TTWO Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-07

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TTWO Report Q1 FY27 Net Bookings BEAT pred ~$1.40B vs. cons $1.36B MEDIUM
TTWO Report Q1 FY27 GAAP EPS (net loss/share) BEAT pred ~-$0.15 vs. cons -$0.21 MEDIUM
TTWO Report Recurrent Consumer Spending growth YoY BEAT pred ~-1% vs. cons -3% (company-guided decline) MEDIUM
TTWO Guide FY2027 Full-Year Net Bookings guidance LOWER guide ~$8.1B (reiterated $8.0-8.2B range) vs. cons $8.6B (FY2027) HIGH
TTWO Guide FY2027 Operating Cash Flow guidance BETTER guide ~$1.05B vs. cons $0.95B (FY2027) LOW
TTWO Guide Q2 FY2027 Net Bookings guidance (implied/next-Q) UNKNOWN guide ~$1.55B vs. cons $1.52B (Q2 FY2027) LOW
TTWO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
TTWO Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) TTWO's Q1 print is a seasonally light, easy-to-beat bar it has cleared every quarter recently, so a beat is largely pre-priced and likely triggers only a modest pop. The bigger swing factor—FY2027 net bookings guidance ($8.0-8.2B)—is very likely reiterated rather than raised this early, and remains ~5-6% below Street's ~$8.6B model; that gap forces analysts to true-down out-quarter/out-year estimates even after a Q1 beat. Combined with continued silence on the GTA VI trailer/marketing cadence (the real catalyst investors are waiting on) and the stock already sitting mid-to-upper in its $210-255 range, initial enthusiasm is likely to fade over the following days as the conservative full-year framework and lack of incremental GTA VI news get digested. LOW