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He will need a narrative in which he declares himself a victor -&nbsp;with his base believing it. Absent the ability to convince his base that he has won, the benefit of ending the war may not outweigh the cost of continuing it.&nbsp;And as soon as his base starts turning against the war, his ability to convince them of his victory starts to wane.&nbsp;</span></em><em style=\"background-color: initial; letter-spacing: 0px;\"><span class=\"theme-text-color-3-4\">Mindful of the fact that negotiating this end may take an estimated 7-10 days at best, which is different from the 24 hours or so it took to negotiate the unconditional ceasefire in June, Tehran may overplay its hand and only agree to enter these negotiations at a point at which the length of the negotiations may exceed the time Trump has left to convincingly declare victory and provide himself a face saving exit. Getting the timing of this right will be very difficult for both the U.S. and Iran. 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