Chapter 2 : Types of Events



Event arrow_upward


  • An event is a subset of a sample space when the outcome satisfies certain conditions.

  • Types of Events arrow_upward


  • A subset of the sample space S is called an event.
  • Note:
    • Sample space S plays the same role as the universal set for all problems related to the particular experiment.
    •  is also a subset of S which is called an impossible event.
  • Types of events:
    • Simple Event
    • Mixed Event
    • Equally Likely Events
    • Exhaustive Events
    • Mutually Exclusive Events
    • Independent Events
    • Complement of an Event
    • Collectively Exhaustive Events

    Simple Event arrow_upward


  • An event having only a single element of the sample space is called a Simple Event.
  • Example: When a coin is tossed, and we denote,
  • E1 = {H} = The event of occurrence of head.

       E2 = {T} = The event of occurrence of tail.

    • Then, E1 and E2 are simple events in the sample space S = {H, T}.

    Mixed Event arrow_upward


  • A subset of the sample space S which contains more than one element is called a Mixed Event.
  • Example: When a coin is tossed, we denote E = {H, T} = The event of occurrence of a head or a tail.
    • Then, E is a mixed event in the sample space S = {H, T}.

    Equally Likely Events arrow_upward


  • Two or more events are said to be equally likely if each one of them has an equal chance of occurrence.
  • Example: When a fair coin is tossed, then occurrences of head or tail are equally likely events and there is no reason to expect a ‘head’ or a ‘tail’ in preference to the other.

  • Exhaustive Events arrow_upward


  • Events are said to be Exhaustive when their totality includes all the possible outcomes of a random experiment.
  • Example: If a die is thrown, then the events A1 = {1, 2} and A2 = {2, 3, 4} are not exhaustive as we can get 5 as outcome of the experiment which is not the member of any of the events A1 and A2.  
    • But if we consider the events E1 = {1, 2, 3} and E2 = {2, 4, 5, 6}, then the set of events E1 , E2 is exhaustive.

    Mutually Exclusive Events arrow_upward


  • Two events are 'mutually exclusive' if they cannot occur at the same time, that is if one event occurs, the other doesn't occur.
  • Example: Throwing a die once can yield a 5 or 6, but not both, in the same throw.
    • The probability that either a 5 or 6 occurs is the sum of their individual probabilities.

    p = p1 + p2

        


    Independent Events arrow_upward


  • Two events are said to be Independent, if the occurrence of one does not depend on the occurrence of the other.
  • Example: When a coin is tossed twice, the event of occurrence of head in the first throw and the event of occurrence of head in the second throw are independent events.
  • Note:
  • If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, they would be strongly dependent as the occurrence of one precludes the occurrence of other.

  • Complement of an Event arrow_upward


  • The Complement of an event E, denoted by  or  is the set of all sample points of the space other than the sample points in E.
  • Example: When a die is thrown, we get the sample space,
  • S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

    • If E = {1, 2, 3, 4}; then

    Collectively Exhaustive Events arrow_upward


  • In the probability theory, a set of events is jointly or collectively exhaustive if at least one of the events must occur.
  • Example: For the die-rolling experiment, the set of events consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6.
    • The set is collectively exhaustive because it includes all possible outcomes.
    • Thus, all sample spaces are collectively exhaustive.

    Probability of Occurrence of an Event arrow_upward


  • Let S be a sample space.
  • Then the probability of occurrence of an event A is denoted by P (A) and is defined as:
  •  

  • Example: Two dice are thrown simultaneously. Find the probability that the product of number is 6.
  • Solution: Here n(S) = 6 × 6 = 36
    • Favorable condition for probability that the product of numbers on both dices is 6, is:

    = {(1, 6), (2, 3), (3, 2), (6, 1)}

    n (E) = 4

    • Therefore, desired probability:


    Union of Events arrow_upward


  • If either event A or event B or both occur on a single performance of an experiment, this is called the Union of the events A and B, and is denoted by (AB).
  • The union of A and B is the whole blue colored area.
  • If two events are mutually exclusive then
  • the probability of either occurring is:
  • If the events are not mutually exclusive, then,

  • Intersection of Events arrow_upward


  • If both events happen simultaneously it is written as A  B and it is read as A intersection B.
  • The intersection of A and Bis shown by
    the purple overlapping area in the above figure.
  • If two events, A andB are independent, the joint probability is:

  • Conditional Probability arrow_upward


  • If A and B are two events associated with a random experiment, then
  • Or

  • Therefore,
  • and

  • Example: If A and B are two events such that P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.6 and
  • P(AB) = 0.8, find P(A/B) and P(B/A)?
  • Solution: We have,
    • Therefore,

         = 0.5 + 0.6 - 0.8 = 0.3

    • Now,

    and



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