Season Chances show the probability of each team reaching key playoff stages, based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations run by our model. Each simulation plays out the remaining games using the teams' current predictions.

Bars represent the distribution of likely outcomes. Hover over a bar segment to highlight that outcome across all teams.

The table shows each team's probability of reaching key playoff milestones — Division title, Wild Card, Playoffs, ALDS/NLDS, ALCS/NLCS, World Series, and Championship — based on Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season.

Click any column header to sort. Green values indicate higher probabilities.

Current standings with each team's win-loss record. The Chances bar shows each team's probability of reaching each playoff stage, from Wild Card through to World Series winner.

Click any column header to sort by that statistic.