WYNN Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
WYNN Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) MISS pred ~$0.95 vs. cons $1.03 MEDIUM
WYNN Report Macau Adjusted Property EBITDAR MISS pred ~$205M vs. cons $235M MEDIUM
WYNN Report Las Vegas Adjusted Property EBITDAR IN-LINE pred ~$256M vs. cons $258M MEDIUM
WYNN Guide Wynn Al Marjan Island (UAE) opening timeline LOWER guide ~mid/late-2028 opening vs. cons expectation of spring 2027 (full-project timeline, disclosed Q2'26 call) MEDIUM
WYNN Guide Cotai Expanded Resort / Enclave tower capex guidance (FY2026-2030 cumulative) LOWER guide ~$1.0B-$1.1B total incl. $80.8M land premium vs. cons prior estimate of ~$900-950M (multi-year capex through completion) MEDIUM
WYNN Guide Encore Boston Harbor EBITDAR trend (Q3'26 outlook commentary) LOWER guide ~$48-52M run-rate vs. cons ~$55M (Q3 2026 outlook) LOW
WYNN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.8% MEDIUM
WYNN Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Macau GGR deterioration in June/July was already partly known, but a confirmed UAE delay quantification plus incremental multi-year Cotai capex commitment (land premium + Enclave tower spend) push analysts to trim out-year EBITDA/FCF and raise leverage/funding concerns; Las Vegas comps get harder into H2 2026 (lapping record 2025), so post-print estimate revisions for FY26/27 likely skew down even if Q2 print itself is only modestly below consensus, driving continued downward drift over the following days rather than a snap-back. MEDIUM