WBD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
WBD Report Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS MISS pred ~-$0.20 vs. cons -$0.13 MEDIUM
WBD Report Q2 2026 Total Revenue MISS pred ~$9.10B vs. cons $9.24B MEDIUM
WBD Report Streaming (HBO Max) Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$560M vs. cons $520M MEDIUM
WBD Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance/implied consensus path LOWER guide ~-$1.20 vs. cons -$1.07 (FY2026) MEDIUM
WBD Guide Global Streaming Subscribers target, YE2026 BETTER guide ~155M vs. cons 150M (YE2026) MEDIUM
WBD Guide Studios Adjusted EBITDA, FY2026 (vs. 2025 'in-line' framing) UNCHANGED guide ~$2.9B vs. cons $3.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
WBD Guide Free Cash Flow conversion range UNCHANGED guide ~33%-50% vs. cons ~40% (FY2026) LOW
WBD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
WBD Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.7% (STABILIZE) Headline EPS miss is driven almost entirely by recognizable, non-recurring deal-related cash costs (advisory fees, bridge financing interest, tax leakage) rather than core deterioration, and Streaming EBITDA beat plus reaffirmed 150M+ subscriber trajectory should reassure on the standalone story; but Studios guidance staying merely 'in-line' with 2025 caps upward estimate revisions, so out-period numbers don't move much either way. With deal-question moratorium on the call and the Paramount litigation/trial timeline (paused to June 2027, trial March 2027) remaining the dominant driver of price action, the stock should stabilize near its post-print level over the following days rather than extending a large idiosyncratic move, as trading reverts to being driven by antitrust-litigation headlines rather than the quarter's fundamentals. LOW