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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">PLOS Glob Public Health</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">plos</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="pmc">plosgph</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>PLOS Global Public Health</journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2767-3375</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Public Library of Science</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>San Francisco, CA USA</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">PGPH-D-22-01887</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Research Article</subject>
</subj-group>
<subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Diagnostic medicine</subject><subj-group><subject>Virus testing</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Critical care and emergency medicine</subject><subj-group><subject>Triage</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Chemistry</subject><subj-group><subject>Chemical elements</subject><subj-group><subject>Oxygen</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Medical conditions</subject><subj-group><subject>Infectious diseases</subject><subj-group><subject>Viral diseases</subject><subj-group><subject>COVID 19</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Research and analysis methods</subject><subj-group><subject>Mathematical and statistical techniques</subject><subj-group><subject>Statistical methods</subject><subj-group><subject>Forecasting</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Physical sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Mathematics</subject><subj-group><subject>Statistics</subject><subj-group><subject>Statistical methods</subject><subj-group><subject>Forecasting</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Research and analysis methods</subject><subj-group><subject>Immunologic techniques</subject><subj-group><subject>Immunoassays</subject><subj-group><subject>Enzyme-linked immunoassays</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Biology and life sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Anatomy</subject><subj-group><subject>Body fluids</subject><subj-group><subject>Blood</subject><subj-group><subject>Blood plasma</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Anatomy</subject><subj-group><subject>Body fluids</subject><subj-group><subject>Blood</subject><subj-group><subject>Blood plasma</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Biology and life sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Physiology</subject><subj-group><subject>Body fluids</subject><subj-group><subject>Blood</subject><subj-group><subject>Blood plasma</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Medical conditions</subject><subj-group><subject>Infectious diseases</subject><subj-group><subject>Respiratory infections</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Medical conditions</subject><subj-group><subject>Respiratory disorders</subject><subj-group><subject>Respiratory infections</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v3">
<subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Pulmonology</subject><subj-group><subject>Respiratory disorders</subject><subj-group><subject>Respiratory infections</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Point-of-care prognostication in moderate Covid-19: Analytical validation and prognostic accuracy of a soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) rapid test</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Rapid suPAR-guided prognostication in Covid-19</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" xlink:type="simple">
<contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1313-7922</contrib-id>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Chandna</surname>
<given-names>Arjun</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/data-curation/">Data curation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/funding-acquisition/">Funding acquisition</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/project-administration/">Project administration</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/visualization/">Visualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-original-draft/">Writing – original draft</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff001"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff002"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor001">*</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Mahajan</surname>
<given-names>Raman</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/data-curation/">Data curation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/project-administration/">Project administration</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff003"><sup>3</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Gautam</surname>
<given-names>Priyanka</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/data-curation/">Data curation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff004"><sup>4</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Mwandigha</surname>
<given-names>Lazaro</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/data-curation/">Data curation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/visualization/">Visualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff005"><sup>5</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Dittrich</surname>
<given-names>Sabine</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/funding-acquisition/">Funding acquisition</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff002"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff006"><sup>6</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff007"><sup>7</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1277-8170</contrib-id>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Kumar</surname>
<given-names>Vikash</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff003"><sup>3</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Osborn</surname>
<given-names>Jennifer</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/funding-acquisition/">Funding acquisition</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff006"><sup>6</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Kumar</surname>
<given-names>Pragya</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff008"><sup>8</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Koshiaris</surname>
<given-names>Constantinos</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff005"><sup>5</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Varghese</surname>
<given-names>George M.</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff004"><sup>4</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Lubell</surname>
<given-names>Yoel</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/funding-acquisition/">Funding acquisition</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff002"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff009"><sup>9</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Burza</surname>
<given-names>Sakib</given-names>
</name>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/funding-acquisition/">Funding acquisition</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/project-administration/">Project administration</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
<role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing – review &amp; editing</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff003"><sup>3</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff010"><sup>10</sup></xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff001"><label>1</label> <addr-line>Cambodia Oxford Medical Research Unit, Angkor Hospital for Children, Siem Reap, Cambodia</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff002"><label>2</label> <addr-line>Centre for Tropical Medicine &amp; Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff003"><label>3</label> <addr-line>Médecins Sans Frontières, New Delhi, India</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff004"><label>4</label> <addr-line>Department of Infectious Diseases, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff005"><label>5</label> <addr-line>Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff006"><label>6</label> <addr-line>Foundation for Innovative Diagnostics, Geneva, Switzerland</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff007"><label>7</label> <addr-line>Deggendorf Institut of Technology, European-Campus Rottal Inn, Pfarrkirchen, Germany</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff008"><label>8</label> <addr-line>Department of Community &amp; Family Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Patna, India</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff009"><label>9</label> <addr-line>Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand</addr-line></aff>
<aff id="aff010"><label>10</label> <addr-line>Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene &amp; Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="editor" xlink:type="simple">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Kuppalli</surname>
<given-names>Krutika</given-names>
</name>
<role>Editor</role>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="edit1"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="edit1"><addr-line>World Health Organization, SWITZERLAND</addr-line></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="conflict" id="coi001">
<p>I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: Sabine Dittrich and Jennifer Osborn declare that they are employed by FIND. All other authors have declared that no competing interests exist.</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="cor001">* E-mail: <email xlink:type="simple">arjun@tropmedres.ac</email>, <email xlink:type="simple">arjunchandna@gmail.com</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>8</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>3</volume>
<issue>8</issue>
<elocation-id>e0001538</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>1</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>20</day>
<month>7</month>
<year>2023</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Chandna et al</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538"/>
<abstract>
<p>The soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) has been proposed as a biomarker for risk stratification of patients presenting with acute infections. However, most studies evaluating suPAR have used platform-based assays, the accuracy of which may differ from point-of-care tests capable of informing timely triage in settings without established laboratory capacity. Using samples and data collected during a prospective cohort study of 425 patients presenting with moderate Covid-19 to two hospitals in India, we evaluated the analytical performance and prognostic accuracy of a commercially-available rapid diagnostic test (RDT) for suPAR, using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) as the reference standard. Our hypothesis was that the suPAR RDT might be useful for triage of patients presenting with moderate Covid-19 irrespective of its analytical performance when compared with the reference test. Although agreement between the two tests was limited (bias = -2.46 ng/mL [95% CI = -2.65 to -2.27 ng/mL]), prognostic accuracy to predict supplemental oxygen requirement was comparable, whether suPAR was used alone (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] of RDT = 0.73 [95% CI = 0.68 to 0.79] vs. AUC of ELISA = 0.70 [95% CI = 0.63 to 0.76]; p = 0.12) or as part of a published multivariable prediction model (AUC of RDT-based model = 0.74 [95% CI = 0.66 to 0.83] vs. AUC of ELISA-based model = 0.72 [95% CI = 0.64 to 0.81]; p = 0.78). Lack of agreement between the RDT and ELISA in our cohort warrants further investigation and highlights the importance of assessing candidate point-of-care tests to ensure management algorithms reflect the assay that will ultimately be used to inform patient care. Availability of a quantitative point-of-care test for suPAR opens the door to suPAR-guided risk stratification of patients with Covid-19 and other acute infections in settings with limited laboratory capacity.</p>
</abstract>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="award001">
<funding-source>
<institution-wrap>
<institution-id institution-id-type="funder-id">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100008196</institution-id>
<institution>Médecins Sans Frontières</institution>
</institution-wrap>
</funding-source>
</award-group>
<award-group id="award002">
<funding-source>
<institution-wrap>
<institution-id institution-id-type="funder-id">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010269</institution-id>
<institution>Wellcome Trust</institution>
</institution-wrap>
</funding-source>
<award-id>215604/Z/19/Z</award-id>
<principal-award-recipient>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Lubell</surname>
<given-names>Yoel</given-names>
</name>
</principal-award-recipient>
</award-group>
<award-group id="award003">
<funding-source>
<institution>FIND</institution>
</funding-source>
</award-group>
<award-group id="award004">
<funding-source>
<institution-wrap>
<institution-id institution-id-type="funder-id">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010269</institution-id>
<institution>Wellcome Trust</institution>
</institution-wrap>
</funding-source>
<award-id>220211</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="award005">
<funding-source>
<institution>Wellcome Trust/Royal Society Sir Henry Dale Fellowship</institution>
</funding-source>
<award-id>211182/Z/18/Z</award-id>
<principal-award-recipient>
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Koshiaris</surname>
<given-names>Constantinos</given-names>
</name>
</principal-award-recipient>
</award-group>
<funding-statement>The PRIORITISE (Prognostication of Oxygen Requirement in Patients with Non-severe SARS-CoV-2 Infection) study was funded by Médecins Sans Frontières, India. The Wellcome Trust provides core funding to the Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit in Bangkok [220211 to MORU; 215604/Z/19/Z to YL], which supported the design, monitoring and analysis of the study. The suPAR RDTs were procured by FIND with funding from the Australian Government. CK is supported by a Wellcome Trust/Royal Society Sir Henry Dale Fellowship [211182/Z/18/Z]. Médecins Sans Frontières maintained a sponsor/investigator role for the study. All other funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright license to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission.</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="3"/>
<table-count count="1"/>
<page-count count="9"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-group>
<custom-meta id="data-availability">
<meta-name>Data Availability</meta-name>
<meta-value>De-identified, individual participant data from this study will be available to researchers whose proposed purpose of use is approved by the data access committees at Médecins Sans Frontières and the Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit. Inquiries or requests for the data may be sent to <email xlink:type="simple">data.sharing@london.msf.org</email> and <email xlink:type="simple">datasharing@tropmedres.ac</email>. Researchers interested in accessing biobanked samples should contact the corresponding authors who will coordinate with the respective institutions.</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
<custom-meta id="outbreaks">
<meta-name>Outbreaks</meta-name>
<meta-value>COVID-19</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="sec001" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>In busy clinical settings the window for effective triage is short. Biochemical biomarkers included in risk stratification tools require rapid turnaround times. However, studies developing triage tools commonly use laboratory-based platforms to quantify biomarker concentrations, the accuracy of which may differ from point-of-care tests required to inform timely management of individual patients in settings with limited laboratory capacity [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref001">1</xref>].</p>
<p>The soluble version of the urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is upregulated during the host response to infection [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref002">2</xref>]. Measurements of suPAR have been shown to be useful in the diagnosis and prognosis of a wide range of infections and infectious syndromes [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref003">3</xref>–<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref008">8</xref>], including SARS-CoV-2 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref009">9</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref010">10</xref>]. Recently, our group and others developed clinical prediction models incorporating suPAR for both community- and hospital-based triage of patients with Covid-19 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref011">11</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref012">12</xref>]. However, although suPAR is measurable using a commercially-available rapid test, these studies quantified suPAR using laboratory-based immunoassays.</p>
<p>We performed an analytical validation of a rapid diagnostic test (RDT) for suPAR using samples from a multi-centre prospective cohort study conducted in India [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref011">11</xref>]. We evaluated the prognostic accuracy of the RDT by comparing the predictive performance of suPAR quantified using the RDT and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Our hypothesis was that the suPAR RDT might be useful for triage of patients presenting with moderate Covid-19 irrespective of its analytical performance when compared with the reference test.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec002" sec-type="materials|methods">
<title>Methods</title>
<sec id="sec003">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>Ethical approval was given by the All India Institute for Medical Sciences Patna Ethics Committee; Christian Medical College Ethics Committee; Oxford Tropical Research Ethics Committee; and Médecins Sans Frontières Ethical Review Board. All participants provided informed written consent prior to recruitment.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec004">
<title>Study population and clinical data collection</title>
<p>This is a secondary analysis of data collected during a prospective cohort study conducted at two hospitals in India between October 2020 and July 2021. The study design and setting have been described previously [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref011">11</xref>]. Briefly, consenting consecutive adults (aged ≥ 18 years) presenting with clinically-suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection of moderate severity (defined as peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO<sub>2</sub>) ≥ 94% and respiratory rate (RR) ≤ 30 breaths per minute (BPM) in the context of systemic symptoms) were recruited. Clinical parameters were measured at enrolment. Admitted participants were followed-up each day until death, discharge or day 14, whichever occurred first. For those not admitted or discharged prior to day 14, follow-up was conducted via telephone on days 7 and 14, with participants who reported worsening and/or persistent symptoms recalled to have their SpO<sub>2</sub> and RR measured. The primary outcome for the original study was development of a supplemental oxygen requirement within 14 days of enrolment, defined as any of: SpO<sub>2</sub> &lt; 94%; RR &gt; 30 BPM; SpO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub> &lt; 400; or death.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec005">
<title>Laboratory procedures</title>
<p>Venous blood samples were collected in ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA) tubes at enrolment, centrifuged within four hours, and plasma aliquots stored at ≤ -20°C. Frozen plasma aliquots were transported on dry ice and thawed at 2-8°C overnight prior to analysis. suPAR concentrations were quantified using the suPARnostic ELISA and the suPARnostic Quick Triage test (Virogates, Denmark). The suPARnostic ELISA is a simplified double monoclonal antibody sandwich assay which requires 15μL of plasma. Samples were run in duplicate and mean concentration reported. The Quick Triage test is a RDT based on lateral flow principles. It requires 10μL of plasma and has a dynamic range of 2–15 ng/mL. Paired with an automated lateral flow optical reader it has a time-to-result of 20 minutes. Both tests were performed as per the manufacturer’s instructions using the same aliquot of thawed plasma [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref013">13</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref014">14</xref>], and the operators who performed both tests were blinded to the results of the other test.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec006">
<title>Primary and secondary outcomes</title>
<p>The primary outcome was the prognostic accuracy of the RDT (index test) assessed by comparing the predictive performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; AUC) of the RDT to the ELISA (reference standard). The secondary outcome was the analytical performance of the RDT, assessed by quantifying the agreement between the RDT and ELISA.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec007">
<title>Statistical methods</title>
<p>Logistic regression was used to quantify the AUC and compare (DeLong method) the prognostic accuracy of the RDT and ELISA (R package: <italic>pROC</italic>) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref015">15</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref016">16</xref>]. The analytical performance of the RDT was evaluated using a Bland-Altman plot to estimate the bias and limits of agreement between the RDT and the ELISA (R package: <italic>blandr</italic>) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref017">17</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref018">18</xref>]. Assessment of agreement was limited to samples within the dynamic range (2–15 ng/mL) of the RDT. A sensitivity analysis was conducted where samples quantified on the ELISA but outside the dynamic range of the RDT were set to the limits of quantification of the RDT. All analyses were performed in R, versions 4.0.2 and 4.0.3 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref019">19</xref>].</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec008">
<title>Sample size</title>
<p>For the purposes of an analytical validation, the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute (CLSI) recommend a minimum sample size of 100 to evaluate agreement between a candidate and reference test [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref020">20</xref>]. To maximise precision of the results, we used all available samples from the original study (n = 425).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec009">
<title>Study reporting</title>
<p>This investigator-initiated study was prospectively registered (ClinicalTrials.gov; NCT04441372), with protocol and statistical analysis plan uploaded to the Open Science Framework platform (DOI: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/DXQ43" xlink:type="simple">10.17605/OSF.IO/DXQ43</ext-link>). The study is reported in accordance with the Standards for Reporting Diagnostic accuracy studies (STARD) guidelines (Table A in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pgph.0001538.s001">S1 Text</xref>) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref021">21</xref>].</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec010" sec-type="results">
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="sec011">
<title>Clinical outcomes</title>
<p>Between 22 October 2020 and 3 July 2021, 426 participants were recruited of whom 425 had suPAR concentrations quantified using the RDT and ELISA. Three participants were lost-to-follow-up before day 14, leaving 422 participants available for the primary analysis (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="pgph.0001538.g001">Fig 1</xref>). Eighty-nine participants developed a supplemental oxygen requirement (89/422; 21.1%).</p>
<fig id="pgph.0001538.g001" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.g001</object-id>
<label>Fig 1</label>
<caption>
<title>Eligibility of samples for inclusion in analytical validation and prognostic accuracy evaluation.</title>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.g001" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="sec012">
<title>Limited agreement between the reference ELISA and candidate RDT for quantification of suPAR</title>
<p>Forty-four samples returned values outside the dynamic range of the RDT on either the ELISA and/or RDT, leaving 381 paired samples for assessment of agreement. Median suPAR concentration was higher when quantified by the RDT (<xref ref-type="table" rid="pgph.0001538.t001">Table 1</xref>; 6.6 vs. 4.2 ng/mL; p &lt; 0.001). The two tests were correlated (Pearson’s correlation = 0.66 [95% CI = 0.60–0.71]; p &lt; 0.001) but there was limited agreement, with the RDT returning higher values than the ELISA on average. A Bland-Altman plot indicated a bias of -2.46 ng/mL (95% CI = -2.65 to -2.27 ng/mL) with upper and lower limits of agreement of 1.21 ng/mL (95% CI = 0.89 to 1.54 ng/mL) and -6.13 ng/mL (95% CI = -6.45 to -5.81 ng/mL) respectively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="pgph.0001538.g002">Fig 2</xref>). A sensitivity analysis in which samples outside the dynamic range of the RDT were set to the limits of detection of the RDT returned similar results (Fig A in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pgph.0001538.s001">S1 Text</xref>). Given the disagreement with the reference test we verified the reproducibility of the RDT results by repeating the measurements of all participants at one site (n = 125) using another batch of RDTs (Fig B in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pgph.0001538.s001">S1 Text</xref>).</p>
<fig id="pgph.0001538.g002" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.g002</object-id>
<label>Fig 2</label>
<caption>
<title>Relationship between the suPAR RDT and ELISA.</title>
<p><underline>Left panel</underline>: Bland-Altman plot indicating agreement between the two tests. Difference between RDT and ELISA measurement in ng/mL plotted on y-axis. Mean of the RDT and ELISA measurement in ng/mL plotted on x-axis. Limits of agreement defined by the concentrations within which 95% of the data fall. Blue line indicates bias, green line indicates upper limit of agreement, red line indicates lower limit of agreement, all with 95% confidence intervals. <underline>Right panel</underline>: Scatterplot indicating correlation between the two tests.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.g002" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="pgph.0001538.t001" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.t001</object-id>
<label>Table 1</label> <caption><title>Baseline characteristics of the cohort, stratified by progression to supplemental oxygen requirement.</title></caption>
<alternatives>
<graphic id="pgph.0001538.t001g" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.t001" xlink:type="simple"/>
<table>
<colgroup>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
<col align="left" valign="middle"/>
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="center" rowspan="2" style="background-color:#BFBFBF">Baseline characteristics</th>
<th align="center" rowspan="2" style="background-color:#D9D9D9">Overall<break/>(n = 378)*</th>
<th align="center" colspan="3" style="background-color:#D9D9D9">Developed oxygen requirement</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">No<break/>(n = 297)</th>
<th align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">Yes<break/>(n = 81)</th>
<th align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">p-value<sup>†</sup></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" colspan="5" style="background-color:#D9D9D9"><bold>Demographic characteristics</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Age (years)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#D9D9D9">54.0<break/>(42.0, 63.0)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">54.0<break/>(42.0, 62.0)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">54.0<break/>(42.0, 67.0)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">0.70</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Male sex</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#D9D9D9">261 / 378<break/>(69%)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">199 / 333<break/>(67%)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">62 / 81<break/>(77%)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">0.10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" colspan="5" style="background-color:#D9D9D9"><bold>suPAR assay</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">suPAR ELISA (ng/ml)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#D9D9D9">4.2<break/>(3.2 to 5.6)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">4.0<break/>(3.1 to 5.3)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">5.2<break/>(3.8 to 6.4)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">&lt; 0.001</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">suPAR RDT (ng/ml)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#D9D9D9">6.6<break/>(5.2 to 8.5)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">6.2<break/>(5.0 to 8.3)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">8.0<break/>(6.8 to 9.4)</td>
<td align="center" style="background-color:#F2F2F2">&lt; 0.001</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</alternatives>
</table-wrap>
<p>Median values (IQR) are reported for continuous variables. *3 participants missing information about supplemental oxygen requirement excluded from table but included in assessment of agreement. <sup>†</sup>Wilcoxon rank sum test.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec013">
<title>Prognostic accuracy is maintained when a rapid point-of-care test is used to quantify suPAR concentrations instead of a laboratory-based assay</title>
<p>Although agreement between the two tests was limited, we recognised that the RDT might still have utility providing predictive performance did not deteriorate when suPAR concentrations were quantified using the RDT rather than the ELISA. Participants who progressed to develop a supplemental oxygen requirement had higher median baseline suPAR levels, irrespective of the assay used for quantification (<xref ref-type="table" rid="pgph.0001538.t001">Table 1</xref>; RDT = 8.0 vs. 6.2 ng/mL, p &lt; 0.001; ELISA = 5.2 vs. 4.0 ng/mL, p &lt; 0.001). Prognostic accuracy of the RDT was comparable to the ELISA (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="pgph.0001538.g003">Fig 3</xref>; AUC of RDT = 0.73 [95% CI = 0.68 to 0.79] vs. AUC of ELISA = 0.70 [95% CI = 0.63 to 0.76]; p = 0.12) for discriminating participants who would progress to require supplemental oxygen. Evaluation of the prognostic accuracy of the RDT within the framework of our previously published multivariable clinical prediction model confirmed comparable predictive performance of the model whether suPAR was quantified using the RDT or the ELISA (AUC of RDT-based model = 0.74 [95% CI = 0.66 to 0.83] vs. AUC of ELISA-based model = 0.72 [95% CI = 0.64 to 0.81]; p = 0.78). The weighting (regression coefficient) for suPAR within the model differed depending on which assay was used for quantification (Text A in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="pgph.0001538.s001">S1 Text</xref>).</p>
<fig id="pgph.0001538.g003" position="float">
<object-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.g003</object-id>
<label>Fig 3</label>
<caption>
<title>Prognostic accuracy of suPAR quantified using a point-of-care RDT or laboratory-based ELISA.</title>
<p>AUC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.g003" xlink:type="simple"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec014" sec-type="conclusions">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>We demonstrate equivalent prognostic accuracy between an index RDT for suPAR and a laboratory-based ELISA to predict progression to supplemental oxygen requirement amongst patients presenting with moderate Covid-19. Comparable predictive performance of the RDT was achieved despite limited agreement with the reference test and was maintained whether suPAR was used alone or as a constituent parameter in a previously published multivariable clinical prediction model for the triage of patients with moderate Covid-19 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref011">11</xref>].</p>
<p>Our results illustrate the importance of conducting both analytical and clinical validations of candidate point-of-care tests. The limited agreement between the two suPAR tests indicates that the RDT cannot replace or be used interchangeably with the ELISA, a conclusion that is likely to remain valid for other biomarkers and assays unless strong agreement has been demonstrated. Consequently, results from studies utilising different suPAR assays should not be pooled. If the tests are adopted for routine use, cut-offs associated with particular clinical management decisions (for example, admission or discharge from the emergency department) or weightings within multivariable triage tools (prediction models) should be assay-dependent [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref011">11</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref012">12</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref022">22</xref>]. Similarly, if suPAR measurements are used to inform participant recruitment into clinical trials, it is important that eligibility criteria are tailored to the assay used for enrolment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref023">23</xref>].</p>
<p>The lack of agreement between the RDT and ELISA in our cohort is unexpected. The manufacturer reports that suPAR concentrations measured using the RDT should be within ±10% of measurements made on the ELISA, further underlining the need for context specific evaluation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref013">13</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref022">22</xref>]. The impact of different detection methods for suPAR has been demonstrated [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref024">24</xref>], however in our study both the ELISA and RDT used the same capture antibodies. Although RDT measurements were made after an additional freeze-thaw cycle, multiple studies have confirmed that suPAR concentrations are stable up to at least five repeated freeze-thaw cycles [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref025">25</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref026">26</xref>]. In our cohort, suPAR concentrations quantified using the RDT were higher than anticipated for non-severe patients attending an emergency department [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref013">13</xref>]. It is possible that an unknown factor may have interfered with the functioning of the RDT assay in this population and this merits further investigation. To our knowledge only one other study has quantified suPAR concentrations using the same RDT in India; 66.3% (126/190) of patients had suPAR concentrations &gt; 5.5 ng/mL, however average concentration was not reported [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="pgph.0001538.ref027">27</xref>]. Nevertheless, as our results demonstrate, lack of agreement between inexpensive, quick, and practical RDTs and batched, quality-controlled, laboratory-based assays, does not necessarily preclude clinical utility of an index test on the field.</p>
<p>This is the first study evaluating the analytical performance and prognostic accuracy of a RDT for suPAR, head-to-head against a reference test in resource-constrained setting. The RDTs were performed on frozen plasma by laboratory technicians, rather than on fresh plasma as suggested by the manufacturer. If the tests were to inform real-time clinical decisions, fresh plasma would be used and trained laboratory technicians may not be available, especially in contexts with limited laboratory capacity. Future research should extend our results to explore the field-based implementation of the RDT using unfrozen patient samples and evaluate reliability and usability amongst lesser-trained practitioners.</p>
<p>We demonstrate comparable prognostic accuracy of a rapid, quantitative, point-of-care test for suPAR to the reference laboratory-based ELISA that was used to develop a previously validated clinical prediction model for the triage of patients presenting with moderate Covid-19. These results are promising and should encourage further exploration of the utility of suPAR-guided risk stratification of patients presenting with Covid-19 and other acute infections in settings with limited laboratory capacity. Lack of agreement between the two tests highlights the importance of undertaking evaluations of point-of-care tests to ensure cut-offs and weightings are adjusted accordingly prior to a test being recommended for clinical use.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec015" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supporting information</title>
<supplementary-material id="pgph.0001538.s001" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document" position="float" xlink:href="info:doi/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.s001" xlink:type="simple">
<label>S1 Text</label>
<caption>
<title>Supplementary appendix.</title>
<p>Table A: STARD checklist. Fig A: Agreement between the suPAR RDT and ELISA. Fig B: Agreement between repeated RDT measurements. Text A: Prognostic accuracy of the suPAR RDT within the framework of a clinical prediction model.</p>
<p>(DOCX)</p>
</caption>
</supplementary-material>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<ack>
<p>The authors thank Emmanuel Moreau at the Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND) for his advice during the conduct of the study.</p>
</ack>
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<ref id="pgph.0001538.ref027"><label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="journal" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kumar</surname> <given-names>P</given-names></name>, <name name-style="western"><surname>Kakar</surname> <given-names>A</given-names></name>, <name name-style="western"><surname>Gogia</surname> <given-names>A</given-names></name>, <name name-style="western"><surname>Waziri</surname> <given-names>N</given-names></name>. <article-title>Evaluation of soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) quick test for triage in the emergency department.</article-title> <source>J Family Med Prim Care.</source> <year>2019</year>;<volume>8</volume>(<issue>12</issue>):<fpage>3871</fpage>–<lpage>5</lpage>. Epub 2019/12/28. <comment>doi: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc%5F116%5F19" xlink:type="simple">10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_116_19</ext-link></comment> <object-id pub-id-type="pmid">31879628</object-id>; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC6924241.</mixed-citation></ref>
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<sub-article article-type="editor-report" id="pgph.0001538.r001" specific-use="decision-letter">
<front-stub>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.r001</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Decision Letter 0</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Henao-Martínez</surname>
<given-names>Andrés F.</given-names>
</name>
<role>Academic Editor</role>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<permissions>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Andrés F. Henao-Martínez</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
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<related-object document-id="10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538" document-id-type="doi" document-type="article" id="rel-obj001" link-type="peer-reviewed-article"/>
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<p>
<named-content content-type="letter-date">13 Dec 2022</named-content>
</p>
<p><!-- <div> --> <!-- <div> --> <!-- <div> -->PGPH-D-22-01887<!-- </div> --> <!-- <div> -->Point-of-care prognostication in moderate Covid-19: analytical validation and diagnostic accuracy of a soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) rapid test<!-- </div> --> <!-- <div> -->PLOS Global Public Health</p>
<p>Dear Dr. Chandna,</p>
<p>Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Global Public Health. As with all papers, your manuscript was reviewed by members of the editorial board. Based on our assessment, we have decided that the work does not meet our criteria for publication and will therefore be rejected.</p>
<p>Specifically, the Authors describe a point of care validation analysis for soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) compared to ELISA for diagnosing moderate COVID-19. The abstract lacks key information, and it is not clear what the aim or hypothesis was. Also, there was no control group included. No gold standard is mentioned</p>
<p>We are sorry that we cannot be more positive on this occasion. We very much appreciate your wish to present your work in one of PLOS's Open Access publications. Thank you for your support, and we hope that you will consider PLOS Global Public Health for other submissions in the future.</p>
<p>Yours sincerely,</p>
<p>Andrés F. Henao-Martínez, M.D.</p>
<p>Academic Editor</p>
<p>PLOS Global Public Health</p>
<p>Additional Editor Comments (if provided):</p>
<p>[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]</p>
<p>Reviewers' comments:</p>
<p>[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]<!-- </div> --><!-- </div> --><!-- </div> --></p>
</body>
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<sub-article article-type="author-comment" id="pgph.0001538.r002">
<front-stub>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.r002</article-id>
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<article-title>Author response to Decision Letter 0</article-title>
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<p>
<named-content content-type="author-response-date">5 Jan 2023</named-content>
</p>
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<label>Attachment</label>
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<p>Submitted filename: <named-content content-type="submitted-filename">PRIORITISE_PGPH_suPAR_RDT_rebuttal.docx</named-content></p>
</caption>
</supplementary-material>
</body>
</sub-article>
<sub-article article-type="aggregated-review-documents" id="pgph.0001538.r003" specific-use="decision-letter">
<front-stub>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pgph.0001538.r003</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Decision Letter 1</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name name-style="western">
<surname>Kuppalli</surname>
<given-names>Krutika</given-names>
</name>
<role>Section Editor</role>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<permissions>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Krutika Kuppalli</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
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<meta-value>1</meta-value>
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<body>
<p>
<named-content content-type="letter-date">20 Jul 2023</named-content>
</p>
<p>Point-of-care prognostication in moderate Covid-19: analytical validation and prognostic accuracy of a soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) rapid test</p>
<p>PGPH-D-22-01887R1</p>
<p>Dear Dr. Chandna,</p>
<p>We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'Point-of-care prognostication in moderate Covid-19: analytical validation and prognostic accuracy of a soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) rapid test' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Global Public Health.</p>
<p>Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you will need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow up email. A member of our team will be in touch with a set of requests. Please kindly also address the minor comment made by reviewer #1 regarding the limitation of the study. </p>
<p>Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated.</p>
<p>IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript.</p>
<p>If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact <email xlink:type="simple">globalpubhealth@plos.org</email>.</p>
<p>Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Global Public Health.</p>
<p>Best regards,</p>
<p>Krutika Kuppalli, MD</p>
<p>Section Editor</p>
<p>PLOS Global Public Health</p>
<p>***********************************************************</p>
<p>Reviewer Comments (if any, and for reference):</p>
<p>Reviewer's Responses to Questions</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> --><bold>Comments to the Author</bold></p>
<p>1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->2. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Global Public Health’s <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/globalpublichealth/s/criteria-for-publication" xlink:type="simple">publication criteria</ext-link>? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?</p>
<p>The <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/globalpublichealth/s/data-availability" xlink:type="simple">PLOS Data policy</ext-link> requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?</p>
<p>PLOS Global Public Health does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: Yes</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: Yes</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->6. Review Comments to the Author</p>
<p>Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: The manuscript is clear it is presentation and discussion of data. The findings are important and relevant. The revision has been done thoroughly. One minor suggestion could be to add a sentence that a limitation of the study is that the RDT measurements were conducted on frozen plasma and not on fresh plasma as suggested by the manufactor. (The reference to freeze/thaw stability was conducted on ELISA, not on RDT).</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: (No Response)</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><!-- <font color="black"> -->7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://journals.plos.org/globalpublichealth/s/editorial-and-peer-review-process#loc-peer-review-history" xlink:type="simple">what does this mean?</ext-link>). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.</p>
<p><bold>Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review?</bold> If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.</p>
<p>For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.plos.org/privacy-policy" xlink:type="simple">Privacy Policy</ext-link>.<!-- </font> --></p>
<p>Reviewer #1: No</p>
<p>Reviewer #2: <bold>Yes: </bold>David Amoah Afrifah</p>
<p>**********</p>
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