On Wednesday, 12 November 2025, South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir Mayardit made sweeping changes to his government, dismissing several senior officials, including Vice President and Chairperson of the Economic Cluster, Dr Benjamin Bol Mel Kuol. Unlike others affected by the purge, Bol Mel has long been regarded—by both domestic and international observers—as Kiir’s closest ally and even a potential successor.
His removal has sent shockwaves across the political landscape, demolishing widespread assumptions that Kiir was grooming him to take over. While Kiir has a history of sidelining powerful allies, the abrupt dismissal of Bol Mel has stirred a new wave of uncertainty about the president’s eventual exit from politics.
A future filled with uncertainty
For now, the succession debate remains murky. It is nearly impossible to predict whether President Kiir intends to one day hand over power—whether through elections or a political arrangement—to anyone outside his inner family circle. Kiir remains a master of political ambiguity, often compared to a “chameleon” whose shifting strategies are difficult even for his closest associates to decipher.
As a trained security and intelligence officer, Kiir’s decision appears calculated. Removing Bol Mel—rumoured to be leading the succession shortlist—was a powerful reminder to political elites and ordinary citizens alike that Kiir remains firmly in control. His willingness to dismiss even his most trusted confidants reinforces the perception that his exit from active politics is neither imminent nor predictable.
Although Kiir has not provided a public explanation for Bol Mel’s dismissal, the move may be linked to Bol Mel’s growing ambition and waning popularity. His reputation has been marred by allegations of incompetence and systemic corruption, further exacerbated by U.S. sanctions imposed on him in 2017 over embezzlement and misuse of public resources.
Impact of purging longtime allies
Kiir’s growing list of purged allies—from Gen. Paul Malong to Gen. Akol Koor, Dr. James Wani Igga, and now Bol Mel—carries far-reaching implications for South Sudan’s politics. One major consequence is a deepening trust deficit within his own circle. The pattern of sudden dismissals means that any new appointee, including the next Vice President or Economic Cluster head, is likely to view their position as temporary and precarious.
This atmosphere of uncertainty may complicate governance, making policy implementation more difficult and breeding suspicion within the leadership. It also increases the likelihood of internal power struggles, further destabilizing Kiir’s political camp. While Kiir is expected to appoint a loyalist to replace Bol Mel, the ever-present risk of another purge may weaken cohesion within the administration.
As observers, we can only watch closely—and cautiously—as signs emerge of a possible return to political friction within Kiir’s inner circle.
The road ahead
If South Sudan is to experience a peaceful and credible leadership transition, the only sustainable path is through democratic processes. Periodic, free, and fair elections must be embraced as the foundation for future political stability.
For this reason, the public conversation should shift away from speculating on whom Kiir might endorse as his successor outside an electoral process. Succession should not be determined by appointment or inheritance but through the will of the people. As the political situation evolves, prioritizing democratic norms and a peaceful transfer of power remains essential for safeguarding South Sudan’s future.
Conclusion
President Kiir’s latest purge makes it clear that he has no immediate plans to relinquish power—whether to a political ally, a family member, or a presumed successor. His decision to abruptly remove Bol Mel, a longtime confidant, underscores his unpredictable and strategic political style. It also signals a message to potential challengers: Kiir is prepared to eliminate any perceived threat, even within his own camp.
The lingering question is: what direction will South Sudan take under Kiir’s continued leadership?
About the author (disclaimer)
Amaju Ubur Yalamoi Ayani is a South Sudanese teacher and political commentator. He holds a Bachelor of Science (BSc) in Political Science and International Relations from the University of Juba. The views expressed in this article are solely his and do not reflect the editorial position of Sudans Post. He can be reached at amajuayani@gmail.com.
