27 Recurrent consumer spending UNCHANGED guide ~flat/-3% Q1 vs. cons ~flat (FY27, ~65% of bookings) MEDIUM
TTWO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% LOW
TTWO Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) The print is soft by design and the FY27 $8.0-8.2B guide is a conservative reaffirm below the Street's ~$8.6B, so out-period estimates barely move — no revision fuel either way. Day-1 pop is relief-driven (GTA VI Nov 19 date holding + qualitative pre-order strength), not a numbers upgrade. With the real catalyst still 3+ months out and the stock already off its ~$258 July peak, the reaction should hold rather than compound or fully fade — drifting sideways as investors wait for Rockstar-controlled GTA VI disclosures. LOW