Outlook for future emissions
1 The AEO projections only consider energy-related CO 2 emissions, which are only part of the full economy-wide emissions targets outlined in the U.S. nationally determined contribution (NDC) to global greenhouse gas reductions .
According to the U.S. government's most recent official projections , net U.S. greenhouse gas emissions are expected to decline 29-46% by 2030, 36-57% by 2035, and 34-64% by 2040, compared with 2005 levels. This represents roughly double the 2030 emissions reductions projected before the passage of major policies such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL ...
Quantifying Energy Savings and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Reductions
The Non-CO 2 Greenhouse Gas Emission Projections & Mitigation Report and Mitigation Assessment Model is a technical report series that provides projected estimates of emissions and technical and economic mitigation estimates of non-CO2 GHGs from anthropogenic sources for all 50 states in the U.S. Transportation Sector
The methodological approach for emission projections was used to estimate emission projections from 2020 through 2050, at 5-year intervals. Additionally, this report provides comprehensive technical and economic data on the opportunities and costs for reducing emissions. This data is available through the Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Data Tool.
EIA projects that U.S. energy
U.S. energy-related CO 2 emissions drop 25% to 38% below what they were in 2005 by 2030, according to our projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023). We use 2005 as an emissions reference year because the United States' nationally determined contribution (NDC), submitted as part of the Paris Agreement, calls for a target of 50% to 52% of net greenhouse gas emissions below the ...
1 The importance of developing projections of greenhouse gas emissions and removals that cause those emissions, might change over time. Having an understanding of how its GHG emissio
PDF U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trends and Projections from the Inflation ...
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trends and Projections from the Inflation Reduction Act Pursuant to international climate change treaty obligations, the United States submitted a nonbinding pledge in 2021 to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 50%-52% below 2005 levels by 2030.
The report finds that this overshoot must be limited through faster and bigger reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to minimize climate risks and damages and keep returning to 1.5°C by 2100 within the realms of possibility - although doing so will be extremely challenging.
CBO's Benchmark Projection of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
CBO also expects emissions of other greenhouse gases, and emissions of CO 2 from non-energy uses, to increase over the projection period. Methane emissions—primarily from agriculture and the production of oil and natural gas—increase by 3 percent and constitute 14 percent of total GHG emissions in 2034.
