| XYZ |
Report |
Adjusted Gross Profit |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.12B vs. cons ~$3.05B (guide $3.04B) |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Report |
Adjusted Diluted EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$0.91 vs. cons $0.86 |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Report |
Adjusted Operating Income |
BEAT |
pred ~$785M vs. cons ~$745M (guide $740M) |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Guide |
FY26 Gross Profit guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$12.45B vs. cons ~$12.42B (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Guide |
FY26 Adj. Diluted EPS guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$3.95 vs. cons ~$3.90 (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Guide |
FY26 Adj. Operating Income guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$3.42B vs. cons ~$3.36B (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Guide |
Q3'26 Gross Profit guide (Borrow deceleration test) |
UNKNOWN |
guide ~$3.20B vs. cons ~$3.17B (Q3'26) |
LOW |
| XYZ |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+4.0% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| XYZ |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
+2.0% (FADE) |
A beat-and-modest-raise (GP/EPS/AOI above the $3.04B/$0.86/$740M guide, FY nudged up) should spark an initial pop given the AI-velocity narrative and momentum. But the stock already ran ~20% into the print (~$70 in early May to ~$85), so expectations are elevated. The out-period math caps follow-through: management's own framing of Borrow/consumer-lending deceleration in H2 and the reiterated mid-teens GP exit-rate limits how far forward estimates can be revised up even on a beat, so 2H/2027 numbers don't inflect much. That plus programmatic insider selling into strength pulls part of the day-1 gain back, leaving a positive-but-fading 5-day residual. |
LOW |