Moneyline CLV Performance by Time

The below shows how the recommendations (using the 3rd best odds) made at different points of time compare to the closing lines (closing line value or CLV).

The earlier you act on our recommendations, the better the returns. This is because our model identifies value before the betting market catches up — by kickoff, most of that edge may have been priced away.

However, depending on your bank, liquidity may become an issue if betting too early. Pick the slot that best allows you value for your bank size.

Grade 1h3h6h9h 12h18h24h
NOTE: Why do the C grades look the best at some times? The datasets here are still relatively small, especially at the C Grade (for example there are only 40 Cs at close, compared to 700 Bs). A few good results are skewing their results.

The takeaway should not be the absolute number at a specific time point, but the direction and consistency of the pattern.