WYNN Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
WYNN Report Consolidated Adjusted Property EBITDAR BEAT pred ~$576M vs. cons $568M MEDIUM
WYNN Report Macau Adjusted Property EBITDAR MISS pred ~$282M vs. cons $286M MEDIUM
WYNN Report Las Vegas Adjusted Property EBITDAR BEAT pred ~$239M vs. cons $235M MEDIUM
WYNN Guide Macau Adjusted Property EBITDAR run-rate LOWER guide ~$292M vs. cons $298M (Q3 2026) LOW
WYNN Guide Las Vegas Adjusted Property EBITDAR LOWER guide ~$220M vs. cons $223M (Q3 2026) LOW
WYNN Guide Wynn Al Marjan opening timing UNCHANGED guide ~4Q27 vs. cons 4Q27 (opening period) MEDIUM
WYNN Guide Wynn Al Marjan remaining equity requirement UNCHANGED guide ~$400M vs. cons $400M (through project completion) MEDIUM
WYNN Guide Macau expansionary capital expenditure UNCHANGED guide ~$425M vs. cons $425M (FY2026) HIGH
WYNN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
WYNN Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) Day-5 residual ~+0.8% vs. day-1 residual +2.2%: an initial consolidated EBITDAR beat and unchanged 4Q27 Al Marjan timing should help, but softer normalized Macau and Q3 Las Vegas math should limit upward estimate revisions and partially reverse the first-day gain. MEDIUM