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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">PLOS Clim</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">plos</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="pmc">plosclimate</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>PLOS Climate</journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2767-3200</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Public Library of Science</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>San Francisco, CA USA</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">PCLM-D-22-00121</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Research Article</subject>
</subj-group>
<subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Materials science</subject><subj-group><subject>Materials</subject><subj-group><subject>Dust</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Earth sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Earth</subject></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Physics</subject><subj-group><subject>Electromagnetic radiation</subject><subj-group><subject>Light</subject><subj-group><subject>Sunlight</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Physics</subject><subj-group><subject>Electromagnetic radiation</subject><subj-group><subject>Solar radiation</subject><subj-group><subject>Sunlight</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Physics</subject><subj-group><subject>Electromagnetic radiation</subject><subj-group><subject>Solar radiation</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Earth sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Atmospheric science</subject><subj-group><subject>Meteorology</subject><subj-group><subject>Clouds</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Astronomical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Celestial objects</subject><subj-group><subject>Moons</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Astronomical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Planetary sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Moons</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Astronomical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Celestial objects</subject><subj-group><subject>Moons</subject><subj-group><subject>Earth's moon</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Astronomical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Planetary sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Moons</subject><subj-group><subject>Earth's moon</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Astronomical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Celestial objects</subject><subj-group><subject>Stars</subject><subj-group><subject>Sun</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Dust as a solar shield</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Dust as a solar shield</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" xlink:type="simple">
<contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7558-343X</contrib-id>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Bromley</surname> <given-names>Benjamin C.</given-names></name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/project-administration/">Project administration</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/software/">Software</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/visualization/">Visualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-original-draft/">Writing – original draft</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff001"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor001">*</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Khan</surname> <given-names>Sameer H.</given-names></name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff001"><sup>1</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0214-609X</contrib-id>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Kenyon</surname> <given-names>Scott J.</given-names></name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-original-draft/">Writing – original draft</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff002"><sup>2</sup></xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff001">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff002">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, MA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="editor" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Añel</surname> <given-names>Juan A.</given-names></name>
<role>Editor</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="edit1"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="edit1">
<addr-line>Universidade de Vigo, SPAIN</addr-line>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="conflict" id="coi001">
<p>The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="cor001">* E-mail: <email xlink:type="simple">bromley@physics.utah.edu</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>8</day>
<month>2</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2</volume>
<issue>2</issue>
<elocation-id>e0000133</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>30</day>
<month>8</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>7</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/" xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open access article, free of all copyright, and may be freely reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, built upon, or otherwise used by anyone for any lawful purpose. The work is made available under the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/" xlink:type="simple">Creative Commons CC0</ext-link> public domain dedication.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133"/>
<abstract>
<p>We revisit dust placed near the Earth–Sun L<sub>1</sub> Lagrange point as a possible climate-change mitigation measure. Our calculations include variations in grain properties and orbit solutions with lunar and planetary perturbations. To achieve sunlight attenuation of 1.8%, equivalent to about 6 days per year of an obscured Sun, the mass of dust in the scenarios we consider must exceed 10<sup>10</sup> kg. The more promising approaches include using high-porosity, fluffy grains to increase the extinction efficiency per unit mass, and launching this material in directed jets from a platform orbiting at L<sub>1</sub>. A simpler approach is to ballistically eject dust grains from the Moon’s surface on a free trajectory toward L<sub>1</sub>, providing sun shade for several days or more. Advantages compared to an Earth launch include a ready reservoir of dust on the lunar surface and less kinetic energy required to achieve a sun-shielding orbit.</p>
</abstract>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="award001">
<funding-source>
<institution>Office of Undergraduate Studies, University of Utah</institution>
</funding-source>
<award-id>UROP</award-id>
<principal-award-recipient>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Khan</surname> <given-names>Sameer H.</given-names></name>
</principal-award-recipient>
</award-group>
<funding-statement>The University of Utah Office of Undergraduate Research provided a stipend to co-author SHK through the Undergraduate Research Opportunity Program (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://our.utah.edu/research-scholarship-opportunities/urop/" xlink:type="simple">http://our.utah.edu/research-scholarship-opportunities/urop/</ext-link>). The funder(s) had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="8"/>
<table-count count="2"/>
<page-count count="22"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-group>
<custom-meta id="data-availability">
<meta-name>Data Availability</meta-name>
<meta-value>The only actual data specific to our study is now available in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pclm.0000133.s001">S1 Table</xref>. We generate figures from the data in-core with Python scripts available now as a tar file in a new Github repository: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://github.com/benjbromley/Dust-as-a-solar-shield" xlink:type="simple">https://github.com/benjbromley/Dust-as-a-solar-shield</ext-link>.</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="sec001" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Climate change on Earth is an existential threat. Increased entrapment of solar energy, the result of changes in composition of the Earth’s atmosphere, is acknowledged to be a severe problem [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref001">1</xref>–<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref003">3</xref>]. One class of strategies for combating climate change is to reduce the solar irradiance by intercepting sunlight before it reaches Earth [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref004">4</xref>]. The target attenuation of sunlight, based on modeling, is approximately 1–2% [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref005">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref006">6</xref>]. For historical context, aerosols in the Earth’s atmosphere can potentially serve as light reflectors or absorbers that redistribute solar radiation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref007">7</xref>]. However, their overall impact may be difficult to predict owing to uncertainties in how they may be circulated and their interaction with clouds. Regional weather changes, the nature of deployment programs, and long-term environmental effects will inevitably cause uneven society hardships and benefits, arguing that other approaches should be prioritized [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref008">8</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref009">9</xref>].</p>
<p>Space-baced approaches for solar radiation management provide an alternative. Objects in space—a large screen [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref010">10</xref>–<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref012">12</xref>] or a swarm of small artificial satellites [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref014">14</xref>]—that are well-positioned at the L<sub>1</sub> Lagrange point between Earth and the Sun can efficiently shade our planet. Challenges includes maintaining orbits in the face of radiation pressure from sunlight. The optical properties of the orbiters are thus chosen to mitigate this problem. A high degree of forward scattering allows light to be deflected without transferring much photon momentum, a feat accomplished with refractive, non-absorbing material. A second challenge is that the amount of material required to provide climate-impacting shade exceeds 10<sup>9</sup> kg, which is roughly a hundred time more mass than humans have sent into space to date. However, strategies have been identified that are feasible [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>].</p>
<p>Variations on the original proposals to shade Earth with artificial sun shields include the use of dust. Clouds of micron-size gains at the Earth–Sun L<sub>1</sub> point [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref015">15</xref>–<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref017">17</xref>], at Lagrange points of the Moon-Earth system [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref011">11</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref018">18</xref>], and in orbit around Earth [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref019">19</xref>–<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref021">21</xref>] have all shown some promise, albeit with limitations. The potential sources of dust include terrestrial and lunar mines and near-Earth asteroids. In all cases, masses ≳ 10<sup>10</sup> kg are necessary to have climate impact.</p>
<p>Here, we revisit the reduction of sunlight received by Earth that results from the placement of dust at or near the inner Lagrange point, L<sub>1</sub>, lying directly between Earth and the Sun, including gravitational perturbations from the Moon and other planets. While unstable, these corotating orbits allow for the possibility of temporarily shading Earth. We start by assessing the shadows produced by various types of dust; then we numerically determine orbits that persist near L<sub>1</sub>, including the impact of radiation pressure and solar wind. Our main results are a connection between the quantity and quality of dust and the attenuation of sunlight at Earth on achievable orbits near L<sub>1</sub>. To compare with previous work, we target a reduction in solar irradiance of 1.8%, or 6 attenuation-days per year.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec002">
<title>Shading by dust near L<sub>1</sub></title>
<p>A particle orbiting the Sun can shield Earth by absorbing or scattering radiation. A shield’s overall effectiveness depends on its ability to sustain an orbit that casts a shadow on Earth. In principle, a small shield placed at L<sub>1</sub> can remain in close alignment between Earth and the Sun, offering hope that it can provide steady sun shade. The distance between L<sub>1</sub>and Earth, <italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub>, is approximately the Hill radius,
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e001"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e001g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e001" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M1"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mtext>Hill</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>≡</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>01</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mtext>au</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(1)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>a</italic><sub>semi</sub> is the semimajor axis of the Earth’s orbit around the Sun, the masses M<sub>⊕</sub> and M<sub>⊙</sub> correspond to Earth and the Sun, respectively, and 1 au ≈ 1.496 × 10<sup>11</sup> m. Knowing this distance allows us to estimate the effectiveness of a shield, whether it is a solid thin film or, as we consider here, a cloud of dust. The first step in this determination is how an individual dust grain interacts with sunlight.</p>
<sec id="sec003">
<title>Particle scattering</title>
<p>The amount of sunlight removed by a particle is quantified by a cross section, <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub><italic>πr</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub><sup>2</sup>, where <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> is the particle’s radius, and
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e002"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e002g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e002" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M2"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>abs</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>sca</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(2)</label></disp-formula>
is the extinction efficiency factor, broken down in terms of absorption and scattering efficiencies (<italic>Q</italic><sub>abs</sub> and <italic>Q</italic><sub>sca</sub>, respectively). Light scattered by reflection and refraction is characterized by a phase function, Φ(<italic>θ</italic>), giving the amount of incident light that is scattered at angle <italic>θ</italic> relative to the direction of travel of the incident beam. The anisotropy parameter,
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e003"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e003g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e003" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M3"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>g</mml:mi> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mo>∫</mml:mo> <mml:mspace width="2pt"/><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>θ</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>Φ</mml:mo> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>θ</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mo>Ω</mml:mo> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mo>∫</mml:mo> <mml:mo>Φ</mml:mo> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>θ</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mo>Ω</mml:mo> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(3)</label></disp-formula>
where the integration is over all solid angles, indicates whether light is, on average, back-scattered (−1 ≤ <italic>g</italic> &lt; 0), forward-scattered (0 &lt; <italic>g</italic> ≤ 1) or neither (<italic>g</italic> = 0, as for an isotropic scattering). While the effectiveness of a particle as a sun shield is governed by <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub>, the scattering anisotropy may also be important. A small particle that is impacted by radiation pressure feels a stronger force if it back-scatters photons, reversing their angular momentum, than if the particle forward-scatters them, with only modest changes to the flow of photon momentum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref022">22</xref>].</p>
<p>Scattering outcomes depend strongly on particle size. For particles larger than a micron, bigger than the typical wavelength of sunlight, λ ∼ 0.5 <italic>μ</italic>m, the scattering efficiency is <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> ≈ 2; particles of this size block incident sunlight as a result of their geometric cross section <italic>A</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub>, equal to <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e004"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e004g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e004" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M4"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> for spheres, augmented by interference effects from their internal response to the incident radiation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref023">23</xref>]. At distance <italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub>, the Earth-L<sub>1</sub>separation, even objects as large as <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e005"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e005g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e005" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M5"><mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mo>λ</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt> <mml:mo>∼</mml:mo> <mml:mn>10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> m will be in the Frauenhofer diffraction regime [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref024">24</xref>].</p>
<p>Particles with sub-micron radii are smaller than the typical wavelength of sunlight. The interaction of these small grains with light can be complicated, though the theories of Rayleigh, Lorentz, and Mie are powerful starting points. From Rayliegh theory, the efficiency factors for nanoparticles are
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e006"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e006g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e006" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M6"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>abs</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>∼</mml:mo> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>Im</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>K</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mo>λ</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(4)</label></disp-formula> <disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e007"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e007g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e007" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M7"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>sca</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>∼</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo> <mml:mi>K</mml:mi> <mml:mo>|</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>4</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mo>λ</mml:mo> <mml:mn>4</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(5)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>K</italic> = (<italic>n</italic><sup>2</sup> − 1)/(<italic>n</italic><sup>2</sup> + 2) and <italic>n</italic> is the index of refraction. In this limit, scattered light is isotropic. For smaller particles in this regime, extinction efficiencies are low; for example, 0.01 <italic>μ</italic>m silver nanoparties have <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> ∼ 0.01 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref025">25</xref>]. Small molecules, with physical radii of a few tenths of a nanometer and absorption cross sections typically smaller than 10<sup>−4</sup> nm<sup>2</sup> when averaged across the solar spectrum, have extinction efficiencies below roughly 10<sup>−3</sup>.</p>
<p>In the intermediate regime, where grains have radii of 0.1–1 <italic>μ</italic>m, the extinction efficiencies are higher and admit the possibility of forward scattering. We use Mie theory to estimate scattering properties of these grains, incorporating the <monospace>miepython</monospace> package (<monospace>github.com/scottprahl/miepython</monospace>) to obtain average <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub>, <italic>Q</italic><sub>sca</sub>, and <italic>g</italic> for particles of coal dust, sea salt, glass, and gold in sunlight, modelled with a blackbody spectrum running from 300 nm to 1500 nm. <xref ref-type="table" rid="pclm.0000133.t001">Table 1</xref> provides a list of parameters.</p>
<table-wrap id="pclm.0000133.t001" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.t001</object-id>
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption>
<title>Optical properties.</title>
</caption>
<alternatives>
<graphic id="pclm.0000133.t001g" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.t001" xlink:type="simple"/>
<table border="0" frame="box" rules="all">
<colgroup>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">material</th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">density (kg/m<sup>3</sup>)</th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">refractive index</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center">coal dust</td>
<td align="center">1400</td>
<td align="center">1.8 − 0.2<italic>i</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">sea salt</td>
<td align="center">2000</td>
<td align="center">1.5 − 10<sup>−6</sup><italic>i</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">glass</td>
<td align="center">2500</td>
<td align="center">1.5 − 10<sup>−8</sup><italic>i</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">lunar dust</td>
<td align="center">2700</td>
<td align="center">1.7 − 10<sup>−3</sup><italic>i</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">aluminum spheres</td>
<td align="center">2700</td>
<td align="center">1.4 − 7.6<italic>i</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">gold spheres</td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">1930</td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">0.27 − 2.9<italic>i</italic></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</alternatives>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="t001fn001">
<p>These values are intended only to be characteristic of the material listed. For lunar dust we adopt the characteristics of olivine, averaged over the solar spectrum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref026">26</xref>].</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>Other dust or grain configurations include particles with elongated shapes (e.g., ice crystals) or in fluffy agglomerates. When the geometric limit applies, the average scattering cross section of a randomly oriented, long cylinder (length <italic>L</italic> and diameter <italic>D</italic>) is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e008"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e008g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e008" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M8"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>c</mml:mi> <mml:mi>y</mml:mi> <mml:mi>l</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>s</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi> <mml:mi>h</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>6</mml:mn> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mi>D</mml:mi></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>10</mml:mn></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>L</mml:mi> <mml:mo>≫</mml:mo> <mml:mi>D</mml:mi> <mml:mo>≫</mml:mo> <mml:mo>λ</mml:mo> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(6)</label></disp-formula>
When the wavelength of light is comparable to <italic>D</italic>, the cross-section is much larger [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref027">27</xref>].</p>
<p>Fluffy aggregates with high porosity may also increase the scattering efficiencies compared to objects with the same bulk composition and mass. The Bruggeman mixing rule allows for an estimate of <italic>n</italic><sub>eff</sub> the effective index of refraction of a non-absorbing composite material through the solution of
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e009"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e009g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e009" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M9"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msubsup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>eff</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:msubsup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>eff</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msubsup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>eff</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:msubsup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>eff</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(7)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>f</italic> is the filling factor, defined to be a volume fraction of the aggregate material within the fluffy particle.</p>
<p>By varying composition and structure (shape, porosity), the optical properties of a material may be adjusted to optimize effectiveness as a solar shield.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec004">
<title>Shadowing Earth</title>
<p>If a light-scattering particle lies directly between Earth and the Sun, it will diminish the solar irradiance at Earth by an amount that depends on its angular size, which depends on the cross-section and the distance from Earth [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>]. In the limit where the particle is very close to Earth, just above the atmosphere for example, every photon scattered or absorbed by the particle would have hit Earth. The attenuation in sunlight, defined here as the fractional reduction of the total radiative power of the Sun received by Earth, is then the ratio of the cross-section of the particle to the area of the illuminated face of our planet. When the particle is farther from Earth, well beyond the L<sub>1</sub> point, its shadow, a penumbra, may extend beyond the Sun-facing disk of Earth. Many of the photons that the particle deflects would not have reached Earth. The attenuation in this case is comparatively small.</p>
<p>In general, the attenuation of solar irradiance at Earth, stemming from a particle with geometric cross section <italic>σ</italic>, is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e010"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e010g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e010" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M10"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mfrac><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi> <mml:mrow><mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(8)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>f</italic><sub>•</sub> is the fraction of solar photons deflected by the particle that would have otherwise reached Earth. This “shadowing efficiency” quantifies the effects of geometry, specifically the fraction of the particle’s penumbral shadow that is occupied by the Sun-facing disk of Earth.</p>
<p>Toward estimating <italic>f</italic><sub>•</sub>, we define <italic>R</italic><sub>•</sub>, the radius of the particle’s penumbra when projected onto the surface of a sphere about the Sun that contains the center of Earth:
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e011"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e011g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e011" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M11"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>≡</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(9)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>a</italic><sub>semi</sub> is the Earth–Sun distance, and <italic>d</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> is the distance from the Earth’s center to the particle. Close to Earth, <italic>R</italic><sub>•</sub> is small, and grows as the particle is moved toward the Sun. At some optimal distance from Earth,
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e012"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e012g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e012" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M12"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mspace width="0.166667em"/><mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>91</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(10)</label></disp-formula>
the penumbra exactly covers the Sun-facing disk of Earth. As in the rightmost expression in the equation, <italic>d</italic><sub>•</sub> is curiously close to the distance between Earth and L<sub>1</sub>, <italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub> ≈ R<sub>Hill</sub> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>].</p>
<p>When Earth, the Sun, and a light-scattering particle are not aligned, the center of the penumbral shadow of the particle will fall some distance from the center of the Earth’s Sun-facing disk given by
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e013"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e013g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e013" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M13"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>|</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>×</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>|</mml:mo> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(11)</label></disp-formula>
where <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e014"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e014g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e014" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M14"><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> is the particle position relative to Earth, and <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e015"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e015g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e015" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M15"><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> is the Earth’s displacement from the Sun. With these definitions, the shadowing efficiency is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e016"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e016g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e016" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M16"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mo>{</mml:mo> <mml:mtable><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>no</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>shadow</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr> <mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo> <mml:mo>|</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>complete</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>shadow</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr> <mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mo>{</mml:mo> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup> <mml:msup><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:msup><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mo/></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="right"/></mml:mtr> <mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo/> <mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign="right"/></mml:mtr> <mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mo/> <mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mi>b</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:msup><mml:mo>]</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mo>}</mml:mo> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>otherwise</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable> <mml:mo/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(12)</label></disp-formula>
When a light-scattering particle is interior to <italic>d</italic><sub>•</sub> ≈ 0.008 au and aligned with Earth and the Sun. the shadowing efficiency is unity. Further out, at L<sub>1</sub> (<italic>b</italic> ≤ <italic>R</italic><sub>•</sub>−R<sub>⊕</sub>, <italic>f</italic><sub>•</sub> ≈ 0.82). To estimate the impact of dust on the solar radiance, we consider the attenuation from a spherical particle with a radius of 1 <italic>μ</italic>m, located at L<sub>1</sub> and aligned with Earth and the Sun:
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e017"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e017g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e017" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M17"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi> <mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mo>×</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>26</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>(at</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext> <mml:msub><mml:mrow/><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub> <mml:mtext>)</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(13)</label></disp-formula>
While this value is small for an individual absorbing particle, a substantial ensemble of dust particles may have a significant impact on the solar radiation received on Earth. If the particle were moved toward the Sun to a new distance <italic>d</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> &gt; <italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub>, then the attenuation would fall off roughly as the square of <italic>d</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub>. This decrease with distance may be an important consideration when establishing a swarm of particles at some new L<sub>1</sub> point in response to non-gravitational forces like radiation pressure.</p>
<p>A scatterer near L<sub>1</sub> in line with Earth and the Sun attenuates solar radiation by deflecting light out of the narrow cone aimed at the illuminated face of Earth. Light scattered into this cone, with a solid angle ΔΩ, amplifies the sunlight received by Earth by a factor
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e018"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e018g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e018" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M18"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="script">B</mml:mi> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:mfrac><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mrow> <mml:mo>⟨</mml:mo> <mml:mo>Φ</mml:mo> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>θ</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>⟩</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:msub><mml:mo>|</mml:mo> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>Δ</mml:mo> <mml:mo>Ω</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(14)</label></disp-formula>
where angular braces denote the phase function averaged over solid angle ΔΩ in the Earth’s direction. For a particle near L<sub>1</sub>, aligned between Earth and the Sun, Earth appears as a disk with an angular radius of ΔΘ = R<sub>⊕</sub>/<italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub> ≈ 0.24°, filling a solid angle of ΔΩ ≈ 5.7 × 10<sup>−5</sup> steradians; the phase function in this case is evaluated around a scattering angle of 0°. In practice we estimate the average value of the phase function in ΔΘ using the <monospace>miepython</monospace> routine <monospace>i_unpolarized</monospace> and a 7-point Simpson’s 3/8s rule integrator, since the phase function can be sharply peaked at <italic>θ</italic> = 0°. For micron size grains at L<sub>1</sub>, the amplification is generally below 0.1% of the level of the attenuation, even for strongly forward-scattering particles (<italic>g</italic> ≳ 0.8). For larger particles with <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> ≳ 10 <italic>μ</italic>m, the phase function is so sharply peaked at <italic>θ</italic> = 0° that the amplification can exceed over 10% of the magnitude of attenuation.</p>
<p>Particles that forward-scatter light amplify the sunlight received on Earth even when they provide no shade at all. While the magnitude of the effect is small compared with attenuation, an accumulation of dust particles just beyond the disk of the Sun from the Earth’s perspective could overwhelm the impact of attenuation by those orbiting in front of the Sun. It is important to avoid a situation where a significant mass in dust lingers just outside the solar disk, brightening the terrestrial sky. Two factors mitigate this risk. First, as particles move away from alignment with Earth and the Sun, the scattering angle toward Earth increases, typically leading to a drop in the amplification. Second, particles displaced from L<sub>1</sub> tend to move away from that point quickly as compared with the metastable orbits at the Lagrange point. It seems unlikely to accumulate much dust in the broad space between Earth and the Sun.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec005">
<title>Clouds of dust</title>
<p>A swarm of purely absorbing dust particles could provide an effective sun shield [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref015">15</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref016">16</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref019">19</xref>]. However, with an attenuation of solar radiation by a factor of 10<sup>−26</sup> per micron-sized grain, climate-impacting reduction in solar radiance at Earth requires a large cloud of dust. To estimate the amount of material required to achieve Earth-climate impact, we first analyze a face-on, disk-like cloud with a radius <italic>R</italic><sub>cloud</sub>, depth <italic>Z</italic> in the Earth–Sun direction, and dust uniformly distributed within it with number density <italic>n</italic>. The cloud’s optical depth along a path perpendicular to the disk is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e019"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e019g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e019" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M19"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>τ</mml:mi> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>⊥</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mo>{</mml:mo> <mml:mtable><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mi>n</mml:mi> <mml:mi>Z</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mo>⊥</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr> <mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>otherwise</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable> <mml:mo/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(15)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>R</italic><sub>⊥</sub> is the path’s distance from the cloud’s central axis. When the cloud lies on the Earth–Sun axis, directly above the Earth’s subsolar point, its attenuation is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e020"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e020g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e020" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M20"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mi>F</mml:mi> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>exp</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mi>τ</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mspace width="0.166667em"/><mml:mfrac><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>on-axis</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>disk</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(16)</label></disp-formula>
where
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e021"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e021g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e021" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M21"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>F</mml:mi> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>X</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mrow><mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:msup><mml:mi>X</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:msubsup><mml:mo>∫</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msubsup> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(17)</label></disp-formula>
is a measure of the average shadowing fraction provided by the penumbra of the disk. If the disk is comparatively small, so that <italic>R</italic><sub>cloud</sub> ≤ <italic>R</italic><sub>•</sub>(1 − <italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub>/<italic>a</italic><sub>semi</sub>) ≈ 650 km, Earth lies within the penumbra of the entire cloud. Then, <italic>F</italic> ≈ 0.82, its maximum value.</p>
<p>For Earth-climate impact, <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e022"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e022g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e022" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M22"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>8</mml:mn> <mml:mo>%</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula>. An optically thick cloud (<italic>τ</italic> ≫ 1), provides this level of shade when its physical radius is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e023"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e023g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e023" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M23"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>940</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mtext>km</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>ECI</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>shield</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>radius</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>at</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext> <mml:msub><mml:mrow/><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(18)</label></disp-formula>
For comparison, a disk radius of about 7000 km is required to totally eclipse the Sun from the perspective of the Earth’s subsolar point. If a 940-km “cloud” were instead a sheet of aluminum with a thickness of 100 nm and areal density of 0.3 g/m<sup>2</sup>, as in the insulating films on current spacecraft, the total mass would be 7.6 × 10<sup>8</sup> kg, equivalent to a sphere of about 40 m in radius. For structural support, though, the films on existing and proposed spacecraft have areal densities over an order of magnitude higher [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref014">14</xref>].</p>
<p>An optically thin disk with a larger radius, for example 1500 km, requires
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e024"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e024g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e024" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M24"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>6</mml:mn> <mml:mo>×</mml:mo> <mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn> <mml:mn>9</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mspace width="0.166667em"/><mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>7</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:msup><mml:mtext>g/cm</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo> <mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi> <mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>kg</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>at</mml:mtext> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext> <mml:msub><mml:mrow/><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(19)</label></disp-formula>
where the numerical value of the bulk density <italic>ρ</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> applies approximately to both aluminum and silicate dust, and the scattering efficiency has a strong dependence on material properties and particle radius, <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub>. At 1 <italic>μ</italic>m, both aluminum and silicate grains have a high scattering efficiency (<italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> ≳ 2 based on Mie scattering), and have similar mass requirements to reach the same attenuation target. Because aluminum is strongly absorbing, its extinction efficiency remains near <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> = 2 even when the grain size is reduced to 0.1 <italic>μ</italic>m, cutting the required cloud mass by a factor of ten. By comparison, the extinction efficiency of silicate dust with <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> = 0.1 <italic>μ</italic>m is only 0.7, reducing <italic>M</italic><sub>cloud</sub> by a factor of four. Coal dust is promising, as its density is comparatively low, yet like aluminum, it is absorbing and so retains a fairly high extinction efficiency (<italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> ≈ 1.2 for grain radii of 0.1 <italic>μ</italic>m). A cloud of coal dust would require a mass of 1.3 × 10<sup>8</sup> kg to have climate impact. Modifications to grain porosity and shape can also increase the attenuation per unit mass. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref> illustrates these dependencies.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g001" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g001</object-id>
<label>Fig 1</label>
<caption>
<title>The attenuation from a monodisperse cloud of particles with total mass <italic>M</italic><sub>cloud</sub> = 10<sup>9</sup> kg at true L<sub>1</sub> as a function of radius.</title>
<p>The left panel shows the attenuation for spherical particles of different types of material. The right panel illustrates the attenuation for dust made of glass but with different shapes, as in the legend. The horizontal axis in the right panel for glass particles is the volume equivalent radius. The shaped glass is (i) a cylindrical rod, with the length-to-diameter ratio as in the legend, (ii) a cylindrical tube with the given length:diameter:wall-thickness ratios; and (iii) “fluffy” spherical grains with the listed filling factors, so that (for example) 0.1 means 10% glass and 90% air bubbles or vacuum. The attenuation from spherical glass beads is shown for reference.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g001" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>As in the figure, the peaks of the attenuation curves for spherical particles as a function of grain size are fairly sharp at just under a micron for most of the materials considered. This result provides a guide to how dust might be mined, sifted or milled to achieve a desired level of attenuation, especially for natural materials that have a broad size distribution. Particle shapes of also impact attenuation by allowing more massive grains with elongated or porous configurations to scatter sunlight more effectively. Since more massive dust particles are less susceptible to the effects of radiation pressure and the solar wind, there may be a benefit to producing dust clouds with these “designer” materials, as discussed below. Production and delivery costs would differ, also impacting the feasibility of each grain type as a solar shield.</p>
<p>The attenuation calculations illustrated in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref> assume that the cloud of dust is located at L<sub>1</sub>. Non-gravitational forces (e.g., radiation pressure) may prevent the cloud from maintaining a stable position, although a sustained L<sub>1</sub>-like orbit maybe be possible further away from Earth. If the distance between a cloud and Earth were increased beyond 1 R<sub>Hill</sub>, yet retains alignment with the Sun so that Earth is fully in the penumbral shadow, then <italic>f</italic><sub>•</sub> falls off roughly as the square of
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e025"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e025g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e025" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M25"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>82</mml:mn> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>01</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mtext>au</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>≥</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(20)</label></disp-formula>
This value and the corresponding averaged shading factor <italic>F</italic> in <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="pclm.0000133.e003">Eq (3)</xref> generally diminish with increasing distance beyond L<sub>1</sub>. We consider detailed grain orbits next.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec006">
<title>Orbits near the L<sub>1</sub></title>
<p>Earth, on its orbit about the Sun, can gravitationally shepherd small bodies around it at distances well beyond the Moon. The spatial extent of its influence is characterized by the Hill radius (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="pclm.0000133.e001">Eq (1)</xref>), On the line segment connecting Earth and the Sun, approximately one Hill radius away from Earth, is the Lagrange point, L<sub>1</sub>; at that location, the inward force from the Sun is weakened by the outward pull of Earth in just the right amount so that an object there corotates with Earth, holding a position directly in between Earth and Sun.</p>
<p>Orbits at the Lagrange point L<sub>1</sub> are metastable. A well-placed test particle in an idealized restricted three-body experiment with Earth and Sun can orbit at L<sub>1</sub> for multiple dynamical times. However, numerical experiments demonstrate that finding the location of L<sub>1</sub> may require fine tuning. Objects with starting positions that are separated from the L<sub>1</sub> location by less than a kilometer drift to distances of 1000 km or more from that point in less than a year. Velocity perturbations as small as a centimeter per second can also cause substantial drift away from L<sub>1</sub> in a dynamical time.</p>
<p>The Moon further complicates this picture. Together, Earth and the Moon are a binary system with a mass ratio near 0.012 and a separation of about a quarter of the Earth’s Hill radius. Their relative motion produces a time-varying gravitational potential, where no physical orbit exactly follows a single point on the line connecting Earth and the Sun. We can nonetheless numerically find orbits that minimally drift from this line. Starting with Solar System data from JPL Horizons for the masses, locations and velocities of Earth, the Moon, Sun, Venus, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn, we use a sixth-order <italic>n</italic>-body integrator from the Orchestra code [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref028">28</xref>] to follow the orbits of massless tracer particles near the Earth–Sun L<sub>1</sub>. Validation tests for the algorithm include energy conservation and phase-space convergence tests [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref029">29</xref>]. Here, energy is conserved to 1 part in 10<sup>14</sup>; positions over the course of a one-year integration vary by less than about 10 km for orbits near the (metastable) Lagrange point. Increasing the time resolution of the code does not affect the results reported here.</p>
<p>To identify starting conditions in our simulations, we vary the initial displacement and velocity vectors, seeking an orbit that minimizes the r.m.s. distance of a tracer from the line connecting Earth and the Sun. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref> illustrates the outcome, an L<sub>1</sub>-tracking orbit that keeps an object within the disk of the Sun as seen from Earth, at least at the point where the Sun is directly overhead. <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pclm.0000133.s001">S1 Table</xref> contains starting conditions for this and other simulations used here.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g002" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g002</object-id>
<label>Fig 2</label>
<caption>
<title>Location of a test particle on the face of the Sun as seen from Earth.</title>
<p>The viewing location is the subsolar point. The plot axes are the angular displacement from the center of the Sun in the plane of the sky. The azimuthal direction is in the Earth’s orbital plane, with Earth moving to the right. The starting date in the simulated experiment is April 20, 2022 (JD 2459699.500800758). A 6th-order symplectic integrator with took 4000 time steps to track the orbit over the course of one year. In the plot, the grey scale correlates with run time; earlier times have lighter shade.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g002" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>The numerical experiment in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref> illustrates the existence of orbits that can provide sunshade over the course of a year and potentially longer. It also reveals that particles on these orbits drift around enough so that Earth does not always remain fully within their penumbra. The shadow fraction <italic>f</italic><sub>•</sub> falls from 0.82 for optimal alignment at L<sub>1</sub> to an average value of 0.60.</p>
<p>Our simulations are limited to one year and rely on fine tuning of initial conditions. In real systems where non-gravitational forces are at play, or where ideal orbits are not initially achieved, some orbit corrections may be necessary to keep an object near L<sub>1</sub>. The International Sun-Earth Explorer 3, the first satellite to occupy an orbit near L<sub>1</sub>, like the others that followed it, occasionally maneuvered to stay in place. The solutions we find are no exception. Small corrections would be needed to keep a body near L<sub>1</sub> over multiple years. Next, we explore the role of non-gravitational forces in orbital dynamics.</p>
<sec id="sec007">
<title>Non-gravitational forces</title>
<p>Radiation pressure, Poynting-Robertson drag, and the solar wind contribute to the orbital dynamics of micron- and submicron-size particles [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref022">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref030">30</xref>–<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref032">32</xref>]. The acceleration of a single dust grain from these effects is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e026"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e026g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e026" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M26"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mtext>ng</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>4</mml:mn> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:mi>c</mml:mi> <mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>{</mml:mo> <mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mi>η</mml:mi> <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:mfrac> <mml:mfrac><mml:mi>u</mml:mi> <mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mi>η</mml:mi> <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>v</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mo>·</mml:mo> <mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mo>^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow> <mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo> <mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mo>^</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mi>η</mml:mi> <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>v</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(21)</label></disp-formula>
where L<sub>⊙</sub> is the luminosity of the Sun, particle position <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e027"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e027g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e027" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M27"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> and velocity <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e028"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e028g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e028" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M28"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>v</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> as well as <italic>u</italic> ≈ 450 km/s, the speed of the solar wind, are relative to the Sun, <italic>c</italic> is the speed of light, <italic>Q</italic> is an efficiency factor for radiation pressure, and <italic>η</italic> ≈ 1/3 is the strength of corpuscular pressure from the solar wind relative to radiation pressure [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref022">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref032">32</xref>]. The efficiency factor encodes the physics of scattering and absorption:
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e029"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e029g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e029" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M29"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>abs</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mo>⟨</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="2pt"/> <mml:mi>θ</mml:mi> <mml:mo>⟩</mml:mo> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>sca</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(22)</label></disp-formula>
where the first term on the right is the fraction of radiation that is absorbed by the particle and the second term takes into account scattering. If light is completely back-scattered, 〈cos <italic>θ</italic>〉 ≡ <italic>g</italic> = −1, hence <italic>Q</italic> = 2<italic>Q</italic><sub>sca</sub>. When light is totally forward scattered (<italic>g</italic> = 1), <italic>Q</italic> is zero; radiation passes right through the particle [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref022">22</xref>].</p>
<p>Radiation pressure and the solar wind can strongly modify the orbits of small particles. The dominant term in <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="pclm.0000133.e029">Eq (21)</xref> is the radial, velocity-independent force of radiation pressure from the Sun. By convention, the parameter
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e030"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e030g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e030" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M30"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd><mml:mo>≡</mml:mo></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>4</mml:mn> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:mi>G</mml:mi> <mml:mi>c</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(23)</label></disp-formula> <disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e031"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e031g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e031" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M31"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mspace width="4pt"/></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo></mml:mtd> <mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>213</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="0.166667em"/><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>7</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:msup><mml:mtext>g/cm</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mspace width="3.33333pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi> <mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mtext>spheres</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(24)</label></disp-formula>
indicates the strength of this force compared to the Sun’s gravity. Because radiation pressure depends on the flux of sunlight, ∼L<sub>⊙</sub>/<italic>r</italic><sup>2</sup>, <italic>β</italic> depends on grain properties and not heliocentric distance. Thus, for <italic>β</italic> &lt; 1, a grain orbits in a central force that still varies as 1/<italic>r</italic><sup>2</sup>, although with diminished strength as the Euler constant <italic>G</italic>M<sub>⊙</sub> becomes <italic>G</italic>M<sub>⊙</sub>(1 − <italic>β</italic>). For <italic>β</italic> ≥ 1, dust grains are ejected from the solar system.</p>
<p>For particles initially orbiting at the L<sub>1</sub> point, a non-zero <italic>β</italic> can lead to a rapid drift from the ideal, purely gravitational orbit. We define a persistence time,
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e032"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e032g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e032" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M32"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>per</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>∫</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mo>→</mml:mo></mml:mover> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo> <mml:mi>t</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mi>t</mml:mi> <mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>t</mml:mi> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(25)</label></disp-formula>
to represent the equivalent time that Earth is fully shaded by a grain. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g003">Fig 3</xref> illustrates how the persistence time depends on <italic>β</italic> for spherical grains with several different radii. At small <italic>β</italic>, and for particles with radii much larger than a micron, the persistence time is long, at least months. Sub-micron grains have short persistence even when <italic>β</italic> is small, since they are swept away from L<sub>1</sub> by the solar wind.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g003" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g003</object-id>
<label>Fig 3</label>
<caption>
<title>The persistence of spherical grains (<italic>ρ</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> = 2.7 g/cm<sup>3</sup>) at L<sub>1</sub> in the presence of non-gravitational forces.</title>
<p>The various tracks show the persistence time for grains of difference sizes, as indicated in the legend. These values were obtained by numerical integration, where each grain was starting as in the trajectory in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref>. The overall trend is for persistence to increase with decreasing <italic>β</italic>, except at small <italic>β</italic> and for small grain radii. In these limits, the solar wind sweeps particles away from L<sub>1</sub>.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g003" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>We can increase persistence by noting that the reduction of the strength of the central force when 0 &lt; <italic>β</italic> &lt; 1 means that Earth can shepherd dust at an “L<sub>1</sub>-like” point closer to the Sun. An estimate of the distance between Earth and this new, size-dependent L<sub>1</sub> is derived from equating the orbital speed of Earth with that of a dust particle on an inner orbit:
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e033"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e033g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e033" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M33"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>G</mml:mi> <mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow> <mml:msubsup><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mo>[</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mi>β</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mi>G</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>G</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:msup><mml:mi>x</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>]</mml:mo> <mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext> <mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>/</mml:mo> <mml:mi>M</mml:mi> <mml:mo>-</mml:mo> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(26)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>M</italic> = M<sub>⊙</sub> + M<sub>⊕</sub>. For <italic>β</italic> ≤ 0.1, the solution to the above equation is well-approximated by
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e034"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e034g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e034" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M34"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>β</mml:mi> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>≈</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1047</mml:mn> <mml:mi>β</mml:mi> <mml:mo>+</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>6215</mml:mn> <mml:msup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup> <mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mspace width="4pt"/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>β</mml:mi> <mml:mo>≲</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(27)</label></disp-formula>
We numerically determined the location of these L<sub>1</sub>-like points, which can be several times more distant from Earth than “true L<sub>1</sub>”. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g004">Fig 4</xref> provides examples. We verified that particle orbits may be sustained there for at least one year, balancing gravity, radiation pressure and solar wind in the ideal case when all quantities are constant.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g004" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g004</object-id>
<label>Fig 4</label>
<caption>
<title>The distance of L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits from Earth as a function of volume-equivalent radius for various grain types.</title>
<p>When scattering is efficient, outwardly directed non-gravitational forces—radiation pressure and solar wind—oppose the force of gravity from the Sun. Then, Earth shepherds grains on L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits at a greater distance. For most micron-size grains, though, the effect of radiation pressure is so strong that L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits are well beyond ten Hill radii, and may not be achievable in the presence of other planets in the solar system.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g004" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>The next step is to combine the orbits described in this section with the physics of dust scattering discussed earlier.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec008">
<title>Attenuation of sunlight by clouds of dust</title>
<sec id="sec009">
<title>A cloud at L<sub>1</sub></title>
<p>We first consider a monodisperse dust cloud at true L<sub>1</sub>, as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref>. The optimal attenuation for a cloud perfectly centered between Earth and the Sun is
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e035"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e035g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e035" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M35"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>4</mml:mn> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac> <mml:mfrac><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>a</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>semi</mml:mtext> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊙</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mfrac> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(28)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub>, <italic>ρ</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub>, and <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> are the radius, bulk density and scattering efficiency of individual dust grains, respectively. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref> provides examples of the attenuation as a function of dust particle size for a variety of materials. Coal dust, which is an efficient absorber, provides the strongest attenuation when dust particles are approximately a few tenths of a micron in radius. Glass, when formed into elongated, hollow tubes, has a peak attenuation when the volume-equivalent radius is about ten microns.</p>
<p>When providing shade to Earth, both the attenuation and the persistence of each grain at L<sub>1</sub> matter. A simple measure of this joint effect, the cumulative attenuation defined as <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e036"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e036g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e036" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M36"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>per</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:mo>×</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula>, gives an estimate of the effectiveness of a grain type and quantity for impacting Earth climate. For example, a ten-year reduction of sunlight at Earth equivalent to the Maunder Minimum would have a value of 0.025 attenuation-years, or about 9 attenuation-days. For comparison, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g005">Fig 5</xref> shows the cumulative attenuation for 10<sup>9</sup> kg of of dust composed of materials listed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="pclm.0000133.t001">Table 1</xref>. Coal dust with radii near 0.1 <italic>μ</italic>m is most effective, in part because of its low density and high scattering efficiency. With a maximum cumulative attenuation of 0.03 days, approximately 300 times more dust of this size and composition (∼ 1.5 × 10<sup>11</sup> kg) would need to be delivered to L<sub>1</sub> to reproduce the Maunder Minimum.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g005" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g005</object-id>
<label>Fig 5</label>
<caption>
<title>The cumulative attenuation from a monodisperse cloud of particles with total mass <italic>M</italic><sub>cloud</sub> = 10<sup>9</sup> kg at true L<sub>1</sub>.</title>
<p>The panels and curves in this figure correspond to those in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref>, except here, each point represents the attenuation times the persistence time (e.g., <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g003">Fig 3</xref>).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g005" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>For context, 10<sup>11</sup> kg of materials considered here would fill a sphere with a radius of roughly 200 m, comparable to the amount of material excavated per year in a single open-pit mine. The total mass launched into space over human history is considerably less, with estimates under 2 × 10<sup>7</sup> kg.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec010">
<title>Dust streamed from L<sub>1</sub></title>
<p>We ran simulations of fluffy glass aggregate particles with a volume-equivalent radius of 2 <italic>μ</italic>m and filling factor of 0.1, launched from a platform on the L<sub>1</sub> orbit in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref>. We assessed two scenarios: (i) release all the particles at the start from L<sub>1</sub> with some small velocity dispersion (<italic>σ</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> = 10 cm/s), and (ii) launching them from that same platform continuously over a one-month period in a directed jet. In the first case, the cumulative attenuation is about 0.085 days with a 10<sup>9</sup> kg cloud of dust; it is short because radiation pressure causes individual grains to drift from disk of the Sun. In the second case, this same cloud is launched with a velocity dispersion of 10 cm/s within a jet of mean speed 10 m/s directed at an angle <italic>θ</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> = 65° relative to the Earth’s direction of travel. The persistence is approximately doubled, increasing to 0.15 days, since the jetted particles have initial speeds that compensate for the drifting motion away from the solar disk. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g006">Fig 6</xref> is a snapshot of a particle jet launched in this way.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g006" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g006</object-id>
<label>Fig 6</label>
<caption>
<title>Location of a simulated micron-size grains continuously launched from an orbiter at L<sub>1</sub> in a snapshot as seen from Earth.</title>
<p>The viewing location is the subsolar point, and the solid grey circle shows the edge of the solar disk, as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref>. The simulated trajectory of the orbiter is calculated as in that earlier figure. The particles are ejected in a jet-like stream, as described in the text. The image shows grains after 48 days after the start time in the simulation. <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pclm.0000133.s002">S1 Animation</xref> shows the full sequence of images from which this snapshot was taken.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g006" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="sec011">
<title>L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits</title>
<p>With the possibility that dust can orbit at an L<sub>1</sub>-like point more distant than true L<sub>1</sub> when it experiences non-gravitational forces, we introduce a second base-line attenuation factor for an optically thin, monodisperse cloud of dust with a total mass <italic>M</italic><sub>cloud</sub>:
<disp-formula id="pclm.0000133.e037"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e037g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e037" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="block" id="M37"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="right"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi> <mml:mi>β</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi> <mml:mo>•</mml:mo></mml:msub> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> <mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn> <mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>ext</mml:mtext></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi> <mml:mtext>cloud</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow> <mml:mrow><mml:mn>4</mml:mn> <mml:mi>π</mml:mi> <mml:msub><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi> <mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub> <mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>R</mml:mtext> <mml:mrow><mml:mo>⊕</mml:mo></mml:mrow> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></alternatives> <label>(29)</label></disp-formula>
where <italic>d</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> is the distance between Earth and the cloud’s location at the corotating, L<sub>1</sub>-like point. We assume perfect alignment between the Sun, Earth, and the cloud, so that <italic>f</italic><sub>•</sub>(0) is the fraction of photons removed by a grain that would have otherwise struck Earth.</p>
<p>The cascade of dependencies in this equation begins with the scattering properties of each grain. Its extinction efficiency determines how many Earth-bound solar photons it can eliminate, but that factor, along with the scattering anisotropy, sets <italic>β</italic> (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="pclm.0000133.e030">Eq 23</xref>), the degree to which radiation pressure can affect its orbit. Higher values of <italic>β</italic> require larger distance between the cloud and Earth, substantially reducing the angular size of each dust grain, and diluting the shade provided to Earth. To compensate, the mass of the cloud could be tuned for a desired level of attenuation.</p>
<p>As an alternative to changing the total mass of the cloud to achieve high attenuation, we consider particle size and optical properties. Grains are most efficient scatterers of sunlight when they are around 1 micron in size. Yet micron-size grains typically have high <italic>β</italic>, possibly to the point where radiation pressure makes these grains unbound to the Sun (<italic>β</italic> ≥ 1). Material with significant forward scattering, <italic>g</italic> → 1, is less susceptible to radiation pressure than back-scatterers. More massive grains, by virtue of increased density or size, have smaller <italic>β</italic> than less massive ones. Numerical experiments suggest that silicate spheres with <italic>r</italic><sub>p</sub> ≳ 100 <italic>μ</italic>m are massive enough so that radiation pressure does not impact orbits over the course of a year. The down side to this choice is that there are fewer grains for a fixed cloud mass. For a fixed cloud mass, the attenuation generally falls with increasing grain/pebble size.</p>
<p>For sub-micron grains, the extinction efficiency falls with decreasing radius; individual very small particles do not scatter light well. However, they also do not feel much radiation pressure [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref022">22</xref>], so <italic>β</italic> is also low, as <italic>d</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> → <italic>d</italic><sub>1</sub>. Furthermore, for a fixed cloud mass, the smaller the particles, the more numerous they are. In balance, extinction efficiency, dominated at small particle sizes by absorption in the Rayleigh limit (<italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> → <italic>Q</italic><sub>abs</sub> ∼ <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub>), compensates for the increase in particle number when <italic>r</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> is reduced. The attenuation from very small grains is independent of grain size for a fixed cloud mass.</p>
<p>
<xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g007">Fig 7</xref> illustrates these effects for spherical grains with properties in <xref ref-type="table" rid="pclm.0000133.t001">Table 1</xref> (left panel) as well as the suite of “designer” glass particles in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref> (right panel). The cloud mass is fixed for all materials at <italic>M</italic><sub>cloud</sub> = 10<sup>9</sup> kg. For spherical grains, sea salt seems most promising in the 5–10 <italic>μ</italic>m size range, followed by lunar dust of similar size. While the attenuation is two orders of magnitude lower than the <sc>eci</sc> level of 0.025, the persistence of all grains here is roughly a year, so the cumulative attenuation will be close to 0.04 days. Still, the total amount of dust to reach even an attenuation-day must thus exceed 10<sup>13</sup> g. The availability and location of lunar dust, presumably mined from the lunar surface [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref018">18</xref>], suggest that this material might be the best choice for generating a massive, persistent cloud at an L<sub>1</sub>-like location.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g007" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g007</object-id>
<label>Fig 7</label>
<caption>
<title>The attenuation from a monodisperse cloud of particles with total mass <italic>M</italic><sub>cloud</sub> = 10<sup>9</sup> kg at an L<sub>1</sub>-like location.</title>
<p>The panels and curves in this figure correspond to those in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref>. Because these clouds corotate with Earth and the Sun for months or longer, the cumulative attenuation is approximately two orders of magnitude greater than the values indicated on the <italic>y</italic>-axis.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g007" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>The designer glass grains offer a different scenario. The right panel of <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g007">Fig 7</xref> shows that a cloud of “fluff balls”—high-porosity glass or aggregates with a filling factor of (0.1)—for example, made from an aggregate of smaller particles—has a cumulative attenuation of approximately 3 days if it remains near <italic>d</italic><sub><italic>p</italic></sub> for a year. Tubular or rod-like shapes with aspect ratios of <italic>L</italic> : <italic>D</italic> = 100 : 1, lead to cumulative attenuation around 0.2–0.4 day with 10<sup>9</sup> kg. Substituting aluminum for glass does not substantially change these results.</p>
<p>Numerical experiments highlight that persistence is difficult to achieve even with L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits, both in the precision required to initialize them, but also because non-gravitational forces can affect particles of slightly different sizes in significant ways.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec012">
<title>Earth-Sun-intercept orbits from the Moon</title>
<p>Because of issues of persistence at L<sub>1</sub> and L<sub>1</sub>-like locations, we considered other strategies, including particles launched from the surface of the Moon, on orbits that are optimized to block the Sun as they stream toward L<sub>1</sub>. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g008">Fig 8</xref> illustrates the path of a burst of lunar dust with radius 0.2 <italic>μ</italic>m from a ballistic launch at 4.7 km/s from the northern pole of the Moon. The cumulative attenuation in this case is 0.11 days for 10<sup>9</sup> kg of dust.</p>
<fig id="pclm.0000133.g008" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g008</object-id>
<label>Fig 8</label>
<caption>
<title>Location of a simulated test particle, launched ballistically from the Moon, crossing the face of the Sun as seen from Earth.</title>
<p>The viewing location is the subsolar point, and the solid grey circle shows the edge of the solar disk, as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref>. The simulated trajectory is calculated as in that earlier figure, except that the first hour of the particle’s motion was integrated with 400 time steps. The start date in this simulation is April 20, 2022 (JD 2459699.500800758), when the Moon is new. The particle is launched from the Moon’s northern pole at a speed of 2.8 km/s relative to the Moon, on a trajectory that reaches close to L<sub>1</sub>, and slowly crosses in front of the Sun near the apex of the trajectory (grey points). The grey scale correlates with run time; earlier times have lighter shade. The total time that the particle spends in front of the Sun is about five days.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.g008" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<p>A similar numerical experiment with larger, 1 <italic>μ</italic>m grains yielded a cumulative attenuation of 0.03 days. Radiation pressure is less impactful than for smaller particles, so these larger grains can achieve an orbit that intercepts Earth and the Sun with slower launch speeds (2.8 km/s). However, despite the longer time that they spend shadowing Earth along their trajectory, their scattering efficiency is relatively low (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref>); a cloud of 10<sup>9</sup> kg provides a cumulative attenuation of only 0.025 d.</p>
<p>Fortuitiously, the distribution of grain sizes in the lunar regolith peaks around 0.2 <italic>μ</italic>m, the size with the highest scattering efficiency. In Apollo samples, approximately 20% of the lunar regolith mass is in the form of dust smaller than 20 <italic>μ</italic>m park2008, with a lognormal distribution peaking at a grain size of about 0.2 <italic>μ</italic>m. About 30% of this small-sized material is in grains between 0.1 and 0.3 <italic>μ</italic>m (Fig 3 in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref033">33</xref>]). Either sifting the existing regolith for the desired grain size or milling the larger bulk could provide a substantial reservoir of dust. The prospects for mining lunar dust with grain sizes suitable for shielding Earth are promising.</p>
<p>Because of the simplicity of this strategy—a ready source of dust, a ballistic launch with no subsequent orbit corrections—and its low cost in terms of energy compared with a launch from Earth, it could provide a good alternative to maintaining sun-shielding material at L<sub>1</sub>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec013">
<title>Energy considerations</title>
<p>Roughly 10<sup>10</sup> kg of dust per year is needed for Earth-climate impact, which is approximately 700 times more mass than humans have launched into space. A lower bound on the energy requirement of delivering this material comes from the potential difference between the Earth’s surface and L<sub>1</sub>, ∼ 6.3 × 10<sup>7</sup> J/kg. Thus, 10<sup>10</sup> kg of material for a solar shield from Earth would require close to 10<sup>18</sup> J, more than the energy spent in 20,000 Saturn V launches.</p>
<p>The potential difference between L<sub>1</sub> and the Moon’s surface is about 4% of the L<sub>1</sub>-Earth value. From our numerical experiments, launch speeds of 3–5 km/s are needed to send micron-size dust from the Moon on orbits that shade Earth for up to a week. Launching 10<sup>10</sup> kg of dust at these speeds requires up to 10<sup>17</sup> J, equivalent to roughly 2500 Saturn V launches. This amount of energy is produced annually by an efficient array of solar panels with an area of less than a few square kilometers. A bank of electromagnetic mass drivers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref034">34</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref035">35</xref>], already envisioned for launches from the Moon [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref036">36</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref037">37</xref>], could place large amounts of dust on Earth-Sun-intercept orbits.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec014" sec-type="conclusions">
<title>Results and discussion</title>
<p>Toward creating a sun shield with dust, we have explored the attenuation of sunlight received by Earth as a result of an intervening cloud of dust at L<sub>1</sub> or on L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits. The new contributions here include the dependence of sun-shading orbits on dust properties and a prescription for launching grains on an L<sub>1</sub>-like orbit from the Moon’s surface to optimize solar shielding. <xref ref-type="table" rid="pclm.0000133.t002">Table 2</xref> provides a comparison of various materials and launch strategies, and identifies the mass of each material needed to reach a cumulative attenuation of 6 days per year.</p>
<table-wrap id="pclm.0000133.t002" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.t002</object-id>
<label>Table 2</label>
<caption>
<title>Mass requirements for Earth-climate impact of dust clouds.</title>
</caption>
<alternatives>
<graphic id="pclm.0000133.t002g" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.t002" xlink:type="simple"/>
<table border="0" frame="box" rules="all">
<colgroup>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" style="border-bottom-width:thick">material<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t002fn001"><sup>a</sup></xref></th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">launch<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t002fn002"><sup>b</sup></xref></th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">orbit<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t002fn003"><sup>c</sup></xref></th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">r<sub>p</sub> (<italic>μ</italic>m)</th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">ECI mass<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t002fn004"><sup>d</sup></xref> (kg)</th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">KE<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t002fn005"><sup>e</sup></xref> (J)</th>
<th align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">ref.</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left">coal dust</td>
<td align="center">Earth</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub></td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.17</td>
<td align="center">8.4 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">6.9 × 10<sup>18</sup></td>
<td align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">porous glass</td>
<td align="center">Earth</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub></td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.17</td>
<td align="center">6.6 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">5.4 × 10<sup>18</sup></td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">sea salt</td>
<td align="center">Earth</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub>-like</td>
<td align="char" char=".">4.9</td>
<td align="center">6.2 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">5.0 × 10<sup>18</sup></td>
<td align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">fluff ball</td>
<td align="center">Earth</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub>-like</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.6</td>
<td align="center">3.6 × 10<sup>9</sup></td>
<td align="center">3.0 × 10<sup>17</sup></td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">lunar dust</td>
<td align="center">Moon</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub>-like</td>
<td align="char" char=".">4.2</td>
<td align="center">8.4 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">1.1 × 10<sup>18</sup></td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">lunar dust</td>
<td align="center">Moon</td>
<td align="center">ESI</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.2</td>
<td align="center">5.4 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">6.0 × 10<sup>17</sup></td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">lunar dust</td>
<td align="center">Moon</td>
<td align="center">ESI</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.0</td>
<td align="center">2.4 × 10<sup>11</sup></td>
<td align="center">9.4 × 10<sup>17</sup></td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">solid shield</td>
<td align="center">Earth</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub></td>
<td align="center">–</td>
<td align="center">10<sup>11</sup></td>
<td align="center">10<sup>19</sup></td>
<td align="center">[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref012">12</xref>]</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">satellite swarm</td>
<td align="center">Earth</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub></td>
<td align="center">–</td>
<td align="center">2 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">2 × 10<sup>18</sup></td>
<td align="center">[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>]</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">asteroid dust</td>
<td align="center">NEA</td>
<td align="center">L<sub>1</sub></td>
<td align="center">–</td>
<td align="center">7.6 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center">1.5 × 10<sup>17</sup></td>
<td align="center">[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref015">15</xref>]</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="border-bottom-width:thick">sailcrafts</td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">Earth</td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">L<sub>1</sub></td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">–</td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">3.4 × 10<sup>10</sup></td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">10<sup>18</sup></td>
<td align="center" style="border-bottom-width:thick">[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref014">14</xref>]</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</alternatives>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="t002fn001">
<p>(<sup>a</sup>) The upper section of the table corresponds to dust clouds of materials from <xref ref-type="table" rid="pclm.0000133.t001">Table 1</xref>. “Fluff ball” refers to glass with a filling factor of 0.1, as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g001">Fig 1</xref>. For comparison, the lower section has estimates for other space-based geoengineering concepts.</p>
</fn>
<fn id="t002fn002">
<p>(<sup>b</sup>) Launch sites include Earth, the Moon, and a near-Earth asteroid (NEA)</p>
</fn>
<fn id="t002fn003">
<p>(<sup>c</sup>) Orbits indicate where sun-shielding occurs, either at Earth-Sun L<sub>1</sub>, an L<sub>1</sub>-like equilbrium point (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="pclm.0000133.e034">Eq 27</xref>), or along an Earth-Sun-intercept (ESI) orbit.</p>
</fn>
<fn id="t002fn004">
<p>(<sup>d</sup>) ECI mass is the mass required for a cumulative attenuation of 6 days per year. For L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits we assume a persistence of six months. The solid shield, satellite swarm and sailcraft concepts provide shade for multiple years.</p>
</fn>
<fn id="t002fn005">
<p>(<sup>e</sup>) KE is the approximate kinetic energy of the ECI mass at launch, not including transport vehicles.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>We summarize the results with these main points:</p>
<list list-type="bullet">
<list-item>
<p>Grains shade Earth most effectively when they are within the L<sub>1</sub> Lagrange point. There, every photon they absorb or deflect is one that would have struck Earth. Serendipitously, grains at L<sub>1</sub> are almost as effective; about 80% of the photons they intercept would have been Earth-bound. Further from Earth, this effectiveness is diminished.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>The details of shading depend on grain size, shape, and composition, all of which determines the extinction efficiency (<italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub>). Typically, micron-size grains have higher <italic>Q</italic><sub>ext</sub> than nanoparticles. Breaking up micron-size grains into more numerous smaller particles increases the physical surface area of a cloud, but generally reduces the amount of shade it can provide because of the loss of extinction efficiency. To get the highest level of attenuation <inline-formula id="pclm.0000133.e038"><alternatives><graphic id="pclm.0000133.e038g" mimetype="image" position="anchor" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.e038" xlink:type="simple"/><mml:math display="inline" id="M38"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:math></alternatives></inline-formula> from a given cloud mass, grains with high porosity are promising, as are particles with large aspect ratios, including cylindrical tubes.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>The effectiveness of a dust cloud as a sun shield depends on how long it can persist between Earth and the Sun before non-gravitational forces disperse it. Persistence of grains at L<sub>1</sub> is low for sizes below 100 microns as a result of radiation pressure and drag from the solar wind. Micron-size grains, if released at L<sub>1</sub>, drift away within in a week or so. The persistence time increases with particle mass, as well as the degree to which a grain forward scatters light. For example, micron-size glass that forward scatters feels less radiation pressure than a comparably sized absorber like aluminum or coal dust.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>A strategy to increase persistence of grains at L<sub>1</sub> is to launch them from a platform there at modest speeds (∼10 m/s) to oppose the affect of radiation pressure and solar wind (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g006">Fig 6</xref>). This method can increase the cumulative attenuation by a factor of two as compared to a dust cloud that is placed at L<sub>1</sub>.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Persistence of smaller grains between Earth and the Sun is enhanced when their orbits are L<sub>1</sub>-like, corotating with Earth, but further from Earth than true L<sub>1</sub>. At these locations, Earth can shepherd these particles because non-gravitational forces effectively weaken the gravitational influence of the Sun. While L<sub>1</sub>-like orbits may be found for a range of grain types, the ones that are closest to the true L<sub>1</sub> are most effective at providing sun shade. A drawback of this strategy for creating a sun shield is that even a small dispersion in grain size (∼1%) can negatively affect persistence.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>The most promising new strategy is to launch lunar grains from the Moon toward L<sub>1</sub>. Judiciously chosen trajectories allow streams of grains to shade Earth for up to a week. Because of the availability of optimal-size dust in the lunar regolith, solar energy on the lunar surface, and low escape velocity compared with Earth, this approach may be the most effective for climate-change mitigation of the strategies considered here.</p>
</list-item>
</list>
<p>Variations on the choice of materials, launch method, and orbit types may lead to strategies with advantages over the ones considered here. For example, if designer glass grains were manufactured from raw materials on the lunar surface, they may be delivered to an L<sub>1</sub>-like orbit more efficiently, or tuned to have mass and scattering properties that enable them to follow Earth-Sun-intercept orbits for longer periods of time than raw lunar dust.</p>
<p>In addition to the <italic>n</italic>-body simulations for estimating persistence and attenuation, we performed extended integrations to confirmed that dust from clouds ejected from the moon or launched between Earth and the Sun do not cross paths with Earth. Once dust is released, its only impact is to shade Earth. It will not otherwise interact with our planet again.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec015" sec-type="conclusions">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>In the scenarios described here, large quantities of dust on orbits between Earth and the Sun can reduce the amount of sunlight received on our planet. Unlike Earth-based strategies, climate-change mitigation with this approach does not have long-term impacts on Earth or its atmosphere. Roughly 10<sup>10</sup> kg of material annually is needed for Earth-climate impact, depending on the dust properties and how the cloud is deployed. Sources of dust include Earth, the Moon [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref018">18</xref>], or possibly a deflected asteroid [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref015">15</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref016">16</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref019">19</xref>]. Because dust grains between Earth and the Sun tend to drift out of alignment, they must be replenished. The lack of control of a dust cloud also may limit its effectiveness as a solar shield. Simulations with controllable sunshades show that a non-uniform shading of Earth may be required to mitigate climate change over the planet as a whole [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref017">17</xref>]. However, the persistence of dust clouds can be short, allowing for seasonal control of the shading level.</p>
<p>After considering a variety of dust types and deployment strategies, we settle on one scenario as most promising for Earth-climate impact: Lunar dust can be mined and launched on ballistic trajectories that cross near the Earth-Sun line of sight. We have identified orbits that allow dust grains to provide shade for days, almost as long as for dust deployed near L<sub>1</sub>, the Earth-Sun Lagrange point. Advantages of this concept include a ready supply of lunar dust, as well as a low kinetic energy cost as compared to an Earth launch. Individual dust grains on these trajectories rapidly drift out of alignment, clearing the Earth-Moon system with no impact on Earth’s atmosphere. There is no need to actively manipulate orbits to remove dust when sun shielding is no longer beneficial.</p>
<p>Other space-based geoengineering concepts, including satellite-swarm operations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref013">13</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pclm.0000133.ref014">14</xref>] and the space bubble platform from MIT’s Senseable City Lab, move less mass over time. We nonetheless urge consideration of a Moon launch and orbits similar to the ones identified here. This strategy requires an order of magnitude less energy than Earth launches. Once Moon-based launch facilities are established, large amounts of dust could be uploaded quickly and continuously, factors that could be essential if humans do not correct course on climate change.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec016" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supporting information</title>
<supplementary-material id="pclm.0000133.s001" mimetype="application/pdf" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.s001" xlink:type="simple">
<label>S1 Table</label>
<caption>
<title>Initial conditions for simulations of orbits at L<sub>1</sub> and Moon launches.</title>
<p>Data the Sun and the planets listed are from the NASA JPL Horizons ephemirides server for April 20, 2022 (JD 2459699.500800758). The “L<sub>1</sub>” row corresponds to the simulation in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g002">Fig 2</xref> for an object at L<sub>1</sub> (gravity only, no radiation pressure or forces from the solar wind). The “lunar dust” row contains data corresponding to the trajectory in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g008">Fig 8</xref>, a launch of 0.2 <italic>μ</italic>m dust from the Moon on an Earth-Sun-intercept orbit. For all <italic>n</italic>-body integrations, we use the masses of the Sun and the planets provided by Horizons, adopting a Newton constant of 6.67403×10<sup>−11</sup> N ⋅ m<sup>2</sup>/kg<sup>2</sup>. Source code for performing these integrations (as well as other calculations) is available at <monospace>https://github.com/benjbromley/Dust-as-a-solar-shield</monospace>.</p>
<p>(PDF)</p>
</caption>
</supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material id="pclm.0000133.s002" mimetype="image/gif" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.s002" xlink:type="simple">
<label>S1 Animation</label>
<caption>
<title>A simulation of dust launched from a platform orbiting at L<sub>1</sub>.</title>
<p>The animation shows the paths of dust ejected at 10 m/s in a stream with a dispersion of 0.1 m/s, directed at an angle <italic>θ</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> = 65° relative to the Earth’s direction of travel. The number in the lower right is the time in years since the start of the simulation. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="pclm.0000133.g006">Fig 6</xref> is a snapshot from this sequence.</p>
<p>(GIF)</p>
</caption>
</supplementary-material>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<ack>
<p>We are grateful for helpful discussions with M. Geller. Guidance and encouragement from I., R., and M. Bromley-Dulfano, S. Limon, Z. Y. Kang, SDB and PRB were also appreciated. The comments from several reviewers significantly improved the presentation. S. Khan acknowledges support from the University of Utah through the Undergraduate Research Opportunity Program.</p>
</ack>
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<sub-article article-type="aggregated-review-documents" id="pclm.0000133.r001" specific-use="decision-letter">
<front-stub>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133.r001</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Decision Letter 0</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Añel</surname>
<given-names>Juan A.</given-names>
</name>
<role>Academic Editor</role>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<permissions>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Juan A. Añel</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
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<body>
<p>
<named-content content-type="letter-date">17 Oct 2022</named-content>
</p>
<p>PCLM-D-22-00121</p>
<p>Dust as a solar shield</p>
<p>PLOS Climate</p>
<p>Dear Dr. Bromley,</p>
<p>Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Climate. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS Climate’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.</p>
<p>Please submit your revised manuscript by Nov 12 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at <email xlink:type="simple">climate@plos.org</email>. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.editorialmanager.com/pclm/" xlink:type="simple">https://www.editorialmanager.com/pclm/</ext-link> and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.</p>
<p>Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:</p>
<p><list list-type="bullet">
<list-item><p>A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.</p></list-item>
</list></p>
<p>Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.</p>
<p>We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.</p>
<p>Kind regards,</p>
<p>Juan A. Añel</p>
<p>Academic Editor</p>
<p>PLOS Climate</p>
<p>Journal Requirements:</p>
<p>1. Please amend your detailed Financial Disclosure statement. This is published with the article. It must therefore be completed in full sentences and contain the exact wording you wish to be published.</p>
<p>a. Please clarify all sources of funding (financial or material support) for your study. List the grants (with grant number) or organizations (with url) that supported your study, including funding received from your institution. </p>
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<p>c. State what role the funders took in the study. If the funders had no role in your study, please state: “The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.”</p>
<p>d. If any authors received a salary from any of your funders, please state which authors and which funders.</p>
<p>2. We ask that a manuscript source file is provided at Revision. Please upload your manuscript file as a .doc, .docx, .rtf or .tex.</p>
<p>3. In the online submission form, you indicated that your data will be submitted to a repository upon acceptance.  We strongly recommend all authors deposit their data before acceptance, as the process can be lengthy and hold up publication timelines. Please note that, though access restrictions are acceptable now, your entire data will need to be made freely accessible if your manuscript is accepted for publication. This policy applies to all data except where public deposition would breach compliance with the protocol approved by your research ethics board. If you are unable to adhere to our open data policy, please kindly revise your statement to explain your reasoning and we will seek the editor's input on an exemption. Please be assured that, once you have provided your new statement, the assessment of your exemption will not hold up the peer review process.</p>
<p>Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.</p>
<p>Additional Editor Comments (if provided):</p>
<p>[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]</p>
<p>Reviewers' comments:</p>
<p>Reviewer's Responses to Questions</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> --><bold>Comments to the Author</bold></p>
<p>1. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Climate’s <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/climate/s/criteria-for-publication" xlink:type="simple">publication criteria</ext-link>? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: N/A</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: I don't know</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?</p>
<p>The <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/climate/s/data-availability" xlink:type="simple">PLOS Data policy</ext-link> requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?</p>
<p>PLOS Climate does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->5. Review Comments to the Author</p>
<p>Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Review of ‘Dust as a solar shield’ PCLM-D-22-00121</p>
<p>This paper analyzes a form of ‘astro-engineering’ as a possible means to reduce anthropogenic global warming. Specifically, it studies the composition, attenuation efficiency, and persistence of dust screens located at the L1 unstable equilibrium point between the Sun and the Earth for reducing the solar insolation. Although several other papers have considered this and related dust screen ideas, this is the most thorough analysis to date, especially as regards the scattering/attenuation efficiency of dust grains of different composition and shape. How to launch such grains from the Moon, which is much more cost effective than launching from Earth, is also briefly considered. Thus, the paper presents a number of new results in this area, and it is generally well-organized and well-written. Subject to a few minor corrections I think it is worthy and ready for publication. My detailed suggestions for revision follow.</p>
<p>1. I would suggest not using terms like ‘last-resort’ or ‘desperate’ to describe the space dust scenarios. I think terms like ‘not well-considered’ or ‘novel’ might be better. The more negative terms apply more to ideas like evacuating a remnant of humanity to the Moon or Mars before cataclysmic Earth warming. The dust-screen idea could actually be a cost effective short term mitigation, depending on how much damage it could prevent. It also has the advantage of cleaning itself up when not fed new dust, unlike many Earth-bound mitigations.</p>
<p>2. You might want to include the following reference along with references 11-13, since some of the latter are based on it, and it shows that dust screens have been considered for some time. 2007JBIS...60...82S</p>
<p>The Feasibility of Shading the Greenhouse with Dust Clouds at the Stable Lunar Lagrange Points</p>
<p>3. Bottom of page 9, ‘… physics of §.’ What section does this refer to?</p>
<p>4. At line 289: change ‘en’ to ‘an’</p>
<p>5. At the end of the ‘Particle Scattering’ section (or later) it might be worth summarizing that over a wide range of grain types and shapes the attenuation doesn’t vary by much more of an order of magnitude. This is probably far less than the cost to process the more exotic particle types on the Earth or Moon. Also the particle size spectrum is a far more important variable.</p>
<p>6. Plans for lunar mining do not anticipate launching processed material with rockets. Rather, mass drivers are envisioned to launch thousands of tons of mined material off the lunar surface. An array of thousands of such mass drivers could probably produce and maintain the L1 dust screen. To emphasize that dust screens are not wholly beyond the range of our technology, a little online research of this technology, and a mention in the last section might be worthwhile. There is also the possibility of transporting a small asteroid to L1 and using its material. Either pathway might be feasible in a few decades, and desirable if the global temperature is increasing above several degrees C.</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: The paper presents the theoretical background and factors influencing the performance of the L1 dust cloud in a very thorough way and expands on the understanding of the factors influencing how the L1 dust cloud will work.</p>
<p>Although the analysis of the behaviour of the L1 dust cloud released at that point is good, I find that a better focus for the paper would have been on orbits originating from the Lunar surface as this would have extended the L1 dust cloud science more than focussing on the release around the L1 point itself.</p>
<p>I would strongly recommend that there is a more direct comparison of the mass required to achieve the 6 attenuation days for the different materials and launch positions i.e. a table listing the mass for each as well as the masses from the reference papers for other space-based solar radiation methods.</p>
<p>A few other comments;</p>
<p>- particularly for the lunar dust, is there a known size distribution of particles to naturally occurring on the lunar surface? If so, a comparison between this and the optimal particle size would be useful as a guage of the engineering effort needed to mill the particles to the optimal size</p>
<p>- Line 193: a comparison is made to the mass of a sunshield with 10nm thickness. Most space-based geoengineering papers with solid sunshields rely on advanced manufacturing technologies to achieve reasonable masses. As another comparison, current thermal control foils used on spacecraft have an aluminium thickness of 100nm and then only when deposited on a supporting material. These foils are between 9-11g/m²</p>
<p>- Lines 194-196 do not read very well as if part of the sentence is missing, ". reports substantially less mass (about 7 million kilograms) is required for a thin film of silicon nitride with an engineered, non-uniform thickness [9]."</p>
<p>- Fig. 3 and 4: Here it would be useful to add in the first line of the caption that the simulations include the non-gravitational forces</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: General Impression:</p>
<p>The authors have used interesting approaches to discuss the potential of a dust cloud as an alternative space-based climate mitigation action, with the initial analyses offering the basic conclusions for dust cloud design based on lunar materials. In this regard, further analyses are needed specifically from a logistical perspective to discuss the orbital mechanical challenges in more detail. Specific review points are provided below:</p>
<p>Feedback:</p>
<p>+ At first glance, the estimated radii for the dust cloud seem comparable to other sunshade concepts.</p>
<p>+ Inclusion of first non-gravitational forces in addition to gravitational influences makes sense</p>
<p>+ Comparison of grain types over the attenuation-time makes sense</p>
<p>+ Clear conclusions in the discussion</p>
<p>- Minor: Currently still contains a few grammar and spelling mistakes</p>
<p>- Minor: Figures are not well resolved, especially Figure 1</p>
<p>- Major: Comparative calculations of the energy balance for lunar dust cloud should not appear in the conclusion, but in more detail in the main part.</p>
<p>Suggestions:</p>
<p>-&gt; The input data for the generation of the charts should also be made available so that the results can be better understood</p>
<p>-&gt; Supplementary table overview of mass requirements for various materials for Figure 1 useful, similar to that already listed in Table 1</p>
<p>-&gt; List validation data for numerical experiments in the appendix.</p>
<p>-&gt; A more detailed description of the lunar jet streams for the dust clouds would be useful, the corresponding calculation should be included</p>
<p>-&gt; Continuous resupply requirement for dust cloud due to drift should be finally mentioned, since this is ultimately a non-controllable system.</p>
<p>-&gt; In connection with the lack of controllability, the difficulty of a targeted distribution of the dust cloud to optimize the climatic effects should be mentioned, since simulations with controllable sunshade concepts have already shown that seasonal and regional variations require a non-uniform shading of Earth</p>
<p>Grammer / Spelling:</p>
<p>- In general “Earth” and “Sun” are capitalized without using the article, please double-check the overall paper</p>
<p>- Formatting in justified text</p>
<p>- Line 2-3: include some key references for critical tipping points</p>
<p>- Line 6: it is important to consider</p>
<p>- Line 9: sunlight reaching Earth</p>
<p>- Line 20: between Earth and Sun</p>
<p>- Line 41: on achievable orbits</p>
<p>- Equation (4): Was is meant by the symbol in front of (K)? function of (K)?</p>
<p>- Line 107: between Earth and Sun</p>
<p>- Line 108: solar radiance at Earth</p>
<p>- Line 120: solar photons</p>
<p>- Line 177: unit missing</p>
<p>- Line 194: Capitalization</p>
<p>- Line 289: at a</p>
<p>- Line 300: symbol?</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/climate/s/editorial-and-peer-review-process#loc-peer-review-history" xlink:type="simple">what does this mean?</ext-link>). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.</p>
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<p>Reviewer #1: <bold>Yes: </bold>Curtis Struck</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: No</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: No</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]</p>
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<article-title>Decision Letter 1</article-title>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Añel</surname>
<given-names>Juan A.</given-names>
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<role>Academic Editor</role>
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<named-content content-type="letter-date">1 Dec 2022</named-content>
</p>
<p>PCLM-D-22-00121R1</p>
<p>Dust as a solar shield</p>
<p>PLOS Climate</p>
<p>Dear Dr. Bromley,</p>
<p>Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Climate. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but it needs some minor changes before publication. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.</p>
<p>Specifically, I would like that you address the following issues:</p>
<p>- In lines 3-5, you state that "changes...have tipped the balance toward the increased entrapment of solar energy and general rise in the global mean temperature". This language is strong, and I would say that excessive. The papers you cite deal with tipping points to the climate system, but it is not true that we can consider that our climate has reached any of the ones usually considered. Current levels of atmospheric CO2 have not gone to such points; others, well-known as the 1,5 degrees Celsius limit, the collapse of oceanic circulations, etc., have not happened. Therefore, I recommend you here state that climate change is acknowledged to be a severe problem. The previous sentence about being an existential threat is already clear enough.</p>
<p>- Next, in lines 5-6, you justify the need for research based on the lack of substantial action to avoid CO2 emissions. This is not a correct reasoning. First, even though greenhouse emissions and atmospheric concentrations continue raising, it is not true that substantial action has not been taken to avoid them. The word "substantial" is debatable, hard to quantify and lacks evidence supporting it. Moreover, you do not need this sentence to support the need for research, as preparedness or the aim to explore should be enough. Therefore, please remove the sentence.</p>
<p>- In the conclusions (and someway in the Introduction), you use the argument of non-nocive practices for the Earth's atmosphere to support non-Earth-based climate intervention techniques. Also, you mention that drift makes the dust in the L1 point need to be replenished. One issue of concern could be that if dust is deployed in the L1 point and eventually needs to be removed, it is not possible. In the meantime, additional intervention on the Earth's atmosphere could be possible, making, in this case, more desirable to intervene on Earth's atmosphere. I think it would be good if you address in a sentence or two if eventually all the dust particles are expected to be removed by drifting and the problem that could represent having to remove them.</p>
<p>Please submit your revised manuscript by Dec 31 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at <email xlink:type="simple">climate@plos.org</email>. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.editorialmanager.com/pclm/" xlink:type="simple">https://www.editorialmanager.com/pclm/</ext-link> and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.</p>
<p>Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:</p>
<p><list list-type="bullet"> <list-item><p>A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.</p></list-item> <list-item><p>A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.</p></list-item> <list-item><p>An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.</p></list-item></list></p>
<p>Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.</p>
<p>We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.</p>
<p>Kind regards,</p>
<p>Juan A. Añel</p>
<p>Academic Editor</p>
<p>PLOS Climate</p>
<p>Journal Requirements:</p>
<p>Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.</p>
<p>Additional Editor Comments (if provided):</p>
<p>[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]</p>
<p>Reviewers' comments:</p>
<p>Reviewer's Responses to Questions</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> --><bold>Comments to the Author</bold></p>
<p>1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: All comments have been addressed</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->2. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Climate’s <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/climate/s/criteria-for-publication" xlink:type="simple">publication criteria</ext-link>? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: (No Response)</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: (No Response)</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: I don't know</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?</p>
<p>The <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/climate/s/data-availability" xlink:type="simple">PLOS Data policy</ext-link> requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: (No Response)</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?</p>
<p>PLOS Climate does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: (No Response)</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->6. Review Comments to the Author</p>
<p>Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: (No Response)</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: Thanks for incorporating the comments. Great work!</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/climate/s/editorial-and-peer-review-process#loc-peer-review-history" xlink:type="simple">what does this mean?</ext-link>). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.</p>
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<p>Reviewer #1: <bold>Yes: </bold>Curtis Struck</p>
<p>Reviewer #3: No</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]</p>
<p>While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/" xlink:type="simple">https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/</ext-link>. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at <email xlink:type="simple">figures@plos.org</email>. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.</p>
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<title-group>
<article-title>Decision Letter 2</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Añel</surname>
<given-names>Juan A.</given-names>
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<role>Academic Editor</role>
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<p>
<named-content content-type="letter-date">12 Dec 2022</named-content>
</p>
<p>Dust as a solar shield</p>
<p>PCLM-D-22-00121R2</p>
<p>Dear Professor Bromley,</p>
<p>We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'Dust as a solar shield' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Climate.</p>
<p>Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you will need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow-up email from a member of our team. </p>
<p>Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated.</p>
<p>IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript.</p>
<p>If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact <email xlink:type="simple">climate@plos.org</email>.</p>
<p>Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Climate.</p>
<p>Best regards,</p>
<p>Juan A. Añel</p>
<p>Academic Editor</p>
<p>PLOS Climate</p>
<p>***********************************************************</p>
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