East Texas Winter Forecast 2018: What to Expect
As the leaves begin to fall and the air grows crisp, East Texans are turning their attention to the upcoming winter season. The 2018 winter forecast for the region promises a mix of familiar and unexpected weather patterns, with a touch of uncertainty thrown in for good measure. Let's dive into what the experts are predicting for the coming months.
El Niño's Fading Influence
The 2017-2018 winter season was significantly influenced by the El Niño weather pattern, which brought unseasonably warm temperatures and a lack of significant snowfall to East Texas. As we move into the 2018-2019 winter season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts that El Niño's influence will wane, opening the door for more typical winter weather.
La Niña's Potential Impact
While El Niño is fading, there's a chance that its counterpart, La Niña, could make an appearance. La Niña is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, which can lead to cooler and wetter conditions in the southern United States. However, as of now, the likelihood of a full-blown La Niña event is low, with NOAA predicting a 20-30% chance of it developing this winter.
East Texas Winter Forecast: The Details
So, what can East Texans expect this winter? According to the Climate Prediction Center, the region has an equal chance of being warmer, cooler, or near-average temperatures compared to the historical norm. However, precipitation is expected to be above average, which could mean more rain and snow for the area.
Here's a breakdown of what the winter could look like, month by month:
| Month | Temperature | Precipitation |
|---|---|---|
| December | Near average | Above average |
| January | Cooler than average | Above average |
| February | Near average | Above average |
It's worth noting that while these are the most likely outcomes, weather patterns can be unpredictable. East Texans should be prepared for a range of winter weather conditions.
Snowfall: A Wild Card
One of the biggest questions on East Texans' minds is always, "Will it snow?" The answer, as always, is that it's possible. While the region typically sees minimal snowfall, the combination of cooler temperatures and above-average precipitation could lead to a few snow events this winter. However, it's important to remember that snowfall is always a wildcard in East Texas, and even the most accurate forecasts can be foiled by a sudden change in weather.
Preparing for Winter in East Texas
Regardless of what the winter brings, it's always a good idea to be prepared. This means ensuring your home is well-insulated, your heating system is in good working order, and you have an emergency supply kit ready to go. It's also a good idea to have an emergency car kit, just in case you get stuck in a winter storm while out and about.
East Texans should also stay informed about the latest weather forecasts and warnings. The National Weather Service's office in Shreveport provides regular updates and can be a valuable resource for staying safe this winter.
In Summary
The 2018 winter forecast for East Texas is a mix of familiar and unexpected weather patterns, with a touch of uncertainty thrown in for good measure. While the region can expect a range of winter weather conditions, being prepared and staying informed can help East Texans make the most of whatever the season brings.
