{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.610B vs. cons $1.638B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Capacity revenue",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$390M vs. cons $402M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.480 vs. cons $1.513",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 Adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide $6.8B-$7.6B vs. cons $7.385B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 Adjusted FCFbG",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide $3.925B-$4.725B vs. cons UNVERIFIED",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Cogentrix / contracting commentary",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "maintain H2 close target and no incremental formal update before close vs. cons UNVERIFIED",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -1.5,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": -5.0,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "FOLLOW-THROUGH - estimate risk persists after a miss-plus-maintain package",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}