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The Banality of Oppression, Multipolarity and the Ukraine War

8 min read.

In a way, Ukraine points to a new breed of oppression in a world in which oppression is commonplace. The Russian invasion of Ukraine dovetail with both the cultural and geopolitical aspects of oppression.

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The Banality of Oppression, Multipolarity and the Ukraine War

The war in Ukraine is challenging the world in ways that we have not seen since the second world war. The war has led to over 6 million Ukrainian refugees, increased danger of nuclear war, and growing food and energy crises. Even more, it has further shaken the principle of state sovereignty and respect for territorial boundaries rooted in the idea that no state can increase the size of its territory by conquest. Overall, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has upended the unipolar world order that emerged with the fall of communism. In his June 17, 2022 speech to the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Vladimir Putin reiterated his view that the unipolar world is not only one-sided and unstable, but it is also ending. As the people of Ukraine continue to suffer as the frontline defenders of liberal values and the principle of sovereignty in Europe, a few issues are important to consider. First, how does the invasion of Ukraine fit into the unipolar modes of oppressions? Second, what form of oppression does the Russian occupation of Ukraine breed in a multipolar world? Finally, what is the path forward for Ukraine?

The Unipolar Word and the Banality of Oppression

The unipolar world emerged with the fall the Berlin Wall (November 9, 1989) and the Soviet Union (December 25, 1991) which were seen as the triumph of western liberalism as famously captured in Francis Fukuyama’s idea of “the end of history.” In its orthodox form, the unipolar world is the emergency of the United States as the sole-super seeking what Immanuel Wallerstein called hegemony and the domination of western military, political and economic institutions under what Mark Duffield dubbed as global liberal governance. In a speech to military cadets in November 2007, Vladimir Putin stated that “There are those who would like to build a unipolar world, who would themselves like to rule all of humanity,” which was a veiled reference to the United States. But the unipolar world goes a bit deeper than state hegemony and western transnational institutions when viewed from the lens of oppression. Arguably, unipolarity has its domestic variants in the forms of cultural dominations, such as hyper-liberalism and white supremacy. The key debate about the unipolar world centers on the freedom-oppression continuum. Freedom, both in terms of political liberty and economic and social choices, has been the hallmark of US policies during the Cold War and after the fall of the communism – all systems that are not based on liberal democracy and free market economy are seen as oppressive. But that same issue of liberty exists domestically within the US and beyond. In a way, hyper-neoliberalism and white supremacy, which have been exerted globally and domestically, are themselves modes of oppression in a system in which power is in the hands of a dominant ideology and a majority racial group. Globally, unipolarity is exerted through aggressive economic and political neoliberalism from Western powers in Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia. Domestically, unipolarity is manifested in racial and social injustice.

The tragedy befalling the people of Ukraine can be viewed from both the state-sovereignty and cultural angles of oppression. Both forms of oppression have plenty of recent examples. Indeed, when George W. Bush criticized the Russian invasion of Ukraine he mistakenly characterized it as “the decision of one man to launch a wholly unjustified and brutal invasion of Iraq” before correcting himself by saying “I mean, of Ukraine. …. Iraq, too — anyway.” Bush’s Freudian slip affirms what many, including Kofi Annan, have stated that the US invasion of Iraq was unjustified. By the time the US withdrew from Iraq, the people had suffered as much as they did under the oppression of Saddam Hussain. On the cultural angle of oppression, the United States continues to suffer from gross racial and social injustice against black and brown people and other cultural minorities. Perhaps the issue of racial profiling and police brutality is the most vivid manifestation of racial oppression, as evident in the killing of George Floyd. Of course, various other forms of cultural and social oppressions have been going around the world – the Uyghurs in China, Palestinians in the Middle East, and refugees and irregular migrants in Latin America and Africa. All of these, and other cases, point to the banality of oppression in the unipolar setting. Wars and severe sanctions against countries that deny the neoliberal principles of the unipolar world are commonplace, just as racial and social injustices are very pervasive. Interestingly, the Russian invasion of Ukraine brings forth both the state-aggression and the cultural angles of oppression. Russian aggression is fused with claims of cultural liberation of Russian people in Ukraine. In the processes, Russia is demonizing Ukraine as a fascist state, which Ukraine vehemently denies.

Unipolarity has been challenged globally and domestically. As it turned out, the end of history was not so much a lasting triumph of western liberalism. Three forms of resistance are worth noting: a) state-resistance and geopolitical realignments, b) terrorism warfare, and c) racial and social justice resistance. At the geopolitical level, China and Russia have gone from embracing liberalism and working with the West to positioning themselves as formidable counterweight to the West. China has done this through unprecedented economic expansion and significant military modernization, while Russia has beefed up its military and strive to foster economic resilience and greater collaboration with China. Both countries have managed to chip into traditional regions of western domination, especially in Africa, and lay the foundation of a multipolar world. Violent nonstate actors have also challenged the United States and its allies through terrorism warfare as most evident in the tragic 9/11 terrorist attack on the United States and the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria. At the cultural and social level, neoliberalism and white supremacy have been challenged by movements such as Occupy Wall Street and Black Lives Matter. All of these point to multipolarity, globally and domestically. In the United States, this multipolarity is evident in the wider ideological divide between right-wing conservatives and progressives, as well as the racial divide pitting white supremacy against growing black and brown activism. Multipolarity does not end oppression, but it does transform oppression and the resistance to oppression. Ukraine brings another troubling variant of oppression under multipolarity.

Ukraine: A New Breed of Oppression in a Multipolar World

In a way, Ukraine points to a new breed of oppression in a world in which oppression is commonplace. The Russian invasion of Ukraine dovetail with both the cultural and geopolitical aspects of oppression. Four issues have been advanced to explain the Russian invasion of Ukraine: a) Russian authoritarianism, b) Russian nationalism and dreams for Greater Russia, c) NATO expansion toward Russian boarders, and d) Russian minorities in Russia. While Russia cites NATO expansion and the rights of Russian minorities in Ukraine as existential threats to Russia that justify the invasion of Ukraine, those reasons have been dismissed by Ukraine and its western allies as unjustified aggression rooted in Putin’s authoritarian hold on Russia and Russian ambition to recreate a Greater Russia akin to the Soviet Union.

The invasion of Ukraine is an act of aggression, irrespective of the reasons that explain the invasion. More importantly, it is happening in a multipolar context in which US and western power is being contested, neoliberalism distrusted, and White supremacy challenged. Unfortunately, all three of these elements are negatively impacting Ukraine in a way that is breeding a diabolical form of oppression rooted in a total war of destruction. Russia is challenging both liberalism and the military power of the West as well as Europeanism. At the same time, non-Western countries are seeing the Ukraine war as an European war; and the western efforts to cast the war in more global liberal and humanitarian terms is viewed as Eurocentric and projection of White supremacy. The net result seems to be a proxy war in which western powers are supporting Ukraine to fight Russian aggression while themselves avoiding direct war with Russia, which is dangling its nuclear weapons.

Ukraine is facing a situation of a prolonged war of destruction. While Ukraine is a victim of state-driven aggression, it also risks being seen as an part of an effort to promote liberalism and Eurocentrism in a way that the suffering of Ukrainians has been placed above that of other victims of wars and oppression around the world, including non-White people in Ukraine. Western restrain in its support of Ukraine and lukewarm sympathy for Ukraine from non-Western countries simply throws Ukraine into the long lists of oppressions that have become commonplace. As we learn from other cases, the banality of oppression breeds stalemates that prolong suffering.

A Path Forward for Ukraine

The ideal outcome to the Ukraine war is for Russia to withdraw and respect Ukraine’s sovereignty, preferably through popular protests and political and ideological realignment within Russia or a military defeat at the hands of Ukraine. Such an outcome seems unlikely. Because of its nuclear weapons, a Russian loss of the war may simply be in the form of a stalemate in which Russia fails to topple the government of Ukraine or advance its territorial gains, but it keeps causing trouble in Ukraine by holding on to some Ukrainian territory and periodically bombing Ukrainian cities. It will be difficult for Ukraine and its allies to teach Russia a lesson as long Russia shows credible willingness to use nuclear weapons and continues playing the nationalist card at home while maintaining good relations with China. What is extremely worrying is that while a Russian victory is becoming increasingly unlikely, a Russian defeat still seems remote – hence a potential stalemate that perpetuates oppression.

Yet, as bad as it is, this potential stalemate may provide opportunities to resolve the conflict, albeit in a less than ideal way that will affirm multipolarity. Generally, there has been two kinds of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Russia and Ukraine had held direct talks to negotiate an end to war, but these have not been successful largely because Russia wanted Ukraine to surrender, while Ukraine is not willing to give up territory especially anywhere beyond the Crimean peninsula. The other negotiations are on humanitarian issues, which other countries are very interested in, such as the export of Ukrainian grains, the state of Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, and exchange of prisoners of war. These limited humanitarian negotiations have resulted in some shipment of Ukrainian grain and freeing of some prisoners. But what other options for a durable solution exist within the context of a stalemate?

A good start will be to go to the prewar grievances expressed by Russia, which was limited to NATO expansion. During his prewar mediation effort, Emmanuel Macron suggested that the West must “respect” Russia as a way to end of the conflict. Macron seemed to suggest that “respect” means understanding Russian security concerns. As he noted, “The geopolitical goal of Russia today is clearly not [to seize] Ukraine, but to clarify the rules of cohabitation with NATO and the EU.” Macron further stated that “it is legitimate that Russia pose the question of its own security.” Henry Kissinger has also suggested a similar idea of respect, but one in which Russia may keep a hold on some Ukrainian territory – a suggestion which has been strongly criticized, especially by Ukraine. This issue of respect, centered on Ukraine’s initial willingness to forego NATO membership, may be a place to go back – now that both sides have shown their strength and landed in a stalemate.

Respect, be it in inter-state relations or relations among members of different racial groups, is central to understanding peace in a multipolar setting. Struggles against state hegemony or racial domination are struggles for respect. Of course, respect is two-sided and should be reciprocal. A critical issue here is whether Western respect for Russia will fulfill Ukrainian need for respect from Russia. In his suggestions, Kissinger noted that “Ukraine should have the right to choose freely its economic and political associations, including with Europe” – with the exception of joining NATO. Critical security considerations are pushing NATO boundaries further to Russia as Finland and Sweden are on path to joining NATO. Can a pause to that processes and a future in which Ukraine can be like Finland provide sufficient respect for Russia, Ukraine, and the West? Such a solution will reinforce multipolarity in a kind of new Cold War peace. Perhaps, a broader lesson from struggles against oppression, notably racial oppression, is the “cup half full or half empty” kind of feeling. This is a lesson that Ukraine may draw upon as it too resists oppression. Oppression thrives in conflicts and stalemates. However, stalemate within peace is significantly different from stalemate within conflict.

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Abu Bakarr Bah is a Presidential Research Professor at the Northern Illinois University.

Politics

GMOs Are Not the Only Answer

In a country where agricultural production is dominated by smallholders, the decision to allow genetically modified crops and animal feeds into Kenya as a means of combatting perennial hunger ignores other safer and more accessible alternatives such as Conservation Agriculture.

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GMOs Are Not the Only Answer

Newly elected President William Ruto has, to use a much abused expression, hit the ground running. I am, however, not certain that he is running in the right direction. On 3 October 2022, during the second meeting of his recently (and unconstitutionally) constituted cabinet, Ruto announced that his government had authorized the cultivation and importation of genetically modified crops and animal feeds, sweeping aside the grave concerns raised by Kenyans and lifting a ten-year ban with the stroke of a pen.

The decision was made at a time when Kenya is facing the worst drought in four decades that has left over four million people facing starvation. According to President Ruto, the adoption of GMOs is the solution to the recurring cycles of drought and famine that Kenyans have been increasingly experiencing.

I shall not go into the merits and demerits of what some call Frankenfoods here. However, it seems to me that Ruto’s decision is driven solely by the political imperative to bring down the price of maize through cheap imports of GM maize following the withdrawal of the maize subsidy.

Already, back in November 2018, the Route to Food Initiative (RTFI), the Kenya Biodiversity Coalition (KBioC), the Africa Biodiversity Network (ABN) and Greenpeace Africa had issued a joint statement raising “concerns over recent disconcerting developments in the country, that [suggest] the Government has made [a] unilateral decision to adopt genetically modified crops”, and adding that “an all-inclusive nationwide discourse through public participation, which addresses whether the technology is appropriate for us, is being circumvented”.

The group also voiced their suspicion that the report of the Task Force to Review Matters Relating to Genetically Modified Foods and Food Safety that was set up by the Ministry of Health in 2013 was being withheld because it was against the adoption of GM foods. This suspicion may well be founded since, in making the announcement, State House said that the decision to lift the GMO ban was “made in accordance with the recommendation of the Task Force”, while failing to make the so-called Thairu report—which was submitted in 2014—available for public scrutiny.

The cabinet said that in reaching its decision to lift the ban it had also referred to reports of the European Food Safety Authority, among others.

The European Union’s policy on GMOs “respects the right-to-know by ensuring clear labelling and traceability of GMOs. This requires reliable methods for the detection, identification and quantification (for authorised GMO) in food, feed, and the environment”. There is zero tolerance for unapproved GMOs and stringent regulation of products originating from or containing GMOs.

A detailed risk analysis and the availability of a validated method for locating, identifying, and quantifying GMOs in food or feed are prerequisites for authorization. For any GM launch, biotech businesses that want to market their product in the EU must submit an application. A very precise way of detecting each unique GMO is included in the application dossier.

The terms of reference of the government’s GMO task force included, among others, assessing Kenya’s infrastructural capacities to monitor genetically modified products in the country; assessing the adequacy of qualified human resource capacity to monitor research, use and importation of genetically modified products into the country; and recommending approval procedures for imports of GM foods.

If we are to look only at the procedures established by the National Biosafety Authority for the importation of GM products into the country, then we may conclude that Kenya lacks the infrastructural and qualified human resource capacity to monitor their research, use and importation. In effect, an entity wishing to import a GM product into the country is merely required to provide the particulars of the supplier, the nomenclature of the GMO, proof that the GMO has been registered in the exporting country, its use in the country of origin, its intended use in Kenya, a summary risk assessment, methods and plans for safe handling, storage, transport and use, and the emergency response foreseen in the event of an accident with the GMO. The second of the two-page the application document is reserved for the applicant’s signature before a commissioner for oaths, a magistrate or a judge. Means of detection of GMOs are not mentioned.

It would seem then that Ruto’s government has fully devolved the responsibility for Kenya’s biosafety and biosecurity to the authorities of foreign nations. This is very frightening when you consider, for example, that the European Union Regulation EC304/2003 allows EU companies to produce and export to other countries pesticides that are banned or restricted in the EU. This double standard is the reason why active ingredients which have been withdrawn in the EU find their way to Kenya, poisoning our bodies and our environment, and destroying our biodiversity.

Maize is not the only ugali

The lifting of the ban on GMOs may have sounded the death knell for Kenyan small-scale maize growers; GM maize is to be found on the international markets at prices that defy all competition, which will now prove to be a boon for well-connected maize-importing cartels.

But maize, a staple in the majority of Kenyan households, is a relatively recent arrival on our national menu, becoming a major staple during the First World War when disease in millet led to famine.

As Noel Vietmeyer observes in the foreword to the first volume of Lost Crops of Africa,

“Lacking the interest and support of the authorities (most of them non-African colonial authorities, missionaries, and agricultural researchers), the local grains could not keep pace with the up-to-the-minute foreign cereals, which were made especially convenient to consumers by the use of mills and processing. The old grains languished and remained principally as the foods of the poor and the rural areas. Eventually, they took on a stigma of being second-rate. Myths arose—that the local grains were not as nutritious, not as high yielding, not as flavorful, nor as easy to handle. As a result, the native grains were driven into internal exile. In their place, maize, a grain from across the Atlantic, became the main food from Senegal to South Africa.”

But with initiatives such as the Busia County Biodiversity Policy, which recognises the role that biodiversity can play in addressing food insecurity, the tide is turning and Kenyans are rediscovering and embracing the culinary habits of our forebears. You would think then that the GMO decision will not, in the main, affect the choices we make in the foods we consume. That those of us a tad squeamish about eating foods that have been genetically interfered with can opt out.

Were it that simple.

Many Kenyans are unaware that the Seed and Plant Varieties Act Cap 326 of 2012 prohibits farmers from sharing, exchanging or selling uncertified and unregistered seeds. Yet, to mitigate against the effects of perennial droughts and the escalating costs of hybrid seeds, community seed banks have been conserving indigenous seeds—that are demonstrably more climate-resilient—for sale during the planting season, in contravention of the law and at the risk of a one million shilling fine, or two years’ imprisonment, or both. Criminalising a system through which small-scale farmers acquire 90 per cent of their planting material does not augur well for Kenya’s food security, or for our biodiversity. Small-scale farmers are fighting back, however, with a group from Machakos recently going to court to challenge the legislation. It remains to be seen who between David and Goliath will prevail.

But maize, a staple in the majority of Kenyan households, is a relatively recent arrival on our national menu, becoming a major staple during the First World War when disease in millet led to famine.

What is clear is that Kenya’s David, while remaining impoverished over the decades since independence, is the mainstay of the country’s agriculture in terms of productivity. The Economic Survey (2021) of the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics reports that,

“The share of marketed agricultural output for small farms increased marginally to 73.3 per cent in 2020. This is a reflection of the continued dominance of the smallholder sector in the marketing of agricultural produce during the year under review. The value of sales through small farms increased by 9.4 per cent from KSh 341.4 billion in 2019 to KSh 373.6 billion in 2020. Similarly, the value of sales by large farms increased by 8.9 per cent from KSh 125.0 billion in 2019 to KSh 136.1 billion in 2020.”

The survey defines large farms as those above 20 hectares.

The small-holder has consistently outperformed the large-scale farmer despite government policies that have since the 70s viewed smallholders as without agency beyond adopting technologies that are presented as capable of transforming agriculture and building livelihoods. The adoption of GMOs is likely to be yet another of these technologies that, together with unjust seed legislation, will increase rather than decrease Kenya’s food insecurity.

President Ruto worries about food insecurity but fails to consider the very ready solution available to his administration and recommended in the Agricultural Policy (2021) of the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, Fisheries and Cooperatives, namely, conservation agriculture.

The Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO – also quoted in Ruto’s decision to lift the GMO ban) recommends conservation agriculture as it is a sustainable system of production that conserves and enhances natural resources; enhances biodiversity; assists in carbon sequestration; is less labour and fertilizer intensive; improves the health of soils; and increases yields over time.

Criminalising a system through which small-scale farmers acquire 90 per cent of their planting material does not augur well for Kenya’s food security, or for our biodiversity.

The very promising results obtained among the small-scale farmers that have adopted the system following training under the FAO beginning in 2015 show that the government would do well to promote conservation agriculture among smallholders as a means of mitigating both against food insecurity and the effects of climate change, rather than hastily reaching for GM technologies that the country is ill-equipped to safely handle.

But clearly, the president is not on the same page as his Ministry of Agriculture and so, like others, I can only conclude that Ruto’s lifting of the GMO ban is for the benefit of the seed multinationals and their clients, the large-scale farmers who have taken over most of the productive land to grow cash crops for export, leaving small-scale farmers to exploit marginal lands for the production of food crops for local consumption. And for the benefit of maize-importing cartels.

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Politics

Mary Kanyaman Ekai: Gender and Livestock Rustling in Northern Kenya

Mary Kanyaman Ekai was a peace ambassador from Turkana County who lost her life in the course of saving her family’s livestock in Turkana East on September 24th 2022. Kanyaman’s case illustrates the complexity of “cattle rustling” at Kenya’s northern frontier from a gender perspective. 

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Mary Kanyaman Ekai: Gender and Livestock Rustling in Northern Kenya

Following the recent rise of incidents at the border of Baringo, Turkana and West Pokot County, it seems timely to learn more about a strong female figure, a woman who dedicated her life to the fight against the frequent outbreaks of violence. By providing a short portrait of Kanyaman, we are able to illustrate the role of women in conflict resolution. Grounded in the authors’ ethnographic research conducted in both West Pokot and Turkana County, the article is based not only on an in-depth interview conducted in 2020 with Kanyaman, but also on the broad expertise of social scientists working in the respective areas.

It was pure luck that led to the meeting with Mary Kanyaman Ekai in December 2020. Mary was visiting Kapenguria on some errands for the Turkana County Government and I (Elizabeth Ndunda), on my part, was seeking information from influential elders from the pastoralist communities in northern Kenya. The tall lady in the elegant dress was introduced to me as mama wa maji na amani, Swahili for mother of water and peace. I immediately recognized Mary the moment she entered the room. I knew her from various news feeds and meetings with officials where she prominently acted as peace ambassador and environmental and gender activist.

On this December 2020, Mary was on a sad mission. The previous day, bandits had attacked the village of Lopii in Turkana East and killed three young men, taking off with a considerable number of livestock. Although these kinds of violent outbreaks often involve brutal, reckless murder and criminal marketing chains, they are commonly labelled “cattle rustling” or “cattle raiding”, with the act of stealing cattle portrayed as culturally intrinsic to pastoralist societies. Yet, the shifting nature of the raids, which are driven by economic logic and modern forms of violence, should more accurately be referred to as “predatory raiding”, according to international security advisor Dylan Henrickson.

Mary and her entourage were in Kapenguria to seek the County Commissioner’s help in following up the bandits and ultimately punishing them before more attacks occurred. This has been a continuous cycle between the government and the communities of north-western Kenya.

Later the same day, while we were enjoying a cold soda in the unforgiving heat of West Pokot, Mary remarked that, for this specific meeting, Kalya Hotel was very aptly named, as kalya means peace in the Pokot language. The objective of our encounter was to discuss the weaknesses and challenges of the current conflict resolution mechanisms in northern Kenya. These mechanisms usually include disarmament measures, peace barazas (Swahili for meeting), peace caravans and arbitration measures. Disarmament involves the military and police, a common state response to regain control after a period of violence. Peace caravans are the latest, trendy mechanism for peacebuilding. Professionals from each county organize themselves and move from county to sub-county gathering villagers together and speaking of the need for peace. The colourful events usually include a lot of entertainment in order to attract many participants. However, Mary’s biggest concern was that women were simply left out and not considered able to play an important role in conflict resolution. She is far from being alone in holding this opinion. In a 1991 book titled Women and Things: Pokot Motherhood as Political Destiny, anthropologist Barbara Bianco states that the majority of peace projects target the men. Women are mainly included in programmes to fulfil a funding requirement, to attract donors. And yet they play a significant role.

So, who better than Mary Kanyaman Ekai, with her deep insights into these mechanisms, to be the perfect source of information on the subject? Born in 1979 in Turkana East, Mary learned the sad reality of raids early in her childhood, when she had to flee her home after the painful loss of family members to livestock rustling. Despite this stroke of fate, the girl’s athletic skills came to the fore in school as did her driven ambition to acquire an education. A Bachelor of Microbiology and Biotechnology and one of the few female Turkana professionals, Mary was predestined to become a public servant in the Ministry of Health. However, she didn’t rest on her laurels but pioneered the Golden Valley Cooperative Society, whose objective was to enhance resilience through improved and commercialized livestock production and to champion peaceful coexistence between neighbouring communities in the border areas of Baringo, Samburu and Turkana. Mary believed that peaceful coexistence among the pastoralist communities could be achieved if only pastoralists had alternative livelihoods and women had a greater voice.

Women are mainly included in programmes to fulfil a funding requirement, to attract donors.

Although Mary immediately agreed to our meeting, it took us some time before we were able to settle down; Mary was constantly interrupted by many people claiming her attention. I could understand this as I too was drawn to her strong voice filled with emotion as she spoke of the deaths that cattle rustling has caused in the region. Her phone rang constantly during the interview, a reminder of the busy life that she led and the tight schedule that she kept.

“Many people know my brother Ekuru. Even in the villages, people call me Ekuru’s sister. I’m not sure they would listen to me if I was not related to him.” Her brother, the lawyer Dr Ekuru Aukot, vied for the presidency on a Third Party Alliance ticket in 2017. Laughing, Mary says, “Here in this pastoralist culture, it is difficult for a woman to have her own identity, she is either a daughter or a wife of someone. I sit in the County Government yet even there I’m known as Ekuru’s sister.” With some resignation in her voice, she goes on to explain that it is this mentality and culture that has led to the role of women in conflict resolution being ignored by many peace projects and NGOs. Women from pastoralist communities are often considered victims, not active participants in the conflict. She asked me, “Isn’t it common to assume that women have little role to play in conflicts since northern Kenya is a heavily patriarchal society with archaic beliefs and supposedly harming norms including early marriage and FGM?”  Mary declared this point of view faulty.

“Many people know my brother Ekuru. Even in the villages, people call me Ekuru’s sister. I’m not sure they would listen to me if I was not related to him.”

Yes, women are victims of conflict and often face the highest security threats during periods of violence, being exposed to both physical and sexual violence. However, Mary was convinced that women play a significant role in motivating men to engage in livestock rustling. She explained that for a young man and woman to lead an accomplished life, they must marry and have children. While undergoing initiation is one important step in the journey from childhood to adulthood, young men are also required to show their courage, and acquire wealth which in turn attracts the “best wife”. This wealth is in the form of livestock—cattle, camels, goats, sheep and donkeys—that can be grown through careful breeding of animals, or simply through raiding. Dowry is often daunting and young men have little to show, and the list of fathers (every paternal uncle) who expect some livestock in exchange for their precious daughter is long. Their wives-to-be, in turn, encourage and motivate them to acquire the needed wealth and prestige as rapidly as possible.

This view is shared by officials of the county government’s Peace and Reconciliation Department. They state that while women understand the disadvantages and the calamities brought on by raiding, they are quick to defend and praise the sons and husbands who participate. This seems understandable, as men are expected to avenge death and destruction by recovering stolen livestock. Of course this creates a cycle of violence as each group feels the need for revenge. However, to simply assume pastoralists do so to impress their women would be to ignore the lack of security and justice in northern Kenya. The responsibility to recover stolen animals that are crucial for their livelihood is often left with the victims. Therefore, the women are not defending or praising violence per se, but are trying to ensure security, justice, and continuity.

Although “beaded” girls and mothers challenge their men to participate in raids through mocking and praise songs, they also want their husbands to come back alive. Lal is a ceremony during which returning warriors are anointed with oil held in a lal, a cattle horn of high symbolic value that has been blessed by spiritual elders. The honouring and cleansing of warriors with the lal after raids is done exclusively by women. It is the women’s duty to spread the oil in the lal on the warriors after a battle or to carry it to the areas where the warriors congregate. Mary encouraged women to stop the cycle of violence by refusing to protect the men during livestock rustling.

So, is it all women’s fault?

It is a little more complex than that. Professor Kennedy Mkutu, an expert in the field of violence and guns in northern Kenya, argues that pastoralists are under threat from inadequate policing, pressure on land and common resources, and the proliferation of small arms. The number of small arms circulating within the region is concerning; spears and arrows have been replaced with more deadly weapons and it is now popular for a father to gift his son a gun during initiation. Another factor that adds to the complexity is the devastating long-term absence of rain. The pressure on communally owned and unregistered land is not only high due to the changing climate but is further exacerbated by outside interests in resources such as crude oil, gold or sand. And as if all this was not enough, politicians exploit the precarious situation.

“Now”, I ask Mary, “with declining resources—over which women have little to no control—and the increase in small arms, and as disarmament measures fail and guns become more common, what can women do?” I was surprised to see Mary laugh heartily, “You look at women as weak and lacking control. Women are the instigators of violence between the Pokot and Turkana. The men fight because of us. I may not have control over the use and ownership of cattle, animals or property but I do not want to be married to a poor man, worst of all a coward. Until their [women’s] participation is seen and understood, we cannot adequately address conflict.” For instance, women have begun playing a vital role in armament. With disarmament measures being stepped-up, and with constant checks and increased patrols along the borders, women transport small arms and ammunition from Somalia and Uganda, hiding them in their clothes and undergarments. It is easy for the women because they are not as thoroughly searched as men are.

“Spears and arrows have been replaced with more deadly weapons and it is now popular for a father to gift his son a gun during initiation.”

Mary must have seen my eyebrows rising and was quick to reassure me that women are indeed quite vocal in encouraging their men to engage in livestock rustling. However, they remain timid on issues of peace and collaboration. “Older women who have a strong standing in the community may become vocal about peace, but the younger women are more supportive of their raider husbands, arguing that this is the only means of gaining wealth, economic and social status.” Elderly women have probably seen more destruction from the violence, the lost sons, brothers and husbands. They have faced highly volatile situations throughout life and have become more inclined to peace. Their participation in peacebuilding stems from the knowledge and experience that violence has devastating effects notwithstanding the wealth gained. The younger women are more desperate to find a “suitable partner”, one who will bring them pride and wealth, and earn them respect.

Therefore, for women leaders in the pastoral regions such as Mary Kanyaman, women hold the answer to sustainable peace. Mary held onto the belief that cooperation among the pastoralist women would “silence the guns”. To illustrate, Mary showed me an intricate belt, made from cow hide and decorated with shells. This belt is known as leketyo and is a powerful symbol for some pastoralists women. The belt is given to a woman during her first pregnancy, to protect the child she carries. It ultimately connects her with the child and its lifeline. Interestingly, so explains Mary to me, when a warrior goes to raid, he requests his mother to wear the belt, to ensure her child is protected. “Every pastoralist woman, even we who are modern, has their belt,” says Mary, seemingly lost in thought, brushing away some imaginary dust from the shells on the belt.

During the March 2020 POTUMA peace campaigns that took place in Kapenguria, Kainuk and Marich, organized by the former Minister of Immigration, Linah Kilimo, women, both old and young, publicly removed the belts, a symbol that they would no longer be active participants in the conflict. Those going for war could rely on themselves for protection. By removing their belts, the respected elderly women had placed a curse on those involved in violence and especially in acts of rape, which is taboo.

“There was so much crying from 2019, so many of our children died as they fought for cows,” Mary said. Indeed, statistics from The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) records show that in 2018 alone 11 raids and 4 fatalities occurred. In 2019, ACLED records more than twelve dead in the first raid, followed by various massacres that brought the fatalities to a total of 47. Only deaths were recorded. The injured, the traumatised and the destroyed families and livelihoods are not reflected. “Enough was enough. We toured hotspots including Kainuk and Sigor and we challenged women to take up the mantle of peacebuilding. The lal was silent, there were no songs composed for warriors that season. Women did not go to ceremonies honouring warriors and therefore there was no singing”.

According to Mary, this peace campaign had a significant influence because the women were finally involved. “While government officials were searching for the bandits, we women knew exactly where they were hiding. They rely on us for food and water as they prepare to raid. We told them clearly; we will let the police know where they are when asked. This ultimately led to a long period of peace and collaboration”. It seems it was a peaceful time; people travelled from Lodwar to Kainuk to get products for sale, and to do business. Women from Loyaa went all the way to Kapenguria to shop and sell milk. It was a good time. However, according to Mary, problems returned when the campaigns for the 2022 elections started, and politicians began insulting each other anew. The seeds of hatred grew fast. “Within weeks, we were back to fighting again.” However, contrary to other times, there has been a growing number of women actively involved in and participating in peacebuilding. For instance, the current Bunge la Wananchi grassroots assembly in Kapenguria holds the highest number of women from Marakwet, Turkana and Pokot participants ever, who are working towards peace-making and peacebuilding within their villages. This is an achievement for Mary. However, there is still a lot to be done.

Problems returned when the campaigns for the 2022 elections started, and politicians began insulting each other anew.

That day in Kapenguria, I would never have expected that the energetic peace ambassador seated in front of me in the Kalya Hotel would become a victim of livestock rustling herself. After her brother Ekuru Aukot announced Mary’s death on September 24th 2022, social media channels reported that besides Mary, eight General Service Unit (GSU) police officers, one Senior Chief and two civilians were found dead after they were ambushed by bandits at Namariat Kakiteitei in Turkana East. The story of her death reads like a crime novel. In the night of Friday to Saturday, the village of Ngikengoi was searched by armed bandits who stole livestock and murdered two people. Mary called for security backup to recover the livestock and volunteered to have the law enforcement officials use her vehicle to pursue the suspects. But, for whatever reason, the bandits got wind of the operation and laid a trap for the two vehicles.

Social media channels were awash with devastating pictures of the crime scene, with some commentators crying for revenge, while others called for an end to the violence. Tears came to my eyes when I saw the picture of a mother of four, a wife, a government servant, and a peace ambassador—a role model for women—laying there shot dead. Would we fall into another cycle of violence and revenge?

It has become obvious that current state mechanisms are not effective enough. The short-term disarmament followed by highly publicized peacebuilding barazas seem nothing more than a cosmetic solution to an internalized problem. Mary’s death should be a lesson to both local and national leaders and calls for an immediate change in the response to the violence. Within a society where women have been both victims and motivators of livestock rustling, they must become actively involved in peace-making. As Mary said, “Women are in a unique position, but largely ignored. They can reach their husbands within their homes, they can admonish their sons. Men informally seek the advice and approval of their wives, and sons seek to bring their mothers joy and pride. Therein lies an opportunity that is yet to be explored in order to shift the tide of violence in northern Kenya”.

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What Is Ruto’s Agenda on Blue Economy?

The Western Indian Ocean has resources worth more than KSh2.2 trillion in annual outputs, with Kenya’s share being about 20 per cent of this. Yet despite the immense potential of the maritime sector, it has suffered from policy neglect since independence.

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What Is Ruto’s Agenda on Blue Economy?

For strange reasons, the Kenya Kwanza government has been silent on the place of the “Blue Economy” in its economic revival agenda. Even its manifesto says nothing about the industry, although it has, in the last decade, been touted by many industry players as the next economic growth frontier. Kenya has ocean resources spread over an area of 245,000 km², or 42 per cent of its total land area, which makes the country a maritime state.

Although wrongly viewed by many as a capital-intensive industry— of the type which, because of the poor state of Kenya’s economy, Ruto promised to shun unless they were of immense benefit—there are quick gains to be made that aptly fit into the bottom-up economic model that endeared him to those Kenyans who voted for his ticket.

There has been consistent policy neglect of the maritime sector since independence. Even Kenya’s first independence economic blueprint, African Socialism and its Application to Planning in Kenya – 1965, lacked a place for the maritime industry in the country’s economic growth agenda.

Kenya has ocean resources spread over an area of 245,000 km², or 42 per cent of its total land area, which makes the country a maritime state.

Although Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration attempted to give the Blue Economy direction, it has not gone as far as he might have desired. The full potential of the industry was brought home to senior government officials, Uhuru Kenyatta included, in 2015 when the Kenya Maritime Authority (KMA), the industry regulator, took the first ever National Maritime Conference to Nairobi; they realized what a sleeping giant the Blue Economy was.

However, the Blue Economy has failed to turn around Kenya’s economy over the last decade, one of the main reasons being the failure to create a competent workforce that can work with foreign firms to drive the industry. There is a serious gap in personnel training, with the few professionals in the industry having been trained outside the country at prohibitive cost. This is because of a lack of sound policies.

A stakeholders’ forum that convened on 7 October 2021 in Nairobi under the auspices of the Intergovernmental Standing Committee on Shipping (ISCOS)—a regional maritime organisation—to address the challenges in Maritime Education and Training (MET), returned a harsh verdict of a sector in dire need of reforms. This is not just a Kenyan problem but also a regional one.

Industry stakeholders from ISCOS member states—Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Zambia—noted the lack of qualified training staff and maritime professionals such as maritime lawyers, marine construction personnel, and shipping and logistics personnel. Inadequate and expensive training facilities, tools and equipment were also cited as a huge challenge that was derailing the industry’s progress.

Funding for the industry is low and collaboration and coordination, which would create new synergies amongst MET institutions in the region, are also lacking, the stakeholders noted. The industry also suffers from a lack of knowledge about the vast employment opportunities in the maritime industry while the high cost of maritime training and skills development is prohibitive, requiring practical training facilities such as simulators that are too expensive to be acquired by individual institutions.

The region also faces high costs in developing maritime curricula and lacks harmonized maritime curricula that meet international standards. Moreover, there exists no Memorandum of Understanding or Memorandum of Cooperation between neighbouring countries. The lack of definitive continuous professional development and capacity building opportunities for trainers and lecturers affects the quality of training.

The growth of MET in Kenya has been painstakingly slow. It started in 2004 when the government of Kenya established the KMA by presidential order to oversee the transfer of responsibilities in shipping matters from the Kenya Ports Authority (KPA) to an autonomous state corporation to oversee training, security and safety of the sea as well as to commercialize the industry.

In 2009, after a long struggle with parliament—which lacked knowledge of maritime and shipping affairs that would enable it to enact a law to oversee the industry—the Merchant Shipping Act was finally adopted.

One of the greatest headaches for KMA has been training to replace an aging workforce and equip the industry with emerging trends. Although the maritime industry in Kenya has ballooned over the years, MET has not grown at a commensurate rate and there is a danger of a future shortage of personnel. Therefore, in order to exploit the ocean economy, which Kenya has identified as critically crucial, increasing the country’s human capacity is a prerequisite.

The country has made some strides that the Ruto regime should build on for the immediate and future needs of the maritime industry. In collaboration with other institutions, the KMA has developed a national curriculum for maritime training for seafarers and land-based maritime transport service providers.

The agency has also worked with the Kenya Institute of Curriculum Development, the Technical and Vocational Education and Training Authority (TVETA) and the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology to develop Certificate and Diploma Curricula on Maritime Transport Logistics.

The Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology (JKUAT) is offering a logistics and supply chain degree programme, while Moi University is offering a maritime management degree programme.

Having developed the programme in collaboration with other stakeholders, JKUAT is now offering a marine engineering degree course while the Technical University of Mombasa (TUM) and Bandari Maritime Academy (BMA) are offering diploma programmes on the same.

Underscoring how much the blue economy had become a priority for Kenya, the government hosted the first ever global Sustainable Blue Economy conference in November 2018 with support from Japan and Canada. Some 18,000 delegates drawn from all over the world took part.

Participants made voluntary financial commitments amounting to US$172.2 million for various aspects of the Blue Economy, as well as several non-monetary commitments in areas such as partnerships and capacity building. These, however, did not materialize due to capacity constraints and a poor policy background.

There exists a clear policy gap on who should steer the growth of the Blue Economy. In January 2017, the president appointed the Chief of Defence Forces, Samson Mwathethe, to chair a Blue Economy Implementation Committee. The Kenya Gazette notice said that the eight-member team was mandated to coordinate and oversee the implementation of the prioritized programmes in the industry and was to submit monthly reports. However, not much came out of that committee which was, moreover, expected to develop an Integrated Maritime Transport Policy to galvanize and harmonize an industry that is currently overseen by 22 agencies with duplicating and conflicting roles.

The management of the Blue Economy is spread out over three government departments with no simplified mechanisms of collaboration despite the great interdependence among the players in the maritime industry. Executive order No. 1 of May 2020 placed the KPA and the Kenya Ferry Services (KFS) under the transport department.

The Department of Shipping and Maritime Affairs oversees the KMA, BMA and the Kenya National Shipping Line (KNSL), while the state department for fisheries is in charge of the Kenya Marine and Fisheries Research Institute (KEMFRI) and the Kenya Fisheries Advisory Council.

Without a harmonized approach, the country has failed to exploit sea-based resources, which are worth a huge fortune. In 2018, the then Agriculture Cabinet Secretary Mwangi Kiunjuri said Kenya was losing over KSh440 billion annually by failing to fully exploit the blue economy.

The Western Indian Ocean has resources worth more than KSh2.2 trillion in annual outputs, with Kenya’s share being about 20 per cent of this. The marine fishing sub-sector alone had an annual fish potential of 350,000 metric tonnes worth KSh90 billion in 2013. However, the region only yielded a paltry 9,134 metric tonnes worth KSh2.3 billion.

Infrastructural limitations and inappropriate fishing craft and gear and the lack of properly trained seafarers who can venture into the deep sea have hindered the optimal exploitation of marine fishing.

The International Convention on Standards of Training, Certification and Watchkeeping for Fishing Vessel Personnel, 1995 (STCW-F 1995) came into force on 29 September 2012 and sets certification and minimum training requirements for the crews of seagoing fishing vessels of 24 metres in length and above.

In 2018, the then Agriculture Cabinet Secretary, Mwangi Kiunjuri, said Kenya was losing over Sh440 billion annually by failing to fully exploit the blue economy.

For maritime training institutes worldwide, the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) has developed a series of model courses that provide suggested syllabi, course timetables and learning objectives to assist the instructors to develop training programmes to meet the STCW Convention standards for seafarers.

Out of the over 30 courses offered in maritime training—as recommended by IMO—BMA, the leading maritime institute in Kenya, could only offer 6 by 2021. In addition, BMA suffers a shortage of training personnel and lacks shipboard training opportunities because seafarer training in Kenya is in its infancy, which has caused delays in the completion of training courses since shipboard training is compulsory in order for one to be certified.

An integral part of the sea training programmes is to ensure that students gain practical knowledge through actual work experience. One has to learn by doing while at sea and in port.

Lack of capacity to venture into the high seas and lack of fishing gear has, therefore, abandoned deep sea waters to Distant Water Fishing Nations (DWFN) which mainly fish tuna species. Kenya lies within the rich tuna belt of the West Indian Ocean, where 25 per cent of the world’s tuna is caught. Foreign fishing fleets can operate in Kenya’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) under the provisions of regional and international agreements and the National Oceans and Fisheries Policy.

Seafaring to supply a growing global demand is another opportunity a well-prepared Kenya could exploit. We can learn from the Philippines which by 2016 had over 37 maritime academies, 20 maritime training centres and 17 crew manning agencies, enabling it to supply 20 per cent of the world’s seafarers.

In a deal President Ruto’s administration has threatened to recall, KNSL has partnered with the Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) of Italy, in what it described as a government-to-government arrangement that would see the government retain the majority shareholding (51 per cent) at KNSL to turn it into a major national carrier and offer seafarers jobs.

The deal was also supposed to allow the MSC to run the second container terminal (CT2) at the port of Mombasa, which is causing jitters in the Ruto administration since he said it was not competitively awarded, with the shipping line required to hire 2,000 seafarers every year for the next five years to work in its cruise ships. MSC is the only shipping line that is in both the cargo and the cruise business.

Seafaring to supply growing global demands is another opportunity a well-prepared Kenya could exploit.

The KNSL and MSC deal was supposed to help Kenya gain entry into ship ownership. Transport charges paid out to shipping lines calling at Mombasa port are estimated at about KSh304 billion annually.

Neighbouring Ethiopia, a landlocked country, has already acquired several ships. The country has decreed that all cargo bought by the government must be shipped using these vessels. Liberia—which ranks number one based on the number of ships on its register, coming second to Panama on revenues earned—is a successful example that Kenya could emulate.

The National Treasury issued a directive to enforce Section 20 of the Insurance Act in 2017. This section requires the compulsory purchase of Marine Cargo Insurance (MCI) from local underwriters. However, importing cargo on Cost Insurance Freight (CIF)—as we largely do, due to a lack of proper coordination between various agencies—has made enforcing this requirement an immense challenge. Kenya currently repatriates over KSh20 billion in premiums to foreign underwriters. Claims of undercutting have also rocked the MCI insurance business as a record number of players has entered the segment, with the Insurance Regulatory Authority (IRA) cautioning that the rates are not sustainable.

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