UBER Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UBER Report Gross Bookings (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$57.9B vs. cons ~$57.2B MEDIUM
UBER Report Adjusted EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.82B vs. cons ~$2.77B MEDIUM
UBER Report Non-GAAP EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.87 vs. cons ~$0.83 MEDIUM
UBER Guide Q3 2026 Gross Bookings growth (YoY, constant currency) LOWER guide ~19% vs. cons ~20% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
UBER Guide Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$2.95B vs. cons ~$2.93B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
UBER Guide Delivery Hero deal EPS accretion (Year 3) UNCHANGED guide ~8% vs. cons/prior guide ~8% (by FY2028/Year 3 post-close) LOW
UBER Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
UBER Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A clean Q2 beat on Bookings/EBITDA/EPS should drive an initial positive pop (stock has already de-risked somewhat after the July Waymo-driven selloff, bouncing off $65.94 back to ~$72), but the Q3 guide signaling growth deceleration to ~19% GB growth (down from >21% streak) implies implicit cuts to out-period Mobility/Delivery estimates even as the current quarter beats. Combined with unresolved overhangs (escalating Waymo/labor tension into DC AV legislation, Delivery Hero financing/integration risk, and AV competitive share questions in SF/LA), analysts are likely to trim FY26/FY27 estimates on the back-half deceleration, causing the initial beat-driven pop to partially fade over the following days rather than sustain a full follow-through move. MEDIUM