| WDC |
Report |
Q4 FY26 Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.75B vs. cons $3.69B |
MEDIUM |
| WDC |
Report |
Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.45 vs. cons $3.31 |
MEDIUM |
| WDC |
Report |
Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP Gross Margin |
BEAT |
pred ~52.5% vs. cons ~52.0% |
MEDIUM |
| WDC |
Guide |
Q1 FY27 Revenue guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$3.95B vs. cons ~$3.85B (Q1 FY27) |
MEDIUM |
| WDC |
Guide |
Q1 FY27 Non-GAAP EPS guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$3.70 vs. cons ~$3.55 (Q1 FY27) |
MEDIUM |
| WDC |
Guide |
Q1 FY27 Non-GAAP Gross Margin guide |
BETTER |
guide ~53% vs. cons ~52% (Q1 FY27) |
LOW |
| WDC |
Guide |
FY27 exabyte/LTA pricing framing & capital return (buyback pace, last 1.7M SNDK stake, potential dividend hike) |
BETTER |
pred >25% exabyte CAGR + ~$2.5B annual returns vs. cons ~$2.0B (FY27) |
LOW |
| WDC |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+2.0% |
— |
LOW |
| WDC |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
+3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) |
Unlike the generic 'implicit cut' setup, WDC's out-period math skews UP: Seagate's ~$7.30 EPS step-up guide, LTAs extending into CY28/29, +9% YoY per-TB pricing and 70-75% incremental margins mean a beat-and-raise should drive positive forward estimate revisions, sustaining gains. Offsetting this: shares already ran ~610% YoY and popped ~15% on the STX read-through, so a chunk is priced in, capping upside and creating sell-the-news risk if the Q1FY27 guide only matches the lofty whisper. Net expectation is modest follow-through rather than a large squeeze, hence low conviction. |
LOW |