Earned autonomy

Each change type has a level. It is earned from production evidence and lost the moment a prediction breaks.

TypeLevel nowGranted / eligibleReliability (lower bound)Calibration (n settled)Hands-off shippedChange failure rate
docs hands_off hands_off / hands_off 0.847 (17 ok, 0 failed) Brier 0.003, overconfidence -0.050 (n = 17) 9 0%
At its ceiling.
deps assisted assisted / assisted 0.050 (0 ok, 0 failed) Brier n/a, overconfidence n/a (n = 0) 0 n/a
4 more clean changes to earn supervised (Brier bar not met).
feature hands_off hands_off / hands_off 0.774 (17 ok, 1 failed) Brier 0.053, overconfidence -0.133 (n = 36) 0 6%
At its ceiling.
config assisted assisted / assisted 0.224 (1 ok, 0 failed) Brier n/a, overconfidence n/a (n = 0) 0 0%
Locked at assisted by policy.
Changes per dayn = 37daychanges01110-1910-2010-2210-23

Drills

Game-day drills run on the internal type below. They never touch a real change type.

TypeLevel nowChanges
drillassisted1

Baselines on the stable revision

Routep50 msp95 msError rateRevision
/books/{id}11.4613.740.0shelf-00168-mek
/health10.5712.680.0shelf-00168-mek
/lists30.1543.990.0shelf-00168-mek
/lists/{id}19.9429.740.0shelf-00168-mek
/search12.9215.660.0shelf-00168-mek