{ Analytica Model Sustainable_Energy_P, encoding="UTF-8" }
SoftwareVersion 6.2.0


{ System Variables with non-default values: }
SampleSize := 1000
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize Run: 227,690}
TypeChecking := 1
Checking := 1
SaveOptions := 2
SaveValues := 0
{!40400|Att_GraphSetupSlices Graph_KDE_Valdim: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothFactor := 0.25}
{!40600|Att_PrevIndexValue AllProbabilityBands: [0,0.01,0.025,0.05,0.1,0.25,0.3333333333333333,0.5,0.6666666666666666,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.0975,0.99,1]}
{!50400|Sys_UseLegacyColors := 1}

DisplayOutputs Object: Chance RECs_Price_Uncertain
{!-50299|DiagramColor Model: 65535,65535,65535}
{!-50299|DiagramColor Module: 65535,65535,65535}
{!-50299|DiagramColor LinkModule: 65535,65535,65535}
{!-50299|DiagramColor Library: 65535,65535,65535}
{!-50299|DiagramColor LinkLibrary: 65535,65535,65535}
{!-50299|DiagramColor Form: 65535,65535,65535}
DisplayOutputs Index: Chance RECs_Price_Uncertain
NodeInfo FormNode: 1,0,0,1,0,0,0,,0,0,,0,0
NodeColor Text: 65535,65535,65535

{!-60000|Attribute AcpStyles}

AskAttribute Value,Variable,Yes

Model Sustainable_Energy_P
Title: Sustainable Energy Purchasing Strategy
Description: This is the Multi-attribute Utility for Energy Purchasing Strategy model - BUSADM 743 Final Project - Don Jenkins
Author: djenkins
Date: Sun, May 6, 2018 4:14 PM
DefaultSize: 48,24
DiagState: 2,149,22,916,522,17,10
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DiagramColor: 65535,65535,65535
FontStyle: Arial,15
FileInfo: 0,Model Sustainable_Energy_P,2,2,0,0,C:\Users\filst\Downloads\Strategic-Sustainable-Energy-Analytica-Model-master\Strategic-Sustainable-Energy-Analytica-Model-master\Don_Jenkins_Sustainable_Energy_Purchasing_Strategy.ana

Module Strategy_Table
Title: Strategy Table
Description: This module holds the nodes that allow setting up specified strategies that will flow through the whole model, based on identifying the decsisions for each of the decision points in the decision index. The strategy index holds the list of strategies, the decision indx thel list of decisions, the startegy table lists out each decsion result for each strategy, and strategy selection is the decision point that will flow through the rest of the model. There are single nodes for each decsion that will allow us to feed offf of them to build out the modelling in other modules based on the decsions.
Author: djenkins
Date: Mon, May 7, 2018 4:09 PM
NodeLocation: 88,180,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
DiagState: 2,0,157,833,463,17,10
WindState: 2,839,297,839,509
NodeFont: Arial,19

Variable Strategy_Table1
Title: Strategy Table
Description: Strategy Table - matrix of strategic choices and associated decision variables that are chosen
Definition: Table(Decision_Index,Strategy_Index)(~
Choice(Build_Buy,1,0),Choice(Build_Buy,2,0),Choice(Build_Buy,2,0),Choice(Build_Buy,2,0),Choice(Build_Buy,2,0),~
Choice(On_Off_Site,1,0),Choice(On_Off_Site,2,0),Choice(On_Off_Site,2,0),Choice(On_Off_Site,2,0),Choice(On_Off_Site,2,0),~
Choice(Renewable_Energy_Str,4,0),Choice(Renewable_Energy_Str,3,0),Choice(Renewable_Energy_Str,1,0),Choice(Renewable_Energy_Str,1,0),Choice(Renewable_Energy_Str,2,0),~
Choice(Purchase_Strategies,2,0),Choice(Purchase_Strategies,4,0),Choice(Purchase_Strategies,1,0),Choice(Purchase_Strategies,3,0),Choice(Purchase_Strategies,4,0),~
Choice(Equipment_Types,2,0),Choice(Equipment_Types,1,0),Choice(Equipment_Types,1,0),Choice(Equipment_Types,1,0),Choice(Equipment_Types,1,0))
NodeLocation: 104,288,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,632,254,664,358
DefnState: 2,743,14,1146,237,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,825,300,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [Decision_Index,Strategy_Index]

Index Decision_Index
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Build or Buy','On or Off Site','Renewable Energy Strategy','Purchase Strategy','Equipment Type']
Title: Decision Index
Description: This is the list of possible decsions that have to be made to execute the full decision tree that supports picking any particular strategy.
Definition: ['Build or Buy','On or Off Site','Renewable Energy Strategy','Purchase Strategy','Equipment Type']
NodeLocation: 400,80,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,1325,24,476,437
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Index Strategy_Index
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Install own Green Gen','Cheapest Retail Energy Cost','No CAPEX w/ Green short-term','No CAPEX w/ Green long-term','Offset with Renewable Energy Credits']
Title: Strategy Index
Description: This is the list of strategies that can be implemented to approach the sustainable energy purchase.
Definition: ['Install own Green Gen','Cheapest Retail Energy Cost','No CAPEX w/ Green short-term','No CAPEX w/ Green long-term','Offset with Renewable Energy Credits']
NodeLocation: 240,80,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,1322,505,476,482
ValueState: 2,1354,408,400,300,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526349877

Decision Strategy_Selection
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Install own Green Gen','Cheapest Retail Energy Cost','No CAPEX w/ Green short-term','No CAPEX w/ Green long-term','Offset with Renewable Energy Credits']
Title: Strategy Selection
Description: This is the decsion node that allows us to pick one of each strategies for t he overall analysis
Definition: Choice(Self,0)
NodeLocation: 520,288,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,680,162,664,302
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,680,486,664,124,0,MIDM
{!40300|DomainExpr: Discrete('Install own Green Gen','Cheapest Retail Energy Cost','No CAPEX w/ Green short-term','No CAPEX w/ Green long-term','Offset with Renewable Energy Credits',type:'number')}
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 232,84}

Variable Build_or_Buy
Title: Build or Buy
Description: This node models the Build or Buy Decision to be made (1 = Build, 2 = Buy)
Definition: Strategy_Table1[Decision_Index ='Build or Buy',Strategy_Index=Strategy_Selection]~

NodeLocation: 312,160,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,680,0,664,124
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,880,76,664,250,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1525659174
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection]
Att__TotalsIndex: []
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Index,4,Decision_Index,1,Strategy_Selection,1]
Att_OriginRole: Null
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Decision_Index}

Variable Renew_Energy_Strateg
Title: Renew Energy Strategy
Description: This node models the Renewable Energy Strategy Decsion to be made (1 =  Buy Green Energy, 2 = Buy Renewable Energy Credits, 3 = No Renewable Energy, 4 = Use Own Energy)
Definition: Strategy_Table1[Decision_Index='Renewable Energy Strategy',Strategy_Index=Strategy_Selection]~

NodeLocation: 312,288,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,680,0,664,124
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,43,226,664,266,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526415732, Alias Al1526422916
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection]
Att__TotalsIndex: []
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Index,4,Decision_Index,1,Strategy_Selection,1]
Att_OriginRole: Null
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Decision_Index}

Variable On_or_Off_Site
Title: On or Off Site
Description: This node models the On or Off Site Decision to be made (1 = On Site, 2 = Off Site)
Definition: Strategy_Table1[Decision_Index='On or Off Site',Strategy_Index=Strategy_Selection]~

NodeLocation: 312,224,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,680,0,664,124
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,892,384,664,226,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection]
Att__TotalsIndex: []
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Index,4,Decision_Index,1,Strategy_Selection,1]
Att_OriginRole: Null
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Decision_Index}

Variable Purchase_Strategy
Title: Purchase Strategy
Description: This node models the Purchase Strategy Decision to be made (1 = Retail Green, 2 = Own Green, 3 = PPA, 4 = Retail Any)
Definition: Strategy_Table1[Decision_Index='Purchase Strategy',Strategy_Index=Strategy_Selection]~

NodeLocation: 312,352,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,680,0,664,124
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,0,349,664,261,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526266418
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection]
Att__TotalsIndex: []
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Index,4,Decision_Index,1,Strategy_Selection,1]
Att_OriginRole: Null
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Decision_Index}

Variable New_or_Existing
Title: New or Existing
Description: This node models the New or Existing Equipment Decision to be made (1 = Existing, 2 = New)
Definition: Strategy_Table1[Decision_Index='Equipment Type',Strategy_Index=Strategy_Selection]~

NodeLocation: 312,416,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,680,0,664,124
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,0,486,664,124,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection]
Att__TotalsIndex: []
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Index,4,Decision_Index,1,Strategy_Selection,1]
Att_OriginRole: Null
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Decision_Index}

Index Build_Buy
Title: Build Buy
Definition: ['Build','Buy']
NodeLocation: 664,160,1
NodeSize: 64,24

Index On_Off_Site
Title: On Off Site
Definition: ['On Site','Off Site']
NodeLocation: 664,224,1
NodeSize: 64,24

Index Renewable_Energy_Str
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['i. Short-term','ii. Own generation','iii. Long term','iv. Spot market','v. Other']
Title: Renewable Energy Strategies
Definition: ['i. Short-term','ii. Own generation','iii. Long term','iv. Spot market','v. Other']
NodeLocation: 664,288,1
NodeSize: 64,24

Index Purchase_Strategies
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Purchase renewable energy','Lowest cost with offsets','Lowest cost no offsets','Own renewal energy']
Title: Purchase Strategies
Definition: ['Purchase renewable energy','Lowest cost with offsets','Lowest cost no offsets','Own renewal energy']
NodeLocation: 664,352,1
NodeSize: 64,24

Index Equipment_Types
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Purchase','Lease']
Title: Equipment Types
Definition: ['Purchase','Lease']
NodeLocation: 664,416,1
NodeSize: 64,24

Close Strategy_Table

Module MAUT_Scoring
Title: MAUT Scoring
Description: This node houses the Multi-attribute Utility Score calculations. Inputs are the three attribute scoring arrays, normalizing factors, exponents for risk tolerance shaping, and attribute weighting factors. Output is the actual MAU scores.
Author: djenkins
Date: Mon, May 7, 2018 4:09 PM
NodeLocation: 416,184,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
DiagState: 2,862,38,671,489,17,10
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DiagramColor: 65535,65535,65535
NodeFont: Arial,19

Index Attributes
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Spend','Green Value','Prestige']
Title: Attributes
Units: N/A
Description: This node provides the list of attributes for use in indexing the three attribute MAUT score caculations
Definition: ['Spend','Green Value','Prestige']
NodeLocation: 304,56,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 242,42}

Variable Measures
Title: Measures
Units: N/A
Description: This node brings together the outputs from the three attribute modules to prep for the MAUT calculations
Definition: Table(Attributes)(Energy_Cost_Measure,Green_Measure,Prestige_Measure)
NodeLocation: 264,216,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP
GraphSetup: {!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}~
{!40000|Att_ForceCategorical Graph_Pdf_Valdim:1}~
{!40000|Att_CatLineStyle Graph_Pdf_Valdim:9}
ReformDef: [Attributes,Contract_Length]
ReformVal: [Self,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Attributes,3,Strategy_Selection,5,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]

Constant Worst_Cases
Title: Worst Cases
Units: N/A
Description: This node is a table of the bounds for the Worst case value for each of the attributes
Definition: Table(Attributes)(3G,0,0)
NodeLocation: 272,296,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 227,42}

Constant Best_Cases
Title: Best Cases
Units: N/A
Description: This node is a table of the bounds for the Best case value for each of the attributes
Definition: Table(Attributes)(2G,5,5)
NodeLocation: 320,360,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 227,42}

Variable Normalized_Measures
Title: Normalized Measures
Units: Unitless
Description: This node applies the upper and lower bounds for each attribute to normalize it to a unitless value from 0 to 1
Definition: (Measures-Worst_cases)/(Best_cases-Worst_cases)
NodeLocation: 384,216,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,529
ValueState: 2,7,-3,559,558,1,PDFP
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Normalized_Measures:|1:1,,0,,,,,0,1,0}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Attributes,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,2,1]
Att__TotalsIndex: []
Att_ResultSliceState: [Attributes,3,Strategy_Selection,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
Att_ColorRole: Contract_Length
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}

Variable Exponential_Utilitie
Title: Exponential Utilities
Units: Unitless
Description: This node takes the normalized attribute values and shapes them into an exponential utility value to account for the risk tolerance shaped by the risk exponents
Definition: (1-EXP(-Normalized_Measures*Risk_Exponents))/(1-EXP(-1*Risk_Exponents))
NodeLocation: 512,216,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,631,1,571,612,1,PDFP
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Exponential_Utilitie:|1:1,,0,,,,,0,1,0}~
{!40000|Att_CatLineStyle Graph_Pdf_Valdim:9}~
{!40000|Att_ForceCategorical Graph_Pdf_Valdim:1}~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Graph_Cdf_Valdim:1,,0,1,,,,-0.1,1.1,0}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Attributes,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,0,1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Attributes,3,Strategy_Selection,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
Att_ColorRole: Strategy_Selection
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Attributes}

Constant Risk_Exponents
Title: Risk Exponents
Units: Unitless
Description: This node provides a list of the risk tolerance shaping values for each attribute to be used to turn the normalized measures into an exponential utility.
Definition: Table(Attributes)(1,0.5,-0.5)
NodeLocation: 472,360,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,711,268,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Weighted_Utilities
Title: Weighted Utilities
Units: Unitless
Description: This node applies the assigned weights for each attribute to prepare it to calculate the final summed attribure scores
Definition: Exponential_Utilitie*Calc_Weights
NodeLocation: 632,216,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP
GraphSetup: {!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Attributes,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,2,1]
NumberFormat: 2,F,3,3,0,0,3,1,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,15
Att_ResultSliceState: [Attributes,1,Strategy_Selection,5,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Attributes}

Constant Attribute_Weights
Title: Attribute Weights
Units: Unitless
Description: This node is a placeholder for a simple list of weights for the attributes
Definition: Table(Attributes)(0.7,0.2,0.1)
NodeLocation: 608,424,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526847250

Variable Summed_Utilities
Title: Summed Utilities
Units: Unitless
Description: This node combines the weighted attribute scores to come up with the final MAUT scores for each strategy
Definition: Sum( Weighted_Utilities, Attributes)
NodeLocation: 744,216,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Summed_Utilities:|1:1,,0,,,,,0,1,0}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Contract_Length,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,1,1]
Att_XRole: -1
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}
{!50000|Att_ColumnWidths: [225]}

Alias Al1526349877
Title: Strategy Index
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 184,56,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Strategy_Index

Alias Al1526391347
Title: Prestige Measure 1
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 136,152,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Prestige_Measure

Alias Al1526424120
Title: Combined Cost Norm
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 136,280,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Energy_Cost_Measure

Alias Al1526427123
Title: Green Measure 2
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 136,216,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Green_Measure

Variable Weights_Sensitivity
Title: Weights Sensitivity
Units: N/A
Description: This node uses a WhatIfAll analysis to evaluate the sensitivity of the MAUT Scores to the Attribute Weights
Definition: WhatIfAll (MAUT_Score , Input_Sense, Range_Sense)
NodeLocation: 816,360,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526558651
GraphSetup: {!40000|Flip:8}~
{!40000|Att_GraphIndexRange Strategy_Selection:1,,,,,,10}~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Weights_Sensitivity:1,,0,0,,,10,0,1,0}~
Att__BarOrigin Weights_Sensitivity:0~
{!40000|Att_StackedBar Graph_Primary_Valdim:0}~
BarOverlap:100~
{!50000|Graph_SortBySpread:0}
ReformVal: [Strategy_Selection,Sensitivity_Levels]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Input_Sense,1,Sensitivity_Levels,1,Strategy_Selection,4]
Att_OriginRole: Slice(Sensitivity_Levels,Sensitivity_Levels,2)
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Sensitivity_Levels}

Module Weight_Determination
Title: Weight Determination
Description: This module houses the nodes that are used to shape the weights and be able to apply a sensitivity analysis to those weights
Author: djenkins
Date: Fri, May 18, 2018 9:34 PM
NodeLocation: 608,360,1
NodeSize: 64,24
DiagState: 2,87,411,432,293,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224

Variable Cost_Weight
Title: Cost Weight
Units: Unitless
Description: This node is the raw weight to apply for Price (0 - 100 scale)
Definition: 100
NodeLocation: 120,232,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Green_Weight
Title: Green Weight
Units: Unitless
Description: This node is the raw weight to apply for Green Value (0 - 100 scale)
Definition: 28.5
NodeLocation: 240,232,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Prestige_Weight
Title: Prestige Weight
Units: Unitless
Description: This node is the raw weight to apply for Prestige (0 - 100 scale)
Definition: 14.25
NodeLocation: 360,232,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Weights_Aggr
Title: Weights Aggr
Definition: Table(Attributes)(Cost_Weight,Green_Weight,Prestige_Weight)
NodeLocation: 240,160,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Calc_Weights
Title: Calc Weights
Units: Unitless
Description: This is the list of weights that will be applied to the attribute scores based on decision maker input on the value of each attribute
Definition: Weights_Aggr/sum(Weights_Aggr)~

NodeLocation: 240,88,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Alias Al1526556917
Title: Sensitivity Levels
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 240,448,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Sensitivity_Levels

Variable Input_Sense
Title: Input Sense
Units: N/A
Description: This node brings together the  three weights so they can be used in the sensitivity analysis of weights on MAUT scores
Definition: [Prestige_Weight,Green_Weight,Cost_Weight]
NodeLocation: 240,304,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Range_Sense
Title: Range Sense
Units: N/A
Description: This node creates a table of the weights for low, baseline, and high levels for sensitivity analysis
Definition: Input_Sense*Sensitivity_Levels
NodeLocation: 240,376,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Alias Al1526558651
Title: Tornado Weights
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 360,344,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Weights_Sensitivity

Alias Al1526847250
Title: Weights
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 120,88,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Attribute_Weights

Close Weight_Determination

Objective MAUT_Score
Title: MAUT Score
Description: This node brings together all the normalized and weighted utiity values for the decsions made by each strategy
Definition: Summed_Utilities
NodeLocation: 864,216,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526411102, Alias Al1525695607
GraphSetup: {!40000|Graph_LineThickness:4}~
Grid:0~
CdfSteps:0~
{!40000|Att_ContLineStyle Graph_KDE_Valdim:1}~
{!40000|Att_ContLineStyle Graph_Pdf_Valdim:1}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}~
DistSteps:1~
{!40000|Att_CatLineStyle Graph_KDE_Valdim:9}~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange MAUT_Score:|1:1,0,0,,,,,0,1,0}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisTitleFont:Arial,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisLabelFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyTitleFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyFont:,16,1}~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Graph_Cdf_Valdim:1,,,1,,,5}
ReformVal: [Contract_Length,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,1,1]
NumberFormat: 2,G,4,4,0,0,4,0,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,2
Att_ResultSliceState: [Weights_Aggr,1,Strategy_Selection,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}
{!40700|Att_CellFormat: CellFormats(Undefined,CellSpan((Self.Statistics),CellNumberFormat('General',3,0,0,dateFormat:'ABBREV'),5,header:0),CellSpan((Self.Statistics),CellSpan(Strategy_Selection,CellNumberFormat('General',2,0,0,dateFormat:'ABBREV'),3,4,header:0),5,header:0),CellSpan((Self.Statistics),CellSpan(Strategy_Selection,CellNumberFormat('General',1,0,0,dateFormat:'ABBREV'),2,header:0),1,header:0))}

Variable MAUT_Score_Importanc
Title: MAUT Score Importance
Units: N/A
Description: This node uses a built in Analytica RankCorrel function to evaluate the sensitivity of the MAUT Score to the input variables..
Definition: Abs( RankCorrel( MAUT_Score_Inputs, MAUT_Score ) )
NodeLocation: 784,56,1
NodeSize: 56,24
NodeInfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,0,,0,1,0
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526849243
GraphSetup: {!50000|Graph_SortBySpread:1}~
BarOverlap:100~
{!40000|Att_StackedBar Graph_Primary_Valdim:0}~
Att__BarOrigin MAUT_Score_Importanc:0~
{!40000|Att_ForceCategorical Graph_Primary_Valdim:1}~
{!40000|Flip:8}
ReformVal: [MAUT_Score_Inputs,MAUT_Score_Inputs]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Selection,3,Strategy_Selection,2,MAUT_Score_Inputs,1]
Att_ColorRole: Null
Att_OriginRole: Null
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Null}

Module MAUT_Sens_Module
Title: MAUT Sens Module
Author: djenkins
Date: Tue, May 15, 2018 6:21 PM
NodeLocation: 512,56,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,704,3,624,573,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224

Variable MAUT_Score_Inputs
Title: MAUT Score Inputs
Units: N/A
Description: This node combines the variables that will be used in the MAUT Importance Score calculation
Definition: [OPEX_Probs,CAPEX_Probs,Retail_Elevator,Rate_of_Inflation,RECs_Price_Uncertain,Fines_Uncertainty,Green_Util_Uncertain,Non_Green_Util_Uncer,Good_Prestige_Util_U,Bad_Prestige_Utility]
NodeLocation: 136,120,1
NodeSize: 56,24
NodeInfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,0,,0,1,0
WindState: 2,726,203,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,STAT

Constant Sensitivity_Levels1
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Low','Baseline','High']
Title: Sensitivity Levels
Description: This node houses the range of calculations we want to do for MAUT sensitivity analysis, from low to baseline to high.
Definition: Table(Self)(0.5,1,1.5)
IndexVals: ['Low','Baseline','High']
NodeLocation: 128,240,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
NumberFormat: 2,%,4,2,0,0,4,0,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,15

Variable Sensitivity_Variabl1
Title: Sensitivity Variables
Description: This node pulls together the input variables from across the whole model to use for the MAUT score sensitivity analysis
Definition: [PPA_Elevator,Retail_Elevator,Rate_of_Inflation,VAT,Adder_Charge_Rate,CAPEX_Probs,OPEX_Probs,Prestige_Measure,Green_Utility_Raw]
NodeLocation: 328,120,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,716,58,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Self]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Type_of_Electricity,4,Types_of_Charges,1,Self,1]

Variable Input_Sens_Range1
Title: Input Sens Range
Units: N/A
Description: This node creates an array of the sensitivity variables for the MAUT analysis bucketed by the Sensitivity Levels
Definition: Sensitivity_Levels1*Sensitivity_Variabl1
NodeLocation: 328,240,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,705,88,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MEAN
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Sensitivity_Variabl1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Sensitivity_Levels1,3,Sensitivity_Variabl1,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]

Variable MAUT_Tornado
Title: MAUT Sensitivity
Description: This node uses a WhatIfAll analysis to determine the sensitivity of the MAUT Scores to the selected variables based on a range of sensitivity determined by the Input_Sens_Range.
Definition: WhatIfAll(MAUT_Score, Sensitivity_Variabl1, Input_Sens_Range1)
NodeLocation: 528,120,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,636,105,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526411718
GraphSetup: Grid:0~
BarOverlap:100~
{!40000|Att_StackedBar Graph_Primary_Valdim:0}~
Att__BarOrigin MAUT_Tornado:0~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange MAUT_Tornado:1,,0,0,,,10,0,1,0}~
{!40000|Att_GraphIndexRange Sensitivity_Variabl1:1,,,,,,10}~
{!40000|Flip:8}~
{!50000|Graph_SortBySpread:0}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisTitleFont:Arial,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyTitleFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisLabelFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyFont:,16,1}
ReformVal: [Sensitivity_Variabl1,Sensitivity_Levels1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Selection,2,Sensitivity_Levels1,1,Sensitivity_Variabl1,6]
Att_OriginRole: Slice(Sensitivity_Levels1,Sensitivity_Levels1,2)
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Sensitivity_Levels1}

Alias Al1526411102
Title: MAUT Score
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 528,240,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: MAUT_Score

Close MAUT_Sens_Module

Close MAUT_Scoring

Alias Al1525695607
Title: MAUT Score
Definition: 0
NodeLocation: 584,184,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
NodeFont: Arial,19
Original: MAUT_Score

Module Green_Value
Title: Green Value
Description: This module houses the logic that creates the attribute scores for Green Value for each of the Strategic Alternatives
Author: djenkins
Date: Mon, May 7, 2018 4:09 PM
NodeLocation: 248,112,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
DiagState: 2,724,11,565,546,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,65535,32766
DiagramColor: 65535,65535,65535
NodeFont: Arial,19

Variable Green_Utility_Raw
Title: Green Utility Raw
Description: This node is the assigned utility for the Decision maker for those decisions that are likely to result in improved "green-ness" for the company. In a more detailed model, these scores would be calculated based on some green parameters (compliance reporting, emissions, etc)
Definition: Table(Strategy_Selection)(5,0,2.5,3.5,2)
NodeLocation: 288,232,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Chance Green_Util_Uncertain
Title: Green Util Uncertainty
Description: This node injects uncertainty using a Beta distribution to those decsions that use Green Energy. The parameters of the Beta are selected to allow a right skewed change to the utility values assigned for each of the Renewable Energy Strategy Decision values.
Definition: Beta( 100, 3, 0, 1)
NodeLocation: 288,152,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Variable Green_Util_w__Uncert
Title: Green Util w/ Uncertainty
Description: This node reads in the "good" Green Utilities and applies the uncertainty by multiplying the deterministic utility by the uncertainty variable.
Definition: Green_Util_Uncertain*Green_Utility_Raw
NodeLocation: 496,192,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Non_Green_Utility_Ra
Title: Non-Green Utility Raw
Description: This node is the assigned utility for the Decision maker for those decisions that are likely to result in decreased "green-ness" for the company. In a more detailed model, these scores would be calculated based on some green parameters (compliance reporting, emissions, etc)
Definition: Table(Strategy_Selection)(0,1,0,0,0)
NodeLocation: 288,344,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,662,100,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Chance Non_Green_Util_Uncer
Title: Non-Green Util Uncertainty
Description: This node injects uncertainty using a Beta distribution to those decisions that do not use Green Energy. The parameters of the Beta are selected to allow a left skewed change to the utility values assigned for each of the Renewable Energy Strategy Decision values.
Definition: Beta( 3, 20, 0, 1)
NodeLocation: 288,424,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Variable Non_Green_Util_w__Un
Title: Non-Green Util w/ Uncertainty
Description: This node reads in the "bad" Green Utilities and applies the uncertainty by multiplying the deterministic utility by the uncertainty variable.
Definition: Non_Green_Util_Uncer*Non_Green_Utility_Ra
NodeLocation: 496,384,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Variable Green_Measure
Title: Green Measure
Description: This node is the combined inputs of the uncertainty distributions and the raw Green Utility Values assigned for each Strategic Choice based on the type of Green Power the decision maker decides by the Strategy selection. These values make up the single utility for Green that will be sent into the multiattribute utility calculation.
Definition: Green_Util_w__Uncert+Non_Green_Util_w__Un
NodeLocation: 664,288,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,681,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526427123

Close Green_Value

Module Prestige_Value
Title: Prestige Value
Description: This module houses the logic that creates the attribute scores for Prestige Value for each of the Strategic Alternatives
Author: djenkins
Date: Sun, May 13, 2018 3:44 PM
NodeLocation: 248,184,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
DiagState: 2,0,8,649,569,17,10
WindState: 2,102,83,830,224
NodeColor: 65535,45873,39321
DiagramColor: 65535,65535,65535
NodeFont: Arial,19

Variable Prestige_Measure
Title: Prestige Measure
Description: This node is the combined inputs of the uncertainty distributions and the raw Prestige Utility Values assigned for each Strategic Choice based on the type of Renewable Energy Strategy the decsion maker decides by the Strategy selection. These values make up the single utility for Prestige that will be sent into the multiattribute utility calculation.
Definition: Good_Prestige_Util_w + Bad_Prestige_Util_w_
NodeLocation: 536,285,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526391347

Chance Good_Prestige_Util_U
Title: Good Prestige Util Uncertainty
Description: This node injects uncertainty using a Beta distribution to those decsions that use should add Prestige. The parameters of the Beta are selected to allow a right skewed change to the utility values assigned for each of the Renewable Energy Strategy Decision values.
Definition: Beta( 100, 3, 0, 1)
NodeLocation: 144,96,1
NodeSize: 72,24
WindState: 2,102,83,849,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Variable Good_Prestige_Utilit
Title: Good Prestige Utility Raw
Description: This node is the assigned utility for the Decision maker for those decisions that are likely to result in increased prestige for the company.
Definition: Table(Strategy_Selection)(5,0,2,4,3)
NodeLocation: 144,224,1
NodeSize: 72,24
WindState: 2,102,83,761,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Bad_Prestige_Utilit1
Title: Bad Prestige Utility Raw
Description: This node is the assigned utility for the Decision maker for those decisions that are likely to result in reduced prestige for the company.
Definition: Table(Strategy_Selection)(0,1,0,0,0)
NodeLocation: 144,352,1
NodeSize: 72,24
WindState: 2,642,74,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Chance Bad_Prestige_Utility
Title: Bad Prestige Utility Uncertainty
Description: This node injects uncertainty using a Beta distribution to those decisions that would detract from a company's Prestige. The parameters of the Beta are selected to allow a left skewed change to the utility values assigned for each of the Renewable Energy Strategy Decision values.
Definition: Beta( 3, 20, 0, 1)
NodeLocation: 152,472,1
NodeSize: 80,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Variable Good_Prestige_Util_w
Title: Good Prestige Util w/ Uncertainty
Description: This node reads in the "good" Prestige Utilities and applies the uncertainty by multiplying the deterministic utility by the uncertainty variable.
Definition: Good_Prestige_Utilit*Good_Prestige_Util_U
NodeLocation: 336,160,1
NodeSize: 80,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Bad_Prestige_Util_w_
Title: Bad Prestige Util w/ Uncertainty
Description: This node reads in the "bad" Green Utilities and applies the uncertainty by multiplying the deterministic utility by the uncertainty variable.
Definition: Bad_Prestige_Utility*Bad_Prestige_Utilit1
NodeLocation: 336,408,1
NodeSize: 80,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Close Prestige_Value

Module Energy_Cost
Title: Energy Cost
Description: This module houses the logic that creates the attribute scores for Energy Cost for each of the Strategic Alternatives
Author: djenkins
Date: Tue, May 15, 2018 6:21 PM
NodeLocation: 248,256,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
DiagState: 2,192,115,827,576,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 65531,1,65535
DiagramColor: 65535,65535,65535
NodeFont: Arial,19

Module Cost_to_Build_Own
Title: Cost to Build/Own
Description: This node holds the inputs and calculations needed to assess how much expected OPEX and CAPEX a project may have for those strategies who choose to build and own the green energy solution.
Author: djenkins
Date: Mon, May 7, 2018 4:09 PM
NodeLocation: 340,208,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,740,1,579,571,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Alias Al1525659174
Title: Build or Buy
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 160,256,1
NodeSize: 64,24
Original: Build_or_Buy

Variable Map_Build_to_Decisio
Title: Map Build to Decision
Description: This node maps the decision for Build or Buy in plain English to the Decision.
Definition: Choice(Build, Build_or_Buy)~
~

NodeLocation: 344,256,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,603,239,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,610,226,400,300,0,MIDM

Index Build
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Build','Buy']
Title: Build
Definition: ['Build','Buy']
NodeLocation: 224,40,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Possible_CAPEX
Title: Possible CAPEX
Units: $
Description: This table applies the CAPEX to the applicable strategy that will use build and own green energy, otherwise the table has zero OPEX.
Definition: Table(Build,Type_of_Electricity)(~
0,CAPEX_Probs,0,0,~
0,0,0,0)
NodeLocation: 344,192,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,805,22,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,698,16,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [Build,0]
ReformVal: [Build,Type_of_Electricity]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Build,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Statistics'),1]

Variable Expected_CAPEX
Title: Expected CAPEX
Description: This node maps the Expected CAPEX from the distribution to the appropriate Strategy and Type of Electricity Purchased.
Definition: Possible_CAPEX[Build = Map_Build_to_Decisio]
NodeLocation: 512,192,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,801,297,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,0]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Sys_LocalIndex('Statistics'),1,Strategy_Selection,1]

Variable Possible_OPEX
Title: Possible OPEX
Units: $ per month
Description: This table applies the OPEX to the applicable strategy that will use build and own green energy, otherwise the table has zero OPEX.
Definition: Table(Build,Type_of_Electricity)(~
0,12*OPEX_Probs,0,0,~
0,0,0,0)
NodeLocation: 344,320,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [Build,0]
ReformVal: [Build,Type_of_Electricity]

Variable Expected_Ann__OPEX
Title: Expected Ann. OPEX
Units: $
Description: This node maps the Expected OPEX from the distribution to the appropriate Strategy and Type of Electricity Purchased.
Definition: Possible_OPEX[Build = Map_Build_to_Decisio]
NodeLocation: 512,320,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
Att_ResultSliceState: [Sys_LocalIndex('Statistics'),1,Strategy_Selection,1]

Chance OPEX_Probs
Title: OPEX Probs
Units: $ per month
Description: This node provides a probability distribution of possible OPEX costs per month for the maintenance of an installed generation system. A normla distribution is used for ease of modelling. A more realistic model would require understanding the actual system, geographic location, resource availability, etc.
Definition: Normal( 4000000, 50000 )
NodeLocation: 144,320,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Chance CAPEX_Probs
Title: CAPEX Probs
Units: $
Description: This node provides a distribution of possible CAPEX charges that the customer may have if installing their own renewable energy generation. A normal distribution is chosen for ease of design, but a more realistic model would evaluate anticipated costs based on investment size, location, type, etc.
Definition: Normal( 300000000, 50000000 )
NodeLocation: 152,192,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Alias Al1526261591
Title: Type of Electricity
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 336,40,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Type_of_Electricity

Variable Expected_CAPEX2
Title: Expected CAPEX2
Definition: Sum( Expected_CAPEX, Type_of_Electricity)
NodeLocation: 648,192,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Expected_OPEX2
Title: Expected OPEX2
Definition: Sum(Expected_Ann__OPEX, Type_of_Electricity)
NodeLocation: 648,320,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Exp_Owning_Cost
Title: Exp Owning Cost
Units: $
Description: This node is the expected costs to own and maintain the green gen solution, including the expected CAPEX and the sum of OPEX over 20 years
Definition: 20*Expected_OPEX2 + Expected_CAPEX2
NodeLocation: 784,264,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526850346

Close Cost_to_Build_Own

Module Total_Cost_of_Energy
Title: Total Cost of Energy
Description: This node brings together all the possible costs across the various strategies and sums them up for each of the strategy alternatives. The output is the total cost by strategy.
Author: djenkins
Date: Sun, May 13, 2018 11:14 PM
NodeLocation: 560,256,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,41,13,710,533,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Alias Al1526266418
Title: Purchase Strategy
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 120,128,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Purchase_Strategy

Alias Al1526266430
Title: Type of Electricity
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 264,56,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Type_of_Electricity

Alias Al1526266500
Title: Possible Spend
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 264,192,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Total_Elec_Cost_by_T

Variable Type_Elec_Map_Strate
Title: Type Elec Map Strategy
Units: Unitless
Description: This node maps the Type of Electricity to the Strategy for further indexing in other calculations
Definition: Choice(Type_of_Electricity, Purchase_Strategy)
NodeLocation: 264,128,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Exp_Cost_by_Strategy
Title: Exp Cost by Strategy
Units: $
Description: This node maps the cost of electricty types to the strategic choice to which they apply
Definition: Total_Elec_Cost_by_T[Type_of_Electricity = Type_Elec_Map_Strate]
NodeLocation: 400,168,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_ForceCategorical Graph_Primary_Valdim:1}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Null,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,1,1]
NumberFormat: 2,D,3,3,0,1,3,0,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,15
Att_XRole: -1
Att_ColorRole: Strategy_Selection
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Null}

Alias Al1526417031
Title: Exp RECs Cost
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 400,232,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Exp_RECs_Cost

Objective Total_Exp_Energy_Cos
Title: Total Exp Energy Cost
Units: $
Description: This node brings together all the costs associated with the energy purchasing decsions made by each strategy, including electricity, RECs, Fines, CAPEX, and OPEX as applicable.
Definition: Exp_Cost_by_Strategy + Exp_RECs_Cost + Exp_Fines_Cost + Exp_Owning_Cost
NodeLocation: 544,272,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526436038
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Graph_Cdf_Valdim:1,,,1,,,5}~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Graph_KDE_Valdim:1,0,0,1,,,5,0,16n,0}~
{!40000|Graph_LineThickness:4}~
Frame:1~
Grid:0~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Total_Exp_Energy_Cos:|1:1,,0,,,,,1.8G,3.2G,0}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyFont:,17,1}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisLabelFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyTitleFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisTitleFont:Arial,20,1}
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,1]
NumberFormat: 2,D,3,2,0,1,3,0,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,15
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}
{!50000|Att_ColumnWidths: [,Sys_LocalIndex('Statistics'),\([65,65,65,65,64])]}

Alias Al1526423649
Title: Exp Fines Cost
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 400,296,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Exp_Fines_Cost

Variable Energy_Cost_Measure
Title: Energy Cost Measure
Units: $
Description: This node is the output of all the combined energy related costs for each strategyfrom the Energy Cost model.
Definition: Total_Exp_Energy_Cos
NodeLocation: 680,272,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,650,553,1,CDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526424120, Alias Al1526855548, Alias Al1526851594
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Energy_Cost_Measure:|1:1,,1,,,,,0,1,0}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Undefined,Strategy_Selection,Undefined,1]
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}

Alias Al1526850346
Title: Expected Owning EXP
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 400,360,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Exp_Owning_Cost

Close Total_Cost_of_Energy

Module Electricity_Costs
Title: Electricity Costs
Description: This node houses the various inputs and calculations that determine what the cost of a given energy purchasing strategy will be based upon the energy usage from the historical usage of the location being evaluated. 
Author: djenkins
Date: Mon, May 7, 2018 4:09 PM
NodeLocation: 340,336,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,750,13,432,510,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Variable Base_Usage
Title: Base Usage
Units: kWh
Description: The amount of  Base electricity used per the contract per month
Definition: Table(Months)(1.041659M,1.24374M,1.121552M,896.592K,1.216633M,1.173761M,1.404394M,1.608333M,1.578202M,1.578202M,1.678012M,1.24535M)
NodeLocation: 248,128,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [Types_of_Charges,Months]

Variable Intermed_Usage
Title: Intermed Usage
Units: kWh
Description: The amount of  Intermediate electricity used per the contract per month
Definition: Table(Months)(1.84045M,1.988566M,2.153463M,1.912612M,2.58457M,2.783221M,2.994597M,2.910176M,2.662717M,2.662717M,2.816611M,2.064635M)
IndexVals: ['item 1']
NodeLocation: 248,192,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [Types_of_Charges,Months]

Variable Peak_Usage
Title: Peak Usage
Units: kWh
Description: The amount of  Peak electricity used per the contract per month
Definition: Table(Months)(451.68K,313.512K,362.861K,174.435K,242.489K,269.803K,270.924K,470.376K,430.59K,430.59K,471.115K,510.619K)
NodeLocation: 248,256,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 227,168}

Variable Demand_kW
Title: Demand kW
Units: kW
Description: The kW peak demand used for Demand Charges
Definition: Table(Months)(5864,6334,6703,6415,6827,7040,7370,7568,7596,7596,6958,6786)
NodeLocation: 248,320,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Index Months
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Jan','Feb','Mar','Apr','May','Jun','Jul','Aug','Sep','Oct','Nov','Dec']
Title: Months
Description: Months for the billing cycle of customer 
Definition: ['Jan','Feb','Mar','Apr','May','Jun','Jul','Aug','Sep','Oct','Nov','Dec']
NodeLocation: 352,48,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 232,196}

Constant VAT
Title: VAT
Units: Percentage
Description: Value Added Tax Rate
Definition: 0.16
NodeLocation: 704,432,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Total_Usage
Title: Total Usage
Units: kWh
Description: Total Electricty Usage per month summed up from the different amounts of Base, Intermediate, and Peak.
Definition: Base_Usage + Intermed_Usage + Peak_Usage
NodeLocation: 88,224,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Adder_Charges1
Title: Adder Charges
Units: $
Description: This box is a placeholder for charges like transmission, distriibution, ancillaries, and outher auxillary charges
Definition: Adder_Charge_Rate*Total_Usage
NodeLocation: 248,432,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
ReformVal: [Undefined,Months]

Constant Adder_Charge_Rate
Title: Adder Charge Rate
Units: $ per kWh
Description: This node is a proxy rate for all the ancillary charges a customer may face such as transmission, supplier, miscellaneous fees, etc. It is derived from an existing customer's charges over the course of a year.
Definition: 0.008
NodeLocation: 88,432,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224

Variable Adder_Annual_Cost
Title: Adder Annual Cost
Units: $
Description: Total of the monthly adder charges for an Annual Cost
Definition: Sum( Adder_Charges1, Months )
NodeLocation: 528,432,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Alias Al1526245833
Title: Avg Rates over 20 yrs
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 384,224,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs

Variable Base_Energy_Cost
Title: Base Energy Cost
Units: $
Description: This is the monthly Base charges based on monthly usage times the Base rate
Definition: Base_Usage * Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs[Types_of_Charges= 'Base Usage']
NodeLocation: 528,128,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Intermed_Energy_Cost
Title: Intermed Energy Cost
Units: $
Description: This is the monthly Intermediate charges based on monthly usage times the Intermediate rate
Definition: Intermed_Usage * Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs[Types_of_Charges= 'Intermed Usage']
NodeLocation: 528,192,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Peak_Energy_Cost
Title: Peak Energy Cost
Units: $
Description: This is the monthly Peak charges based on monthly usage times the peak rate
Definition: Peak_Usage * Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs[Types_of_Charges= 'Peak Usage']
NodeLocation: 528,256,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Demand_Cost
Title: Demand Cost
Units: $
Description: This is the monthly demand charges based on the Demand Rate and the Demand kW
Definition:  Demand_kW* Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs[Types_of_Charges= 'Demand kW']
NodeLocation: 528,320,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Months]

Variable Usage_Demand_Annual_
Title: Usage/Demand Annual Costs
Units: $
Description: This is the expected combined usage and demand charges based on the historical twelve months of utility bills of customer
Definition: SUM(Base_Energy_Cost + Intermed_Energy_Cost + Peak_Energy_Cost + Demand_Cost, Months)
NodeLocation: 704,208,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [0,Months,2,Undefined,1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Type_of_Electricity,1,Months,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Sys_LocalIndex('Probability')}

Variable Annual_Elec_Costs_by
Title: Annual Elec Costs by Type
Units: $
Description: This is the combined expected annual costs of energy based combining the usage, demand, and adder fees with VAT applied
Definition: Usage_Demand_Annual_ + Adder_Annual_Cost + Usage_Demand_Annual_*VAT
NodeLocation: 704,360,1
NodeSize: 64,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Alias Al1526393210
Title: Type of Electricity
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 576,48,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Type_of_Electricity

Alias Al1526393209
Title: Types of Charges
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 464,48,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Types_of_Charges

Variable Total_Elec_Cost_by_T
Title: Total Elec Cost by Type
Units: $
Description: This is the 20 year expected total cost for electricity
Definition: 20*Annual_Elec_Costs_by
NodeLocation: 896,360,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526266500
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_ForceCategorical Graph_Primary_Valdim:1}~
{!40000|Att_CatLineStyle Graph_Stats_Valdim:5}~
{!40400|Sys_PdfSmoothMethod:1}
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Type_of_Electricity,Undefined,0,1]
Att__TotalsIndex: [Sys_LocalIndex('Statistics')]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Selection,3,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
Att_ColorRole: Type_of_Electricity
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Null}

Close Electricity_Costs

Module Electricity_Rates
Title: Electricity Rates
Description: This node houses the rates that will be applicable to each of the types  of electricity as well as other input parameters dealing with prices of electricty over time.
Author: djenkins
Date: Sun, May 13, 2018 11:14 PM
NodeLocation: 120,256,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,192,-11,603,549,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Index Types_of_Charges
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Base Usage','Intermed Usage','Peak Usage','Demand kW']
Title: Types of Charges
Units: $ per kW
Description: This node lists out the core types of electricity charges that an electricty consumer would pay for at different rates. Base, Intermediate, and Peak Usage are the charges for energy usage as a commodity, and the Demand kW charge is based on a peak period of usage during a pre-defined period of time in the past. These rates would all be applicable based on the location, supplier, and tariff structure the customer would be signed up to use.
Definition: ['Base Usage','Intermed Usage','Peak Usage','Demand kW']
NodeLocation: 464,96,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
Aliases: Alias Al1526393209
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 227,70}

Constant Prices_per_type
Att_PrevIndexValue: [0.9241,1.0397,1.8384,219.06]
Title: Prices per type
Units: $ per kWh
Description: This node is the table of rates that customers will pay for the four types of charges they will pay based on the type of electricity they buy.
Definition: Table(Types_of_Charges,Type_of_Electricity)(~
1,0.7,1.2,0.9241,~
1.2,0.7,1.3,1.0397,~
1.7,0.7,1.4,1.8384,~
200,100,150,219.06)
NodeLocation: 496,296,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,604,438,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [Undefined,Types_of_Charges]
ReformVal: [Types_of_Charges,0,Undefined,Undefined,Undefined,2]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Types_of_Charges,2]
Att_ColorRole: Null

Index Contract_Length
Att_PrevIndexValue: [2,4,6,8,10,12,14,16,18,20]
Title: Contract Length
Description: This node represents t various period of time that the customer could sign up for their energy contracts. In this model, we list out 2 year increments for consistency of the follow on calculations. We don't actual model different constructs around possible contract lengths.
Definition: [2,4,6,8,10,12,14,16,18,20]
NodeLocation: 352,96,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 232,126}

Constant PPA_Elevator
Title: PPA Elevator
Units: Percent
Description: This node represents how much the PPA rates will go up per year based on the contractual terms the customer signs for the Renewable Power Puyrchase Agreement.
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 176,152,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 227,28}

Chance Retail_Elevator
Title: Retail Elevator
Units: Percent
Description: This node represents a probabilistic input for how much we anticipate the retail electricity rates will go up per year based on the contractual terms or rate tariff structure that the customer is under for their energy purchases. A normal distribution is used for simplicity of modelling. A more realistic method would be to assess market trends over the last few decades and build a custom probability distribution.
Definition: Normal( 2.5, 0.3 )
NodeLocation: 176,216,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Chance Rate_of_Inflation
Title: Rate of Inflation
Units: Percent
Description: This is a probabilistic input for anticiapted rate of inflation. A normal distribution is used for simplicity.
Definition: Normal( 1, 0.1 )
NodeLocation: 176,280,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,PDFP

Variable Elec_Rates_over_Time
Title: Elec Rates over Time
Units: $ per kWh
Description: This node calculates the expected rates by type of charges for the type of electricty the customer will by, calculated in two year increments based on the Contract Length index.
Definition: Time_Price_Growth*Prices_per_type
NodeLocation: 496,216,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Elec_Rates_over_Time:|1:1,,0,1,,,,0,6,0}
ReformVal: [Types_of_Charges,Contract_Length,Undefined,1,1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Type_of_Electricity,2,Contract_Length,1,Types_of_Charges,2]
Att_XRole: -1
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}

Variable Time_Price_Growth
Title: Time Price Growth
Units: Unitless
Description: This node is simply calculating the anticipated growth over time of the various rates the customer may be on for their energy spend. This growth factor will be used to determine anticipated rates over the next twenty years in increments determined by Contract Length. Using Contract Length will enable improvement of this model to tie out to actual contracted terms, which would likely determine the periodicity of rate increases.
Definition: Table(Type_of_Electricity,Contract_Length)(~
((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),~
((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation)/100))^Contract_Length),~
((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation +PPA_ELevator)/100))^Contract_Length),~
((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length),((1+((Rate_of_Inflation + Retail_Elevator)/100))^Contract_Length))
NodeLocation: 352,216,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformDef: [0,Contract_Length]
ReformVal: [Undefined,Contract_Length,Undefined,Undefined,2]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Contract_Length,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1

Variable Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs
Title: Avg Rates for 20 yrs
Units: $ per kWh / $ per kW
Description: To simplify the math of future calculations, this node determines the average rate for a twenty year period for the different types of charges, based on the types of electricty that can be chosen. This twenty year average will be used in the remainig calculations for energy spend throughout the rest of the pricing module.
Definition: Average( Elec_Rates_over_Time, Contract_Length )
NodeLocation: 648,216,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526245833
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Avg_Rates_for_20_yrs:1,,1,,,,,0,10,0|1:1,,0,,,,,0,10,0}
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Types_of_Charges,Undefined,2,1]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Types_of_Charges,4,Type_of_Electricity,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]
Att_XRole: -1
{!40200|Att_GraphSetupSlices: [3,1,DensityIndex,1]}
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Sys_LocalIndex('Statistics')}

Index Type_of_Electricity
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Retail Green','Own Green','PPA','Retail Any']
Title: Type of Electricity
Description: This node lists out the index of the types of electricity purchase that the decicion maker can choose
Definition: ['Retail Green','Own Green','PPA','Retail Any']
IndexVals: ['item 1']
NodeLocation: 576,96,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526261591, Alias Al1526266430, Alias Al1526393210, Alias Al1526416111, Alias Al1526422917
{!40300|Att_SlicerPopupSize: 252,70}

Close Electricity_Rates

Module Cost_for_RECs
Title: Cost for RECs
Description: This node holds the inputs and calculations needed to assess how much it will cost to use RECs for those strategies that require RECs.
Author: djenkins
Date: Tue, May 15, 2018 6:21 PM
NodeLocation: 340,56,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,572,2,664,547,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Index RECs_Index
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['No RECs','Yes RECs','No RECs','No RECs']
Title: RECs Index
Units: Unitless
Description: This node assigns RECs or NO RECs which will be applied to determine which decisions to apply REC costs to based on the type of electricity chosen.
Definition: ['No RECs','Yes RECs','No RECs','No RECs']
NodeLocation: 168,48,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,677,98,476,224
DisplayOutputs: Chance RECs_Price_Uncertain

Variable Apply_RECs_if_needed
Title: Apply RECs if needed
Units: Unitless
Description: This node applies a tag of "Yes RECs" for those decsions that will require RECs to be purchased
Definition: Choice( RECs_Index , Renew_Energy_Strateg)
NodeLocation: 336,168,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,748,43,473,234
ValueState: 2,104,107,416,303,,MIDM

Alias Al1526415732
Title: Renew Energy Strategy
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 160,168,1
NodeSize: 64,24
Original: Renew_Energy_Strateg

Alias Al1526416111
Title: Type of Electricity
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 296,48,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Type_of_Electricity

Variable Exp_RECs_Cost
Title: Exp RECs Cost
Units: $
Description: This node applies the RECs based on the decsion of energy type and applies it to the Strategy selected from the Strategy Table. This ensures that only strategies that result in the need to buy RECs are actually applied a cost for the RECs.
Definition: 2M*Possible_RECs_Cost[RECs_Index = Apply_RECs_if_needed]
NodeLocation: 488,168,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,790,190,476,219
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526417031

Chance RECs_Price_Uncertain
Title: RECs Price Uncertainty
Units: $ per CO2 tonne
Description: This node creates a triangular distribution for the possible rates the customer may pay to purchase RECs. This probability distribution simplifies the pricing for ease of this project, but building out a more realistic model would require creating a distribution based on the actual costs of RECs in a given market or country, as well as applying uncertainty based on past variations of REC prices due to market dynamics and changes in the regulatoryu environment.
Definition: Triangular( 80, 100, 135 )
NodeLocation: 336,264,1
NodeSize: 56,32
WindState: 2,749,95,476,224
ValueState: 2,232,235,416,303,1,PDFP
DisplayInputs: Object Object, Object Index, Index RECs_Index

Variable Possible_RECs_Cost
Title: Possible RECs Cost
Units: $ per CO2 tonne
Description: This table applies the pricing from the distribution only to those decisions that will require purchasing RECs, otherwise it applies zero cost.
Definition: Table(RECs_Index)(0,RECs_Price_Uncertain,0,0)
NodeLocation: 488,264,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,771,79,554,350
DefnState: 2,585,152,416,303,,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP

Close Cost_for_RECs

Module Cost_for_Fines
Title: Cost for Fines
Description: This node holds the inputs and calculations needed to assess how much expected fines may cost for those strategies that choose possibly risky non-green options
Author: djenkins
Date: Tue, May 15, 2018 6:21 PM
NodeLocation: 340,136,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,60,-7,664,547,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Index Fines
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['No Fines','No Fines','Fines','No Fines']
Title: Fines
Units: Unitless
Description: This node index's Fines of No Fines that can be applied to determine which strategies apply fines for not meeting green or compliance requirements for greenhouse gas reductions or mitigation.
Definition: ['No Fines','No Fines','Fines','No Fines']
NodeLocation: 184,64,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM

Variable Apply_Fines_if_neede
Title: Apply Fines if needed
Units: Unitless
Description: This node applies a tag of "Fines" for those decsions that  could result in fines for failure to meet greenhouse gas reductions or reporting.
Definition: Choice( Fines , Renew_Energy_Strateg)
NodeLocation: 352,184,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,45,45,473,234
ValueState: 2,104,107,416,303,,MIDM

Alias Al1526422916
Title: Renew Energy Strategy
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 176,184,1
NodeSize: 64,24
Original: Renew_Energy_Strateg

Alias Al1526422917
Title: Type of Electricity
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 312,64,1
NodeSize: 48,24
Original: Type_of_Electricity

Variable Exp_Fines_Cost
Title: Exp Fines Cost
Units: $
Description: This node applies the possible fines based on the decsion of energy type and applies it to the applicable Strategy selected from the Strategy Table. This ensures that only strategies that result in the purchase of non-compliant electricty will have fines included in the calculation of total anticipated costs..
Definition: 2M*Possible_Fines[Fines = Apply_Fines_if_neede]
NodeLocation: 504,184,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,147,216,476,219
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP
Aliases: Alias Al1526423649

Chance Fines_Uncertainty
Title: Fines Uncertainty
Units: $
Description: This node creates a log-normal distribution for the possible fines the customer may pay for failure to mitigate greenhouse gas contribution. This probability distribution simplifies the pricing for ease of this project, but building out a more realistic model would require creating a distribution based on the regulatory environment, anticipated changes, and potentiel penalty structures. We use log-normal because it provides higher probability for lower fines, but leaves open th real risk for much larger penalties to be assigned, which is the likley case in reality.
Definition: LogNormal( median:50, gsdev:2 )
NodeLocation: 352,280,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,232,235,416,303,1,PDFP

Variable Possible_Fines
Title: Possible Fines
Units: $
Description: This table applies the values from the fines distribution only to those decisions that could result in a fine applied for failure to comply.
Definition: Table(Fines)(0,0,Fines_Uncertainty,0)
NodeLocation: 504,280,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,367,350
DefnState: 2,585,152,416,303,,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,CDFP

Close Cost_for_Fines

Module Total_Cost_Sensitivi
Title: Total Cost Sensitivity
Description: This node houses the logic for calculating the sensitivities of Total Cost for select input variables that feed into Total Cost
Author: djenkins
Date: Tue, May 15, 2018 6:21 PM
NodeLocation: 560,336,1
NodeSize: 56,24
DiagState: 2,1,0,670,612,17
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
NodeColor: 1,26216,52427

Constant Sensitivity_Levels
Att_PrevIndexValue: ['Low','Baseline','High']
Title: Sensitivity Levels
Description: This node houses the range of calculations we want to do for sensitivity analysis, from low to baseline to high.
Definition: Table(Self)(0.5,1,1.5)
IndexVals: ['Low','Baseline','High']
NodeLocation: 96,200,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526556917
NumberFormat: 2,%,4,2,0,0,4,0,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,15

Variable Sensitivity_Variable
Title: Sensitivity Variables
Description: This node pulls together the input variables from across the cost model to use for the Enerfgy Cost sensitivity analysis
Definition: [Retail_Elevator,Rate_of_Inflation,VAT,Adder_Charge_Rate,CAPEX_Probs,OPEX_Probs,PPA_Elevator]
NodeLocation: 264,64,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Self]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Type_of_Electricity,4,Types_of_Charges,1,Self,1]

Variable Input_Sens_Range
Title: Input Sens Range
Units: N/A
Description: This node creates an array of the sensitivity variables for the Energy Cost analysis bucketed by the Sensitivity Levels
Definition: Sensitivity_Levels*Sensitivity_Variable
NodeLocation: 264,155,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Sensitivity_Variable]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Sensitivity_Levels,3,Sensitivity_Variable,1,Sys_LocalIndex('Step'),1]

Variable Energy_Cost_Sensitiv
Title: Energy Cost Sensitivity
Units: $
Description: This node uses a WhatIfAll analysis to determine the sensitivity of Energy Cost to the selected variables based on a range of sensitivity determined by the Input_Sens_Range.
Definition: WhatIfAll(Energy_Cost_Measure, Sensitivity_Variable, Input_Sens_Range)
NodeLocation: 448,64,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
Aliases: Alias Al1526851653, Alias Al1526411474
GraphSetup: {!40000|Graph_KeyTitleFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_KeyFont:,17,1}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisLabelFont:,20,1}~
{!40000|Graph_AxisTitleFont:Arial,20,1}~
BarOverlap:100~
{!40000|Att_StackedBar Graph_Primary_Valdim:0}~
Att__BarOrigin Energy_Cost_Sensitiv:0~
{!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Energy_Cost_Sensitiv:1,,0,0,,,10,1.8G,3.2G,0}~
{!40000|Att_GraphIndexRange Sensitivity_Variable:1,,,,,,10}~
{!40000|Flip:8}~
{!50000|Graph_SortBySpread:0}~
ShowKey:1
ReformVal: [Sensitivity_Variable,Sensitivity_Levels]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Selection,1,Sensitivity_Levels,1,Sensitivity_Variable,1]
Att_OriginRole: Slice(Sensitivity_Levels,Sensitivity_Levels,2)
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Sensitivity_Levels}

Variable Fractile_Levels
Title: Fractile Levels
Units: N/A
Description: This node provides Sensitivity Levels for a Sensitivity Analysis that is to be done using Fractiles of the Chance variables - this is a placeholder node that isn't part of the final analysis
Definition: Table(Sensitivity_Levels)(0.1,0.5,0.9)
NodeLocation: 264,246,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
DefnState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,DFNM
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
NumberFormat: 2,%,4,3,0,0,4,0,$,0,"ABBREV",0,,,0,0,15

Variable Fractile_Tornado
Title: Fractile Tornado
Description: This node uses a WhatIfAll analysis to determine the sensitivity of Energy Cost to the selected chance variables based on a range of sensitivity determined by the Fractile_Levels.
Definition: WhatIfAll(Energy_Cost_Measure, Chance_Variables, GetFract(Chance_Variables, Fractile_Levels))
NodeLocation: 448,246,1
NodeSize: 56,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,1,MIDM
GraphSetup: {!40000|Att_GraphValueRange Fractile_Tornado:1,,1,0,,,,2.1G,2.7G,0}~
Att__BarOrigin Fractile_Tornado:0~
{!40000|Flip:8}~
{!40000|Att_StackedBar Graph_Primary_Valdim:0}~
BarOverlap:100
ReformVal: [Chance_Variables,Sensitivity_Levels]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Strategy_Selection,1,Sensitivity_Levels,1,Chance_Variables,1]
Att_OriginRole: Slice(Sensitivity_Levels,Sensitivity_Levels,2)
{!40600|Att_ClusterIndex: Sensitivity_Levels}

Variable Chance_Variables
Title: Chance Variables
Definition: [Retail_Elevator,Rate_of_Inflation,CAPEX_Probs,OPEX_Probs]
NodeLocation: 264,336,1
NodeSize: 48,24
WindState: 2,102,83,476,224
ValueState: 2,40,50,400,300,0,MIDM
ReformVal: [Type_of_Electricity,Self]
Att_ResultSliceState: [Type_of_Electricity,4,Types_of_Charges,1,Self,1]

Alias Al1526855548
Title: Energy Cost Measure
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 416,155,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Energy_Cost_Measure

Close Total_Cost_Sensitivi

Alias Al1526851594
Title: Energy Cost Measure
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 704,256,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Energy_Cost_Measure

Alias Al1526851653
Title: Energy Cost Sensitivity
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 704,336,1
NodeSize: 56,24
Original: Energy_Cost_Sensitiv

Close Energy_Cost

Alias Al1526411474
Title: Price Tornado
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 584,256,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
NodeFont: Arial,19
Original: Energy_Cost_Sensitiv

Alias Al1526411718
Title: MAUT Tornado
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 584,104,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
NodeFont: Arial,19
Original: MAUT_Tornado

Alias Al1526436038
Title: Combined Costs
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 584,328,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
NodeFont: Arial,19
Original: Total_Exp_Energy_Cos

Alias Al1526849243
Title: MAUT Score Importance
Definition: 1
NodeLocation: 744,184,1
NodeSize: 72,32
NodeInfo: 1,,,,,,1
NodeFont: Arial,19
Original: MAUT_Score_Importanc

{!50500|ArrowClass Arrow368866659}
{!50500|Att_HeadNode: Al1526411718}
{!50500|Att_TailNode: MAUT_Scoring}
{!50500|Att_ArrowProperties: 1}

Close Sustainable_Energy_P